August 31, 2010

G132: Orioles 5, Red Sox 2

Red Sox - 000 020 000 - 2  8  1
Orioles - 102 000 02x - 5 9 0
Beckett (7-7-3-1-5, 106) had two rough innings -- three straight hits in the first and two singles, a walk, a wild pitch, and an infield error in the third -- but was enough for the Orioles to top the Sox.

Down 3-0, Mike Lowell singled to begin the fifth and Jed Lowrie hit a one-out home run to left. In the sixth, Boston loaded the bases with two outs, but Lowell struck out looking. In the seventh, the Sox had runners at second and third with only one out, but Marco Scutaro grounded to third and Daniel Nava struck out.

Felix Doubront was tagged for two solo dongs in the eighth, but it didn't much matter. Even as the Rays were being trounced by Toronto, the Sox went meekly in the ninth.

The Rays lost to the Blue Jays 13-5 (Toronto erupted for a 10-run sixth) and the Yankees beat the A's 9-3. Boston stayed 7 GB Tampa Bay in the WC and fell 8 GB New York in the East.
Example
Josh Beckett / Brian Matusz
Scutaro, SS
McDonald, CF
Martinez, C
Ortiz, DH
Beltre, 3B
Lowell, 1B
Drew, RF
Lowrie, 2B
Hall, LF
Former pitcher Mitch Williams believes the Red Sox will win the wild card and the Yankees will be sitting at home in October. His reasoning? Josh Beckett is "back now", "Boston and Tampa Bay have better bullpens than the Yankees, and the Yankees "lack depth in the starting rotation". ... And who are we to argue with the Wild Thing's logic?

Gary Marbry's Nuggetpalooza (WEEI):
On Sunday night, the Red Sox lost for the 57th time this season. In those 57 games, they've averaged 1.07 RBI after the 5th inning and had none after the 5th in 25 of those losses (44%). To my eyes, that seemed like a very low average and a high percentage. Until I looked at the last two seasons.

AVG RBI/G AFTER 5TH % OF LOSSES WITH NO RBI
INNING IN LOSSES AFTER 5TH INNING

2010 1.07 44%
2009 0.85 48%
2008 0.84 54%
In March, outfield prospect Ryan Westmoreland underwent surgery to remove a cavernous malformation from his brain stem. This week, he'll work out with the Lowell Spinners and Greenville Drive (both A) to continue his rehab, though he will not play in any of the games.

AL East, 7 PM:
A's/Yankees
Blue Jays/Rays
Example
August 31:

1918 - The Red Sox clinch the AL pennant, beating the A's 6-1 in the first game of a doubleheader, as Babe Ruth wins his ninth game in his last 11 starts.

1957 - Eighteen-year-old fireballer Steve Dalkowski (Kingsport, Appalachian League) strikes out 24, walks 18, hits four batters, and throws six wild pitches in a row -- and loses 9-8. (You must read this.)

1999 - Trailing 12-4, Cleveland scores 10 runs in the bottom of the 8th inning and defeats the Angels 14-12. It's the 3rd time in 1999 that Cleveland rallied from eight runs down to win -- May 7 against Tampa Bay and July 3 against Kansas City were the others -- and it sets a major league record.

88 comments:

tim said...

Tim's Schedule Analysis:

Tampa has a weak ass schedule. Lots of Toronto, Baltimore, Seattle, KC, LAA. There's no way they're going to get less than 20 wins out of the final 31 games. So they're in.

Absolute worst case, Yankees go 17-14, splitting the 6 with Boston and taking 3/7 from TB.

Meaning that Boston must go 25-6 to overtake the Yankees, and 24-7 to tie. They can only lose 6 or 7 games for the rest of the year.

Basically, they are allowed one loss for every four or five wins.

Using the NYY split scenario above, they are only allowed to lose three/four other games on their schedule. They play Tampa again, so assuming they take 2/3 and lose one game there, they have 2 or 3 losses available for use against Baltimore (6), Chicago (7), Seattle out west (3), Oakland out west (3), Toronto (3).

So they pretty much have to go 19-2 against those teams (all other assumptions held constant).

Pretty unlikely!


