tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5730822.post1453442162175171828..comments2024-03-29T04:32:39.897-07:00Comments on the joy of sox: G60: Orioles 5, Red Sox 2allanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04673233312198832937noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5730822.post-35615330500897975182015-06-11T08:15:39.268-07:002015-06-11T08:15:39.268-07:00In the two games, five Orioles relievers have pitc...In the two games, five Orioles relievers have pitched 8.2 innings and allowed one little ol' single.allanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04673233312198832937noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5730822.post-14037698584491897182015-06-11T05:12:00.206-07:002015-06-11T05:12:00.206-07:00WEEI: "[Porcello] has now allowed runs immedi...WEEI: "[Porcello] has now allowed runs immediately after the Red Sox scored nine times in 19 chances this year (47.4 percent), and needless to say, that's too high."allanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04673233312198832937noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5730822.post-6528333547788744682015-06-10T21:32:36.565-07:002015-06-10T21:32:36.565-07:00"I watch him stoop over like an arthritic gra..."I watch him stoop over like an arthritic grandfather..."<br /><br />Speaking as an arthritic grandfather who stoops over like a Red Sox left fielder, I have to say, Maxwell: yes. johngoldfinehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09322562737172405323noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5730822.post-80173908184062520762015-06-10T21:13:53.732-07:002015-06-10T21:13:53.732-07:00Context alert! So the media guys continue to ram t...Context alert! So the media guys continue to ram this super-duper incredible "18-7 when scoring first stat" down our throats, without ever giving any context. It doesn't take a genius to know that you're more likely to win if you score first. But how much more likely? I went to retrosheet and started on a random date in 2014 (June 6th) and kept track of the record of the team that scored first over the next 20 days. In 278 games, they won 208 times. So you win just about 3 out of every 4 games when you score first. 74.8 percent of the time to be exact, at least over those 278 games--I can't imagine the percentage would change much the more games you tack on to this sample. 74.8%. Compare that to the Red Sox current record when scoring first--72%! So they're right about exactly where they should be, a touch worse in fact. <br /><br />Verdict: the fact that the Red Sox are 18-7 in games where they score first is...completely useless. (Unless you're using it to say how pedestrian they are in that scenario.)<br /><br /><br />Who knows, though, maybe if you factor in their record when scoring first compared to their overall record, they're above average in that difference. Or something. If anyone wants to do a thesis, feel free, I'm going to bed at this point....Jerehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13448619048422750447noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5730822.post-87044473545951019852015-06-10T12:59:13.206-07:002015-06-10T12:59:13.206-07:00So he considers himself an outfielder. Indeed, th...So he considers himself an outfielder. Indeed, that's what I always think when I watch him stoop over like an arthritic grandfather whenever he has to pick up the ball in left field. "That right there is a natural born outfielder."Maxwell Horsehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11954012317296896642noreply@blogger.com