February 17, 2020

Sale: "I Feel Better Than I Have In A Long Time"

Chris Sale missed the last six weeks of the 2019 regular season. He says the time off did him good. He's thrown off a mount perhaps a half-dozen times this offseason.
My body is feeling good. Started flipping some breaking balls and getting after it a little bit. I'm doing normal stuff that I was before and it felt good. We'll just keep building from that. ... I feel confident that when this thing starts, I'm going to be ready for it, and I'll be back to doing what's expected of me. ... As bad as I was last year, I learned a lot, and that's going to help me going forward. Last year was tough; you guys saw it. I was out there throwing batting practice half the time. But you learn from that. ...

I feel better than I have in a long time, actually. I've never taken that time off before. I don't know if, since I started playing baseball, if I've had that time off. ... [T]here's silver linings in everything. You try to take the positives in every crappy scenario that comes up. I think that time off helped my entire body regenerate, my shoulder, my elbow, my forearm, every muscle in my body got a long break and a time to heal. I think in the end it will help me out in the long run.
Sale welcomed the invitation to talk to MLB's investigators about the 2018 Red Sox and allegations of cheating.
I want to help make this right. Is it frustrating? Yeah. It took 30 minutes out of one of my days in the offseason. Whatever. But to get the truth and to make this a better game, I'm in. ... [G]iven the circumstances, with what happened in Houston and AC [Alex Cora] being our manager, I think they're just doing their due diligence, just to see if he brought it over here. ... Until that comes out, no one's going to believe what I say. ... [U]ntil the hammer drops, that's when the truth comes out.
Several Red Sox players, including J.D. Martinez, Rafael Devers, Andrew Benintendi, and Jackie Bradley, have stated publicly that the team did not cheat during 2018. It's worth noting that none of the 2017 Astros spoke out before MLB released its report on them. But like Sale says, we can only wait and see.

Xander Bogaerts hurt his left ankle during a workout a couple of weeks ago.
It's getting better. [I] was doing some workouts back at home and it got a little sore so I'm taking it a little slowly now. ... Spring Training, I don't think there's any reason for us to force it. I'll get going as soon as possible. ... I've got to be smart about it and hopefully have a long, healthy season.
Bogaerts admitted this year with be a little strange without Mookie Betts.
I remember when he came up and made his debut in Yankee Stadium [June 29, 2014]. It's crazy to think how time flew that quick. Obviously, I wish him nothing but the best. He's one of the best teammates I've had. ... He's someone that we're going to miss a lot and it's not easy to replace someone like that, on and off the field.
Alex Verdugo will probably not be ready for Opening day on March 26. A back injury last May was revealed to have been an L5 stress fracture. Although the Dodgers never announced that publicly, the Red Sox knew about the injury before trading for him. Boston's doctors examined him again on Friday.
Manager Ron Roenicke:
It's in a progression where they're really liking how it's coming along. It's an injury that takes time. It takes a lot of time for this to heal. It's an injury that is fairly common in baseball because of the rotation -- it's a rotation issue.
Verdugo:
We don't want to give fans or give people a false hope or just even a deadline that we miss again. ... [W]e're going to take our time on this ... So that way ... it's the whole year and it's continuous. And we don't have any setbacks or anything like that.
Matt Collins (Over The Monster) attempts to predict the Opening day roster. Noting that Verudgo will likely begin the season on the IL, he sees the lineup as:
Andrew Benintendi, LF
Xander Bogaerts, SS
Rafael Devers, 3B
J.D. Martinez, DH
Mitch Moreland, 1B
Michael Chavis, 2B
Christian Vázquez, C
Jackie Bradley, CF
Kevin Pillar, RF
Bench: Kevin Plawecki, C; José Peraza, 2B; Tzu-Wei Lin, INF; Jonathan Arauz, INF

Rotation: Chris Sale, Eduardo Rodriguez, Nathan Eovaldi, Martín Pérez, Ryan Weber (opener)

Bullpen: Brandon Workman, Matt Barnes, Josh Taylor, Darwinzon Hernandez, Marcus Walden, Heath Hembree, Ryan Brasier, Austin Brice

April 27, 1903: "Lauder Accepted Malarky's Four Presents, Filling The Cushions."

The Library of Congress has thousands of digitized newspapers online, many from the late 1800s and early 1900s.

I found some entertaining play-by-play reporting from the Monday, April 27, 1903, edition of the evening edition of the New York World. Although the score was complete on the front page, the account of the game inside included only five innings.




February 15, 2020

Cody Bellinger Blasts "Weak" Statements From "Ring-Stealing" Astros; Carlos Correa Says Astros Won 2017 Title Fair And Square, But Also Feel Bad About Cheating

Cody Bellinger, Dodgers outfielder and 2019 National League MVP, spoke to reporters on Friday about the Astros' sign-stealing scandal and the team's public apologies.
I thought the apologies were whatever. I thought Jim Crane's was weak. I thought Manfred's punishment was weak, giving them immunity. Those guys were cheating for three years. I think what people don't realize is Altuve stole an MVP from Judge in '17. Everyone knows they stole the ring from us. ... I know personally I lost respect for those guys. I think I would say everyone in the show, in the big leagues, lost respect for those guys.
The Dodgers lost the 2017 World Series to the Astros in seven games. MLB's report stated that Houston's sign-stealing operation ended some time in 2018, but Bellinger believes the Astros were cheating in 2019:
A hundred percent. I don't know why they would stop.
He questioned Jose Altuve's actions after hitting his pennant-winning home run in the 2019 ALCS.
I don't know what human hits a walk-off home run against Aroldis Chapman to send your team to the World Series and has the thought to say, "Don't rip my jersey off", but to go in the tunnel, change your shirt, and then come out and do your interview — that makes no sense to me. Makes zero sense to me. Because I know me. Gary Sanchez said it yesterday. You can rip ... my pants off. I send my team to the World Series ... in the ninth inning, at home. I'm going crazy.
Other Dodgers spoke out, as well. Dodgers pitcher Ross Stripling:
They went beyond the line. And I think it's up to us ... to keep reiterating that and saying that it did cross the line. ... I think one of the worst things that could happen would be we get through spring and it's just forgotten about ... Or they get pegged for the first two games and then it's forgotten about. It needs to be reiterated and that might be from our side saying, "Dude, this was not the norm back then." I keep seeing that on Twitter and other places. "That was just the norm. That's the way baseball was and the Astros got caught." That's not true.
Last week, when Stripling heard rumours he might be traded to the Angels, he wondered whether he would intentionally throw at any Astros. (The Angels open the 2020 season in Houston.) "I would lean towards yes. In the right time and the right place."