The 31 game winning streak starts TONIGHT!

Rob said...

a gargantuan order! I love it. Make it happen.

allan said...

The 31 game winning streak starts TONIGHT!

The '88 Orioles started the year 0-21. maybe we can do the opposite.

(Though we need more than 21 wins.)

Amy said...

I figure why worry about it? Enjoy the games we have left because when they are over, it's a long wait til spring. I don't see any realistic way of spinning the numbers to get to October, but at this point, I don't care. There is still some baseball to watch and enjoy, and the stress levels will be reduced for me, so all is good!

Sadly, I won't be around tonight as we are off to Boston to help our daughter move. GO SOX!

allan said...

Enjoy the games we have left because when they are over, it's a long wait til spring.

Bingo.

Rob said...

AmalieBenjamin: "Delcarmen and cash traded to Rockies for RHP Chris Balcum-Miller. He's been assigned to Greenville."

Why am I doing a happy dance here? I'm just glad to see MDC finally traded.

Benjamin said...

Bye, MDC. Our team's been purged of its final Manny.

Patrick said...

The catch!

9casey said...

I spoke with a yankee fan today, and he is concerned with schedule and the starting rotation...

allan said...

Thanks for the news.
I put up a separate post.

allan said...

Just saved a copy of that Kalish catch video before MLB forces it down.

allan said...

Lugo, 2B
Markakis, RF
Wigginton, 1B
Scott, DH
Jones, CF
Pie, LF
Wieters, C
Izturis, SS
Bell, 3B

allan said...

Red Sox and Rangers discussing Lowell, but Rangers likely not interested.

allan said...

Revised Lugo-less Orioles lineup:

Roberts, 2B
Markakis, RF
Wigginton, 1B
Scott, DH
Jones, CF
Pie, LF
Wieters, C
Izturis, SS
Bell, 3B

allan said...

MASN. Booooooooooooooooooo!

allan said...

OMG -- NESN on sportsnet!!!!!!!!!!!!!

FU Gary Thorne.

allan said...

Note to self: ALWAYS check the other stations.

Kathryn said...

What other stations? It seems you often have alternatives and sometimes get lucky with NESN.

allan said...

there is the regular cable EI stations, but then there are canadian sportsnet stations that show the jays, but when they are off, play during the day or are out west, they often show nesn. tonight, even though the jays are in tampa at 7, nesn is on one of them!

Benjamin said...

Just saved a copy of that Kalish catch video before MLB forces it down.

Also the .gif.

Kathryn said...

That's great.

Okay, didn't I read somewhere that Beckett was back and the Red Sox were going to surpass the Yankees?

allan said...

that is the word on the street.

i hope it trickles over onto the field.

Kathryn said...

I have to watch MASN. Even though I'm almost 200 miles from Baltimore, I am in their viewing area and it is blacked out on EI and mlbtv.

Kathryn said...

i hope it trickles over onto the field.

Ha, maybe Beckett doesn't read JoS to keep up with all the latest.

allan said...

Beckett doesn't read

Quite likely.

allan said...

ugly.

Kathryn said...

REAL ugly

Benjamin said...

ugly.

Quite likely.

allan said...

JED DONG! 3-2!

9casey said...

If Scutaro arm hurts as bad as Don says, why not move him to second and let Jed play short?

Kathryn said...

Hey, I was out hacksawing the dog and JEDI hits a dong. Woo hoo!

allan said...

i was thinking maybe because scutaro has not played much 2B, but he has.

Zenslinger said...

Does a 7-run inning by Toronto do anything for our postseason chances?
TOR 8, TB 3.

Le sigh.

SoSock said...

So apparently someone forgot to tell Beckett he was "back". And they also neglected to tell the Yankees to worry about their schedule.

However, the Jays are beating the Rays 6-3 in the top of the 6th, and we're going to face the O's pen sooner or later tonight. So all is not lost

allan said...

go jays!

RedSoxDiehard said...

AmalieBenjamin: "Delcarmen and cash traded to Rockies for RHP Chris Balcum-Miller."

Every time I see this I hope it means Kevin Cash... but alas.

Also, I enjoyed the Steve Dalkowski story. Are we sure Dalkowski isn't a typo for Daisuke?

