tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5730822.post6462558818931317225..comments2024-03-28T19:45:50.194-07:00Comments on the joy of sox: People Writing About Baseball Often Don't Understand How Baseball Worksallanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04673233312198832937noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5730822.post-2288623304129524892018-05-22T08:11:27.684-07:002018-05-22T08:11:27.684-07:00There are lots of other factors (Stanton DHing sho...There are lots of other factors (Stanton DHing should increase his expected durability, for example) but my back-of-the-envelope calculation is a 1.9% chance of all three homering in a game they play together, and 92 games/season where all three play together, so just under 2 expected per season. Given that there's 3/4 of a season remaining, it should happen ~1.5 times the rest of the way. <br /><br />So, you know, "every time around the order." Billhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12302687092773014075noreply@blogger.com