Fellow pitcher Alex Wood noted that if that happened, Stripling would likely be suspended for throwing at players cheated for years but escaped punishment.

Clayton Kershaw:
Some of those guys seemed remorseful, some of those guys said the right things, gave a good apology. And that's great. I'll move on with that. And then you get the owner up there saying some dumb stuff and it's like, "What's going on? How can you be that ignorant to the situation?" I don't really know what to make of it all anymore.
Third baseman Justin Turner:
It's hard to feel like they earned it and they earned the right to be called champions.
Astros shortstop Carlos Correa did not appreciate Bellinger's comments.
I don't have problems when people talk about 2017 and about what happened that year because, honestly, we were wrong. Everything that happened that year was absolutely wrong, and we obviously show remorse for that because we really feel bad about everything that happened in 2017.

The problem I have is when players ... don't know the facts, they're not informed about the situation and they just go out there and go on camera and just talk. ... [W]hen [Bellinger] talks about that we cheated for three years, he either doesn't know how to read, is really bad at reading comprehension or is just not informed at all. The commissioner's report clearly says that all those activities were conducted in 2017. 2018, nothing happened. 2019, nothing happened.
Ken Rosenthal, who conducted the interview for The Athletic, reminded Correa that MLB's report did state the Astros cheated
at least for part of the 2018 season". "[T]he Astros' replay review room continued ... to decode signs using the live center-field camera feed, and to transmit the signs to the dugout through in-person communication.
The Astros stopped this cheating only because they doubted the system's effectiveness. So who has reading comprehension problems, Carlos?
[H]e says, "José Altuve cheated Judge out of the MVP." Cody, you don't know the facts. Nobody wants to talk about this, but I'm going to talk about this. José Altuve was the one guy that didn't use the trash can. The few times that the trash can was banged was without his consent, and he would go inside the clubhouse and inside the dugout to whoever was banging the trash can and he would get pissed. He would get mad. He would say, "I don't want this. I can't hit like this. Don't you do that to me." ... The bangs that are on Twitter or whatever, that shows it. Altuve played clean the whole year. [Tony Adams, an Astros fan who created signstealingscandal.com, documented only 24 bangs for Altuve. The top six Astros, including Correa, all topped 95.] ...

I want to address [the buzzer allegation] as well. 2019, nobody wore buzzers. That's a lie. The reason José Altuve didn't want to get his shirt ripped off, I'm going to tell you. Earlier in the year, he hit a walk-off at Minute Maid Park; I ripped off his shirt with Tony Kemp. There are pictures of that. There are videos of that. You can go look at it. I ripped off his shirt, and his wife told my wife, "Why is Carlos ripping Altuve's shirt? I don't like that." So when he's running from third base to home plate, I'm the guy up front. The first one waiting for him. He's like, "Don't take my shirt off." The second reason — he doesn't want me to talk about this, but I'm going to say it, is because he's got an unfinished tattoo on his collarbone that honestly looked terrible. It was a bad tattoo, and he didn't want nobody to see it. He didn't want to show it at all. So, one, he didn't want to take his shirt off because his wife had told my wife earlier in the year for me to not do that. So he was telling me not to do it. And, number two, he had an unfinished tattoo that looked kinda bad that he didn't want people to see and people to talk about. That was the reason. But Altuve has never cheated. … He was not wearing buzzers. That's a story that a fake account on Twitter broke, and then people just got on that wagon and started talking about the buzzers. Like, no. Nobody thought about buzzers. Nobody was using buzzers.
So (1) Altuve's wife didn't like her husband's jersey getting ripped and (2) Altuve had an unsightly unfinished tattoo that he didn't want people to talk about. ... Nope, sorry. Those are both ridiculous. Try again. ... It would have been a vibrator, anyway, not a buzzer, because the opposing catcher or umpire might hear a buzzer.

When Correa is asked whether the Astros earned the 2017 World Series title, he goes through the games, noting that the Astros won two games in LA and both teams used intricate signs.
World Series games are too important to use easy signs. There are Morse codes out there. There are signs that nobody can get. There are so many variations you can use, and nobody can get that. ... When I analyze all the games, we earned that championship. We didn't steal it. Instead of talking about it, he should have done something about it. ... [T]hey left so many guys on base in Game 7, throughout the whole World Series. Cody didn't have a good World Series. [Bellinger went 4-for-28, with 17 strikeouts (no player on either team had more than nine).] ...

Don't think that we feel great because we cheated that year and we got away with it and all that. No. We've got to go to bed every single night thinking about what we did and how wrong it was. We've got to live with that. [Bellinger] said that they all lost respect for us. But that's not how life works. We all make mistakes. ... It's how you confront those mistakes that you make. You've got to admit to those mistakes. You've got to accept those mistakes. ... Cody Bellinger's job is to ... be informed before you talk about other players. If you don't know the facts, then you've got to shut the fuck up.
This is the story Correa is trying to sell us:

The Astros felt horrible about getting away with cheating and winning the World Series in 2017. It was truly a burden on their souls. And every single night, they would go to bed and be alone in the dark with their thoughts, tossing and turning as their memories resurfaced and nagged at them, forcing them to relive the mistakes they had made, the wrong they had done. But they survived. They managed to get themselves out of bed, face a new day, and dream up new ways to cheat in 2018. Again, they did this because they felt so bad about cheating in 2017.

The Astros made mistakes. But "it's how you confront" those mistakes, how you accept them, that's important. (However, these cheating schemes cannot really be described as "mistakes"; they were months-long operations that they indulged in every day, week after week, month after month. "Mistake" implies a one-time error.) In any event, I would argue that Astros have not really confronted the fact that they cheated for years.