RedSoxDiehard said...

I figure why worry about it? Enjoy the games we have left because when they are over, it's a long wait til spring.

Well said!

SoSock said...

Belter!

allan said...

Dalkowski doesn't even seem real. I get him confused with some other flame thrower who could not throw strikes. (Ryne Duren?)

I need some game logs for him. What was one of them?

9-1-9-17-18?

SoSock said...

Damn, doc......

allan said...

10-run 6th for the jays!

allan said...

OAK - 001 1
MFY - 302 4

TOR - 001 00(10)
FKR - 000 30

RedSoxDiehard said...

Where'd J.D. go? Come back!

SoSock said...

C'mon Josh. Be Cap'n Kickass

SoSock said...

Double post?

RedSoxDiehard said...

Double post?

Actually, he could use twice the kickass-iness.

SoSock said...

Like the 4-pitch leadof walk

SoSock said...

Jedi Power!

allan said...

bring 'em in, marco.

Benjamin said...

Bleh.

Kathryn said...

Well that was major suckage.

allan said...

rays losing 13-3 in the 8th.
could we get a couple of fuckin runs???

allan said...

i wanna see run(s).

Benjamin said...

Hits are good.

allan said...

Runs are gooder.

9casey said...

What was Macdonald waiting for on Betltre's single in the 6th...he should have scored......And someone let Tito know everyone doesn't have to play, this isn't little league......how do you pinch run for Lowrie, he seems to have no respect for him as a player......

nick said...

can we score a fucking run here, please?

I mean, hi.

Benjamin said...

Outs are bad.

I mean here.

Kathryn said...

That's an appropriate opening tonight, Nick.

allan said...

Sideburns are not good.

allan said...

beltre swings at absolute shit - but beats the relay.

Kathryn said...

It's like everyone got kinda bored with tatoos, so they decided to

SHIT

grow facial hair in odd areas/patterns to make their statements. Kids these days.

Kathryn said...

**tattoos**

allan said...

fuckin cock knockers

rays: "please gain a game on us."

sox: "nah, we're good."

nick said...

apparentfuckingly not.

urgh. My conviction that boston will go 28-3 is slipping away.

allan said...

rays get 2, trail by only 8.

Benjamin said...

I'm waiting for the FKR to come back from down ten, while we fail to come back from down one.

Benjamin said...

Runs are bad.

nick said...

at least we don't have to worry about not making up a one-run deficit.

Kathryn said...

As my mother-in-law used to say, "Oh, good golly."

allan said...

rays coming back from 10 is more likely than sox coming back from 1 (or now - 2).

Benjamin said...

STILL BAD, YOU ASSHOLES

allan said...

I hate pie.

nick said...

at least we don't have to worry about not making up a two-run deficit.

Kathryn said...

What is the season record against these guys? When was the last time we lost a season series to the Orioles?

allan said...

i think it is 6-6 at the moment.

allan said...

all games vs orioles

allan said...

Last lost a season series in 2004!

Kathryn said...

Hmm, 2004 how interesting.

That is an amazing site. Is there anything you can't find out at BRef?

Kathryn said...

And, with Allan and that site together, I don't think there is such a thing as a rhetorical question.

allan said...

Baseball is bad.

Benjamin said...

Sigh.

Kathryn said...

BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

SoSock said...

Damn, fell asleep. Missed the end of the game. I did, however have this awful nightmare that we couldn't even beat the damn Orioles. Yuch, imagine the horror if THAT were true......

tim said...

Way to go, fucksticks! Buck Schowalter has just punched one out of six "allowable losses" on your rest-of-the-season card.

Time to go 25-5 (.833) the rest of the way!

Stupid year

tim said...

Also, why would you do this to me, Mitch? WHY WOULD YOU LIE??????

tim said...

That other post was supposed to say:

Stupid year

Hopefully it works this time.

allan said...

Also, why would you do this to me, Mitch? WHY WOULD YOU LIE??????

He may still be right. (ponderous pause) He may still be right.

...

Do not question Prophet Mitch. We do not grasp the future the way He does. Trust in Mitch, ye of little faith. He shall guide us.