Is it remotely possibly to dump the "we-feel-so-bad-about-the-wrong-things-we-did" shtick? Everyone knows you didn't feel bad! The cheating went on for years. You were completely fine with it. Stop insulting our intelligence.

February 14, 2020

Dustin Pedroia Will Not Be In Spring Training Camp Next Week

Dustin Pedroia, who suffered "a significant setback" in January after having knee surgery last year, will not report to spring training with the other position players next Monday.

A recent tweet by Peter Abraham of the Globe made it sound as though Pedroia would not be in Fort Myers at all this spring (which, sadly, seems like a strong possibility).
Checked around on Dustin Pedroia. Told it was unlikely he would be in spring training with the #RedSox because of the setback with his left knee last month.
Pedroia has played in only nine games over the last two seasons (three in 2018 and six in 2019), with three hits in 34 plate appearances.

Last August, Pedroia underwent "left knee joint preservation surgery", which is an alternative to knee replacement. The less-invasive procedure was chosen in the hopes that Pedroia could return to baseball (something he was "not sure" about even three months before the surgery), but that goal seems further and further away with each announcement.


September 1, 2007: The play that gave Pedroia the nickname "Fuck yeah":



From FY's Born to Play: My Life in the Game:
I'll never forget that play, for a lot of reasons. One was that when I was coming out for the top of the [seventh] inning, I'd put a humongous load of sunflower seeds in my mouth, and now I was standing out at my position thinking, Fuck, I just put an entire bag of sunflower seeds in my mouth. It was a little hard to breathe. And besides that, I had to pee.

So really, I was hoping it would be a quick inning. Miguel Tejada was up [leading off], and I was just thinking, Whatever happens here, if the ball comes my way I just hope I don't either choke on my sunflower seeds or pee my pants. That was pretty much the whole thing on my mind the whole inning.

Sure enough, Tejada hit a chopper, bounding over Clay and heading right up the middle. I went after it, and I swear if you look closely at the replay, you can see the sunflower seeds just spraying out of my mouth. I mean, they were just flying everywhere.

February 13, 2020

Astros Press Conference Was "Contrition Performance Art", "PR-Coached Statements Disguised As Apologies"

Crane: Our opinion is this didn't impact the game. We had a good team. We won the World Series. And we'll leave it at that. ...

[Fewer than 60 seconds later]

Q: Did you say you feel like this didn't impact the game? And what do you mean by that?

Crane: I didn't say it didn't impact the game. Basically, you know, as the Commissioner said in his report, he's not going to go backwards. It's hard to determine how it impacted the game, if it impacted the game and that's where we're going to leave it.






Astros Justin Verlander has been extremely clear in the past about players who cheat in baseball.

It turns out he was specifically referring to players who cheat against his team.


Eric Stephen, SB Nation, February 13, 2020:
One of baseball's very best teams is also its most contemptible. The Astros are a study in hubris, only emboldened by a report into their cheating by Major League Baseball, which turns out to have been designed more to sweep this scandal under the rug than punish the team.

On the first day of Astros spring training camp ... current Houston players finally apologized. These apologies came in the form of two brief, prepared statements by Alex Bregman and Jose Altuve. The pair spoke for a total of 90 seconds. ...

[T]he standout was owner Jim Crane, a man impervious to personal responsibility. ...

The tone of the Astros' press conference was one of defiance and PR-coached vanilla statements disguised as apologies. But there was no remorse, which is remarkable given the team had literally a month to formulate a plan for contrition.

Then again, this is par for the course for the Astros, who completely bungled the detestable Brandon Taubman incident in October, mishandled the fallout from Yuli Gurriel's racist gesture during the 2017 World Series, and barred a reporter from the clubhouse in 2019 in violation of the collective bargaining agreement. ...

"I don't think I should be held accountable," Crane said Thursday.

Crane, whose Eagle USA company in 2001 reached a settlement with the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission to pay $8.5 million for discriminating against African American, Hispanic, and female employees (an amount later reduced to $2.5 million on appeal), is no stranger to toothless rebukes. ...

Major League Baseball has demonstrated they won't pursue anything unless its feet are put to the fire. It took them two years to thoroughly investigate the Astros, and only then after a player (Mike Fiers) went on record to disclose the scheme. Manfred's report went out of its way to avoid placing blame on the front office. Now we know that Houston's front office was integrally involved ...

Former Astros manager Hinch ... was asked about further allegations of the Astros using buzzers in 2019 in a redemption plea interview with MLB Network.

"We got investigated for three months, and the commissioner's office did as thorough an investigation anyone could imagine was possible," Hinch said. ... [He] did not deny [the allegations] ...
Joel Sherman, New York Post, February 13, 2020:
[The Astros'] words [and contrition performance art] have difficulty withstanding decency or logic:

— All the Astros offered "remorse" that they illegally stole signs and "regrets" they didn't do more to stop it. But, of course, like all scoundrels, it took being caught to offer those sentiments. And are the sentiments real? Last month at the team's Fan Fest, Jose Altuve and Alex Bregman delivered neither remorse nor regret. Only once properly p.r.-spun did they find their inner ruefulness.

— Most of the Astros talked about learning from this remorseful, regretful experience. But when asked what he learned, Bregman could have been speaking for all his teammates when he thought and hemmed and mainly came up with "things." Probably one of those things is: Don't get caught.

— To a man, all the Astros insisted they would respect any outside judgment on whether the 2017 team would have won without cheating, but internally they believe absolutely they would have come out as champions due to their talent.

Red Sox Sign Kevin Pillar

Say hello to Cabin Pirror.

The Red Sox have signed outfielder Kevin Pillar, who turned 31 last month, to a one-year deal worth $4 million, giving the team two center fielders who cannot hit. (Pillar did play 27 games in right field for the Giants last year.)

Pillar's OPS+ since 2015: 93, 81, 86, 92, 89. His WAR (FanGraphs) was never high and it has been steadily dropping: 3.7, 2.4, 2.0, 2.0, 1.5. His career on-base percentage is .296 and last season he had more home runs (21) than walks (18).

With any luck, we'll see Pillar only against lefties. His 118 OPS+ is solid, with average being 28 points higher, on-base 23 points higher, and slugging 68 points higher.

Pillar has been known for highlight-reel, but his Defensive Runs Saved has cratered in the past two years. From 2015-2019: 22, 21, 15, -2, -3. Jackie Bradley's DRS numbers since 2014 are: 13, 4, 12, 6, 9, 10. But he's being paid nearly three times ($11 million) what Pillar is getting.

Ken Tremendous, from 2015:
Kevin Pillar sounds like the name Kevin Millar gave to the cops when they caught him drinking a beer at a house party when he was 17. "I'm Kevin ... Pillar."

Several Astros Express Regret They Kept Cheating (And Winning) For Four Years. Although They Stopped Only After Being Caught, They Claim They Have "Learned" From Scandal

Several Astros and former-Astros apologized yesterday for conspiring to cheat during the 2017 season. They were expressing sorrow and regret, of course, only because their illegal activities became public.

It was reported this week that "everyone" in major league baseball knew the Astros were cheating at least as far back as 2016.

Alex Bregman: "I am really sorry about the choices that were made by my team, by the organization and by me. I have learned from this and I hope to regain the trust of baseball fans." ['Mistakes were made'. Mentions himself last.]

Jose Altuve: "[The] whole Astros organization feels bad for what happened in 2017. ... [I] especially feel remorse for the impact on our fans and the game of baseball." [They felt so bad they resolved to never say anything to anyone forever.]

Yuli Gurriel: "No one put a gun to our head ... It would be a lie to say that one or two people are responsible."

George Springer: "We are all responsible."

Justin Verlander: "Once I spent some time and understood what was happening, I wish I had said more. I can't go back and reverse my decision. I wish I had said more and I didn't." [(1) You had 2+ years to say something. (2) Wish you had said more? What exactly did you say at all?]

Marwin Gonzalez: "I'm remorseful for everything that happened in 2017. ... I wish we could take it back and do it a different way, but there's nothing we can do." [Oh, how I wish we had not cheated and lost in the 2017 ALDS rather than winning the World Series. But that's the way it goes.]

The Astros' timeline looks something like this:
2016: Began (?) cheating. 84-78, 3rd in NL West.
Off-season: Hope fact of cheating does not become public.
2017: Continue cheating in new and different ways. 101-61, 1st in AL West, World Series Champions.
Off-season: Hope fact of cheating does not become public.
2018: Continue cheating in new and different ways. 103-59, 1st in AL West, lost ALCS.
Off-season: Hope fact of cheating does not become public.
2019: Continue cheating in new and different ways. 107-55, 1st in AL West, lost World Series.
Off-season: Hope fact of cheating does not become public. ... Fact of becomes public. (Dammit) ... Express sorrow (in passive voice) about "choices that were made", say everyone "feels bad", wish you had "said more" or could "take it back", emphasize that you "have learned from this".
One important thing the Astros learned is that MLB will not punish cheating players as long as enough of them are cheating.

The Astros Cheating Was An Open Secret Throughout Baseball For Four Seasons. MLB Received Complaints From 10-12 Teams And Did Nothing. Rob Manfred Must Resign.

Commissioner Rob Manfred must resign, immediately.

Since 2016, it had been common knowledge throughout baseball that the Houston Astros were blatantly "cheating their asses off". One team executive told the Washington Post, "Everybody knew it." It was "a big, open secret" among players, scouts, front office executives, even clubhouse staff members.

Executives from two separate clubs told the Post they believed roughly 10-12 teams had filed complaints about the Astros with MLB during the last three or four seasons. If any investigations were done, no one has uttered a peep about it.

Speaking of not uttering a peep, last November, MLB instructed personnel from all 30 teams to not speak to the media about the Astros and the sign-stealing scandal.

Now we know a big reason why.

Barry Svrluga and Dave Sheinin, Washington Post, February 11, 2020:
The Astros' system for using electronics to steal signs came into full public view Nov. 12 ... in a story published by the Athletic. ...

According to people at all levels throughout the sport — players, clubhouse staff members, scouts and executives — the idea that the Astros employed nefarious methods was an open secret.

"The whole industry knows they've been cheating their asses off for three or four years," said an executive from a team that faced the Astros in the playoffs during that span. "Everybody knew it."

Like most of the people interviewed for this story, the executive spoke on the condition of anonymity to defy an MLB request that personnel from other teams refrain from speaking freely about the Astros. He estimated "10 to 12" teams had complained to MLB about the Astros over the years. An executive from another team agreed with that number. ... [The Athletics were one of those teams.]

"It was a big open secret, really big," said a veteran scout from another team whose coverage included the Astros. "Throughout baseball, throughout the scouting community, for several years, not just starting in 2017. I would say probably 2016, maybe earlier, through [2019], things were going on that were blatantly against the rules."

Into this arena stepped the Nationals, appearing in the World Series for the first time in October. ... [A]n entire sport that had a vested interest in having anyone but the Astros win the championship.

As one member of the Nationals put it, "It was amazing, once [it was assured] we were playing the Astros, how many people were coming out of the woodwork to let us know what they were doing." ...

"It was all brought up" in the advance reports the scout handed over to his superiors, one AL scout said. "It was as much a part of the report as anything else, because we had to be prepared to counter it, if that were possible. [Use] a bunch of sign systems . . . just any way possible to try to combat an advantage we all knew they had but couldn't do anything about. It felt helpless. You felt silly almost, sitting there knowing [they were doing something] but having to just put it in a report as if it was a normal thing to contend with. It sucked." ...

One AL executive described meetings of his team's analytics department. The members were so frazzled before playing Houston that they seemed almost resigned to the idea, as the executive said, that "we can't beat them if they're cheating." ...

Many in baseball are asking why it took a whistleblower — Fiers, the former Astros pitcher — to spark MLB to action when so many people had suspected the Astros of wrongdoing for years, with some taking the extra step of reporting those suspicions to MLB. ...

"This is really frustrating," Nationals closer Sean Doolittle tweeted last week. "A month after MLB's report and all we have now is more evidence and more questions. . . . The integrity of the game is at stake and players and fans deserve some answers. ... [P]ast outcomes are being second guessed and even future games will be cast in doubt. There can be no redemption arc after an institutionalized scandal like this until there's some accountability."
Craig Calcaterra, NBC Sports, February 12, 2020:
An MLB spokesman told the Post "[w]e investigate any allegation that's brought to this office," but provided no evidence of what, if any, investigation was undertaken on the power of those 10-12 complaints ... [K]nowing what we know and having seen what MLB has done in the wake of public allegations, it's not unreasonable to believe that such investigations were perfunctory at best ... [or] that anything one could reasonably call an "investigation" was undertaken at all. ...

[T]wo things are abundantly clear: first, any claim by Rob Manfred that he did not know what the Astros were up to prior to November 2019 is simply not credible. And second, the fact that Rob Manfred knew about it and simply did nothing about it before November 2019 was simply reckless.

[Cheating by many teams, not just the Astros] affected the outcome of baseball games. It affected the outcome of series. It affected the outcome of postseasons. ... It stuck a blow to the very basis of competitive sports, which is the notion that the competitions are inherently fair ones.

[At its core] The Commissioner's job [is] ... to ensure the health and integrity of the sport. ... It is a purpose that Rob Manfred, who seems to be far more interesting in making this scandal disappear from the headlines than in comprehensively addressing it, is failing to adequately undertake. ...

Opposing players are angry. Opposing managers, coaches, scouts and executives are angry. ... It's not something that is simply going away because Rob Manfred issued a report last month and suspended a couple of guys.

Indeed, Rob Manfred is one of the primary reasons it's not going to go away. The scandal was allowed to persist because of his failure to act on what we know to have been common knowledge inside the game about the Astros cheating and his failure to act specifically on the at least 10-12 team complaints lodged to Major League Baseball about it. ...

Rob Manfred has utterly mishandled the sign-stealing scandal. And, at this point, it is not enough for him to simply vow to do better. He is obligated, for the sake of his legitimacy as Commissioner of Baseball and for the sake of the game itself, to answer publicly for why he let it get to this state in the first place.
It doesn't matter why Rob Manfred allowed the Astros (and who knows how many other teams) to cheat for several seasons.

The fact remains: He did allow it.

And he must resign.

February 12, 2020

Three-Batter Minimum Rule (Which Will Not Shorten Game Times) Takes Effect March 12

Various rule changes for 2020 have been made official. You can click here to read about the changes to roster limits, adjustments to the injured list, and option periods for pitchers and two-way players.

One change had not been mentioned previously - and it's a doozy!

Managers will have only 20 seconds to decide whether they want to challenge a call instead of a leisurely 30 seconds. Whoa! ... Alex Cora challenged 33 calls last season. If this new rule had been in effect, it would have cut 330 seconds (5 minutes, 30 seconds) off the entire Red Sox season. That's an average time-savings per game of 2.04 seconds.

Any plans for what you're going to do with all that extra time?


But the absolute worst rule is the one that will force all pitchers to face at least three batters (or until the end of an inning) unless they are unable to continue because of illness or injury.

Back on January 2, I wrote:
The very thing [Commissioner Rob] Manfred wants to eliminate - relievers facing only one or two batters - has actually been decreasing in recent seasons. ...

Year     One BF    Two BF    Avg. Time of Game    Avg. Time of 9-Inning Game
2019      1100      1054           3:10                      3:05
2018      1145      1143           3:04                      3:00
2017      1119      1091           3:08                      3:05
2016      1182      1075           3:04                      3:00
2009      1118      1066           2:55                      2:51
1999       980       904           2:57                      2:53
1979       439       411           2:35                      2:31
1959       161       211           2:34                      2:31
[Using Baseball Reference's Play Index] I found no correlation between more one- and two-batter relief appearances and longer nine-inning games.

From 1999 to 2009, there were 300 more one- and two-batter appearances and the average game time increased by two minutes.

From 2017 to 2019, there were 56 fewer one- and two-batter appearances and the average game time also increased by two minutes.

From 2016 to 2018, there were 105 fewer one- and two-batter appearances but the average game time stayed the same.

From 1959 to 1979, the number of short relief appearances more than doubled (372 to 850), but the average game time stayed exactly the same.

From 2009 to 2019, there were 30 fewer one- and two-batter appearances (a statistically insignificant amount, one per 80 games)), but the average game time increased by 15 minutes.

It's a fact that games are taking longer to play, so something is causing that to happen. But there is no evidence that relief pitchers failing to face three batters is the cause. The facts show that fewer pitching changes has no effect one way or the other on the average length of a nine-inning game.

I suppose Manfred has to look like he's doing something about this "problem". But I'd rather his "make-work" efforts didn't destroy a key part of baseball's essential competitive structure for the last 150 years. Did MLB even bother to glance at some data before deciding to penalize strategy and innovation?

This stupid fucking worthless rule will starting in spring training (March 12). It should be confined to spring training.

2020 Season Preview Magazines (Lindy's)


Lindy's

Before I get to the predictions and team overviews, I want to quote from Scott Miller's lead article, "The State of the Game". It's refreshing to read this:
Can't we all just acknowledge that, just maybe, baseball isn't for everyone? Hey, we love the game every bit as much as the next guy or gall, and probably more. Which is why every time commissioner Rob Manfred threatens new legislation, we duck as if he's conspiring to unleash a beanball at our coconut. Yes, it is important to connect with the next generation of fans. But so much so that it is worth depleting the game of a good portion of its soul? ...

[Y]ou can't package every game into a tidy, bite-sized block of time. The average nine-inning game reached a record length of 3:05:35 in 2019, despite Manfred's best efforts to speed up the pace of games and/or shorten them. Maybe it's time to simply say this is what the product is, and those who enjoy it, here ya go ... without suffocating play with more legislation.
Amen.

AL East (Projected Finish)

Yankees - They were great last season, and now they have Gerrit Cole, the latest best pitcher on the planet, at the front of their rotation. And Giancarlo Stanton is healthy.

Rays - They created the "opener" strategy to help their young pitchers, but now the rotation is one of MLB's deepest. Austin Meadows is trending up.

Red Sox - Expensive starters Chris Sale, David Price and Nathan Eovaldi were in poor health last year and showed signs of wear. Great lineup, but the owner wants to reduce payroll.

Blue Jays - Bo Bichette, Cavan Biggio and Vlad Jr. prove the sons also rise. Hyun-Jin Ryu is their first true No. 1 starter since Roy Halliday.

Orioles - Thank goodness for the Tigers, although no one should care after 100 losses. John Means and Trey Mancini could work for any team.

AL Central: White Sox, Twins, Cleveland, Royals, Tigers
AL West: Astros, Athletics, Angels, Rangers, Mariners
AL Wild Cards: Rays, Twins
AL Pennant: Yankees

AL MVP: Anthony Rendon, Angels
AL Cy Young: Gerrit Cole, Yankees
AL Rookie: Luis Robert, White Sox
AL Rookie Pitcher: Jesus Luzardo, Athletics
AL Manager: Rick Renteria, White Sox

NL East: Phillies, Atlanta, Nationals, Mets, Marlins
NL Central: Brewers, Cardinals, Reds, Cubs, Pirates
NL West: Dodgers, Padres, Diamondbacks, Rockies, Giants
NL Wild Cards: Atlanta, Cardinals
NL Pennant: Dodgers

NL MVP: Ronald Acuna, Atlanta
NL Cy Young: Walker Buehler, Dodgers
NL Rookie: Carter Kieboom, Nationals
NL Rookie Pitcher: MacKenzie Gore, Padres
NL Manager: Joe Girardi, Phillies

Red Sox
In many ways, the Red Sox are a team in transition. On the field, they are without longtime contributors Rick Porcello and Steve Pearce. Off the field, a new front office is guiding the team. ...

None of those circumstances diminish the talent in place. Even after a disappointing 2019 season in which the Red Sox missed the playoffs for the first time in four years, it's not hard to see a path back to prominence ... If the club is going to bounce back, the results will likely have to come from within. It was a quiet offseason for the Red Sox ... [Obviously, Lindy's went to press well before the Betts trade. I cut the references to Betts. I mean, why rub it in?]

Chris Sale, Nathan Eovaldi and Andrew Benintendi were among those who disappointed last year. If they can return to their career norms, the Red Sox will have a much better chance at getting back to the playoffs. ...

The ingredients are in place. The Rays might have more pitching and the Yankees might have more power, but the Red Sox should be a factor in the American League East, too.

Rotation: Chris Sale represents the biggest question mark for the Red Sox. Elbow issues contributed to his frustrating, injury-shortened 2019 season. His recovery reportedly has gone well, leading to hope that he can carry his usual heavy load of innings. ... [Sale's] low arm slot and long limbs make it hard for batters to pick up his pitches, and his slider remains a legitimate out pitch. Sale's fastball has lost some life in recent years but still averages 93 mph, more than enough to generate strikeouts in large numbers. ... Eduardo Rodriguez broke out in a big way last year ... One reason for his success: a career-best ground-ball rate of 48.5 percent. ... Nathan Eovaldi needs a bounce-back year. Homers, walks and injuries led to a disappointing 2019 season, but Eovaldi still has a powerful arsenal, including a 97.5-mph fastball ... If the Red Sox can get 22 to 25 credible starts from the fragile Eovaldi, he will have earned his keep. Newcomer Martin Perez has been terrible the past two seasons, but he keeps getting jobs because, well, he's left-handed. Perez wants to work down in the zone with his sinker and slider and elicit soft contact, but it hasn't been happening on a regular basis. He gave up 39 home runs in 251 innings the past two years, and now he will have to deal with the Green Monster.

Bullpen: Brandon Workman has always had a good curveball, and he started using it more often that his fastball last year. The results were impressive: a 1.88 ERA and 104 strikeouts in 72 innings. ... [H]e is unlikely to hold the [closer] job for long if he doesn't do something about his control. Workman averaged an unsightly 5.7 walks per nine innings last year. Setup man Matt Barnes throws 97-mph gas. ... He averaged 15.4 strikeouts per nine innings last year ... Ryan Brasier throws nearly as hard as Barnes, but when he misses high, the ball tends to fly away. ... Marcus Walden's groundball rate last year was 53.5 percent ...

Catcher: Christian Vazquez ... had not hit much until last season, when he set career highs with 23 home runs, a .276 average and a .798 OPS. Like many others, Vazquez overhauled his swing to steepen his launch angle, and soon the Green Monster in left field was his friend. ... Vazquez threw out 38 percent of the runners trying to steal — the MLB average was 27 percent — and ranked among the leaders in pitch-framing, per Baseball Prospectus. ...

Infield: Third baseman Rafael Devers turned his raw hitting potential into results last year, with a breakout 32 homers. Only 15 MLB hitters had a higher average exit velocity than Devers. He is a discerning hitter, swinging at 76 percent of the pitches thrown to him that were in the strike zone last year. Devers has worked to become a passable defender. In an era of premium shortstops, Xander Bogaerts measures up well, at least with a bat in his hands. Patient at the plate, he is willing to wait for his pitch ... He laces doubles regularly, and his power is growing every year. ... His fielding, however, leaves much to be desired. Bogaerts had a -21 DRS score last year and has never been on the positive side of that metric. Newcomer Jose Peraza regularly gets the bat knocked out of his hands, as evidenced by his 20-percent soft contact rate last year. ... Michael Chavis showed budding power as a rookie last year, hitting 18 home runs in 95 games, a rate that could get him close to 30 in a full season.

Outfield: Jackie Bradley Jr. always gives the Red Sox elite defense in center field. His bat is another story. Bradley's batting average regressed each of the past three years, while his strikeouts soared, up to a team-leading 155 last season. Selling out for power, he hit 21 homers last year at the expense of a .225 batting average. Left fielder's Andrew Benintendi's inside-out swing is tailor-made for knocking doubles off the Green Monster, but he took a big step backward last year and it wasn't a fluke considering his BABIP was a healthy .333. Benintendi chased more pitches than ever, and his swing-strike rate rose to a career-high 11.6 percent.

Designated Hitter: J.D. Martinez combines game-changing power with elite bat-to-ball skills. With power to all fields and the ability to lay off pitches outside the zone, he remains one of MLB's most complete hitters as he enters his age-32 season. Since Houston decided he couldn't play and shipped him out after the 2013 season, Martinez has cracked 207 home runs ... and his batting average has fallen below .302 just once.

Manager/Organization: In a what-have-you-done-for-me-lately move, impatient Red Sox owner John Henry fired baseball ops chief Dave Dombrowski last year and replaced him with Chaim Bloom, who came from the Rays' incubator for nurturing front office executives. A Dombrowski-built team won the 2018 World Series, but apparently multiple championships is the only thing acceptable in Boston these days. [This observation is wildly reductive and inaccurate. I'm surprised by this unknown writer's ignorance. Maybe it's just poorly-executed sarcasm?] It wouldn't be a surprise if Bloom sticks to a small-market mind-set in running the team, especially at a time when the Red Sox are in the thick of baseball's luxury tax. [In the thick of the luxury tax? What an odd way to phrase this point.]

Scout's Take: "I don't care what happened to them last year — this is still an outstanding young core. Seven of the regulars are in their 20s. ... There has to be concern about Pedroia ... You got to wonder whether a comeback is realistic at his age. ... A guy to watch is Vazquez. I don't think I'm going out on a limb by saying he's the next Yadier Molina. He's that good behind the plate, and now he's hitting the ball and hitting for some power."

Top Prospects: Triston Casas (1B), Bobby Dalbec (3B), Bryan Mata (RHP).
Yankees
After years of relative austerity, the Yankees are back to their big-spending ways ... but even after adding Gerrit Cole, the Yankees face their share of questions ...

It has been 11 years since the Yankees' last title. ...

On paper, this is a legitimate championship contender. In fact, the Yankees well might be the best team in baseball. ...

Rotation: At 29, Cole is very much in his prime. ... James Paxton ranks among the game's top left-handed starters ... The problem for Paxton is escaping the first inning. he allowed an average of one earned run for each first inning he pitched last year. Luis Severino, interrupted last season by right shoulder and lat injuries, is good to go again. ... Masahiro Tanaka's strikeouts decreased for the second consecutive year in 2019, a concern as he pitches into his 30s. ... Domingo German [ended 2019] suspended on a domestic violence charge and he faces additional disciplinary measures this year. ... [H]itters caught up to [J.A.] Happ's fastball-heavy approach last year. ...

Catcher: The questions about [Gary] Sanchez revolve around his health and defense. Sanchez's arm has been his best asset as a defender, but he prevented just 23 percent of stolen-bases attempts in 2019, and his blocking and receiving skills are below average. Interrupted by assorted injuries, Sanchez has averaged just 106 games played over the last three years. The Yankees need a reliable backup, and it probably is not 39-year-old Erik Katz ...

Infield: Second baseman DJ LeMahieu ... was not the Coors Field monster many assumed. ... First baseman Luke Voit['s] ... .345 batting average on balls in play is highly unlikely to be sustainable for a player with below-average speed.

Outfield: Brett Gardner is MLB's oldest center fielder [age 36, and] is unlikely to repeat his power explosion of last season. ... Aaron Hicks is recovering from Tommy John surgery and is not expected to be ready to play until late summer, if at all.

Designated Hitter: Staying healthy has been a problem [for Giancarlo Stanton] ... Calf, knee and quad injuries limited him to 18 games last year.
James Paxton underwent a microscopic lumbar discectomy last week and had a peridiscal cyst removed from his back. He will be out three or four months.

Kristie Ackert, Daily News:
Less than an hour after Hal Steinbrenner repeatedly said his biggest hope was to get through spring training healthy, the Yankees took their first injury hit of 2020 Wednesday [February 5] — and it is a big one. The team announced that left-handed starter James Paxton is now out "three to four months" ...

Seven days before Yankees pitchers and catchers are to report to the spring training complex in Tampa, their best pitcher of last season is now out indefinitely. ...

It is obviously a huge blow to the Yankees before they even get into the starting gate — especially considering they were already without starter Domingo German, who is serving a 63-game suspension under the MLB Joint Domestic Violence policy to start the season. [He is eligible to return June 5.] ...

Just last month, GM Brian Cashman said that JA Happ would be the Yankees fifth starter coming into the season. That seemed odd at the time ... But it seems obvious now. The veteran lefty is coming off a frustrating season where he gave up a career-high 34 home runs, posting a 4.91 ERA, the second highest of his career.
Joel Sherman, New York Post:
For Paxton, the timing is brutal. He is about to enter his walk season and the bugaboo for a talented starter is fragility — Paxton has still never qualified for an ERA title and now probably won't this season either. ...

[GM Brian] Cashman acknowledged having surgery so close to spring is not ideal ...

February 11, 2020

Ron Roenicke Named "Interim" Manager As Camp Opens

Ron Roenicke has been named as the interim manager of the Red Sox for 2020

Chief Baseball Officer Chaim Bloom:
Ron's extensive coaching and managerial experience, in addition to his familiarity with our players and staff, make him an ideal fit as we prepare for the 2020 season. He has the respect of everyone in the clubhouse, and the way he carries himself and communicates will be a positive influence on our entire organization. We are confident that Ron will hit the ground running, and we're excited to work closely with him as he leads our group forward.
Roenicke had been the bench coach under Alex Cora. He managed the Brewers from 2011-15.

The Red Sox hoped to wait until MLB's investigation into allegations of sign-stealing in 2018 was released, but the team wanted a manager in place as spring training began. The Globe's Alex Speier tweeted:
To be clear on the Roenicke interim label: It's very possible, perhaps even likely, that the adjective drops by the wayside once MLB completes its investigation. But in the interests of avoiding a cart-before-horse scenario, Sox will name Roenicke interim for start of spring...
This appears to be yet another thing Commissioner Rob Manfred has mismanaged, failing to complete his investigation in time for the opening of the Red Sox's spring camp. I have to assume that the team was informed that Roenicke would not be punished. (I'm not sure how the bench coach could be out of the loop if Cora was also involved; there have been rumours the punishments will be minimal, however.)

Matt Barnes liked the news.
He's awesome. He knows the game incredibly well. And I think it'd be nice having somebody — a familiar face. Somebody who knows the guys, who's been there, and has the experience that he has.

February 10, 2020

NY Post: "MLB Plotting Playoff Expansion — With Reality TV Twist"


MLB takes the next step in its guaranteed-to-fail plan to convince people who have never cared much about baseball to care a lot about baseball. For unknown reasons, those people are most important.

When will MLB realize the obvious - Not everyone cares about baseball! - and stop dreaming up new ways to destroy the game?

Joel Sherman, Post, February 10, 2020:
MLB is seriously weighing a move from five to seven playoff teams in each league beginning in 2022, The Post has learned.

In this concept, the team with the best record in each league would receive a bye to avoid the wild-card round and go directly to the Division Series. The two other division winners and the wild card with the next best record would each host all three games in a best-of-three wild-card round. So the bottom three wild cards would have no first-round home games.

The division winner with the second-best record in a league would then get the first pick of its opponent from those lower three wild cards, then the other division winner would pick, leaving the last two wild cards to play each other.

To use the AL last season as an example, the Astros with the best record would have received the bye. The Yankees, with the second-best record, would have had the choice to pick from among the Rays, [Cleveland] and Red Sox. ... It would create a ton of strategy and interest, and this is what MLB wants to sell. The Twins would then pick next as the other division winner, and then the A's with the best wild-card record would play the team not chosen by the Yankees or Twins.

The plan is to have this all play out on a show on the Sunday night the regular season ends and have representatives picking teams on live TV — think the NCAA selection show, but just with the teams making the selections. ...

There would be six best-of-three series. ... Game 2 would be a clinch scenario for one team and if there were a Game 3, it would be sudden death for both clubs. ... [M]any team officials had complained since the onset of the wild-card sudden death in 2012 that no team should be eliminated in one game. ...

In 2019, attendance was down for a seventh straight year. Many factors have led to the dip, but  ... MLB wants to have as many regular-season games matter as possible. ...
So if this was in place in 2019, both the Twins and the Yankees have their 100+-win seasons riding on a best-of-3 roll of the dice? (A best-of-5 crapshoot is not much better, but what are you gonna do?)

It's official. I miss Bud Selig.

And I despise Bud Selig.

But wait ... I have another idea:
* ALL thirty teams make the playoffs! Amazing!!

* The teams participate in an intricate schedule of 162 games each (beginning in April, with 81 home and 81 road games).

* At the end of that mega-"round" (which would last six months), the top finishers in each division would advance.

* The team with the best record in each league would get a bye.

* The two other division winners in each league would play a best-of-5 LDS (2-2-1, with the team with the better record hosting Games 1-2-5).

* The winners of those series would play the team with the top record in its league in a best-of-7 LCS.

* The two pennant winners would meet in a best-of-7 World Series.

Finally! Spring Is Here! ... Damn. The Red Sox Are Clueless. ... Sigh. Better Luck In 2021.

Christopher L. Gasper, Boston Globe, February 8, 2020:
The offseason can't end fast enough for your Boston Red Sox.
. . .

Jason Mastrodonato, Boston Herald, February 9, 2020:
What are the Red Sox doing? ... [W]e're now left to wonder if the Sox themselves have any conviction in their decisions. ... [T]he Red Sox don't know what they want.
. . .

Peter Abraham, Boston Globe, February 8, 2020:
The season doesn't start for another 47 days and it already feels like the 2020 Red Sox have lost ...

Mastrodonato expects you to believe that the Boston front office was surprised to learn that Red Sox fans liked Mookie Betts. Seriously. Mastrodonato's contention is that John Henry and Tom Werner had no idea that if they traded the supposedly well-liked Betts, a lot of fans would be upset. (I guess they thought Mookie was perceived as a surly, lazy, selfish, malcontent that should be run out of town as soon as possible.)

And to cover up their shock at this less-than-positive reaction that came totally out of the blue, the front office scrambled and decided to invent some imaginary concerns about a pitcher's medical reports. Mastrodonato says this has happened because of the "public relations circus that has followed this team for the better part of a decade". (Of course, the true circus is the media, which complains about invented (or infinitesimally trivial) issues and spins wacky theories with no basis in reality because of their outdated mentality that fans still hate the Red Sox because they always choke and will win the World Series. (Or, now that they have won a World Series (or two), they should be perfect and any misstep, whether their fault or not, can be pounced on and blown out of proportion.))

Okay, so after trying to deflect attention away from their dumbfounded reaction to learning that Red Sox fans would rather have Betts in a Boston uniform than not, the front office somehow made an even better trade, which (sorry, Jason) lent credence to their supposedly drawn-from-thin-air medical concerns. The trade still went through, Betts is still in a Dodgers uniform (for 2020, at least), and the fans are still upset (though many (like myself) are somewhat content (as much as they can be, because losing Betts still hurts (but dumping Price is frigging great)). Therefore, Mastrodonato's point is . . .

I must shit on the Red Sox and this simplistic, illogical rant is the only way I can figure out how to do it. It requires readers to forget everything they know about how baseball works and it goes against 17 years of public evidence regarding the front office. I hope readers can forget the four (!) World Series championships these guys have presided over. ... What time is it? ... Ack, my deadline for this column is in 10 minutes. ... Dammit, okay, but I gotta slip in some intelligent observations (Betts won't be worth his next contract, one NL exec says the Red Sox did "pretty well", this was "a smart move" because doing otherwise would doom the club financially for many seasons) because I'm not the CHB and don't want to look like a complete moron.

Do you really need another reason to avoid the mainstream Boston sports media?

February 9, 2020

Mega-Deal 2.0: Betts, Price, $48M To Dodgers; Alex Verdugo (OF) Jeter Downs (2B-SS), Connor Wong (C) to Red Sox

According to "sources", the Red Sox and Dodgers have agreed on a deal, with Boston getting outfielder Alex Verdugo, second baseman-shortstop Jeter Downs, and catcher Connor Wong from Los Angeles.

The Red Sox's 2020 payroll is now at $188.3 million (or $19.6 million below the threshold).

Downs, 21, has a rather unfortunate first name, but he's a fantastic prospect. He hit 24 dongs last year between High A and AA. In 56 AA plate appearances, he had a 1.117 OPS (.429 OBP, .688 SLG). Downs was the Dodgers' #3 prospect, according to ProspectsLive. He has a good shot at being our second baseman in 2021.

(Full name: Jeter Deion Downs. His mother says he doesn't like his middle name all that much. That's too bad, man! We should probably refer to him as J. Deion Downs... or J.D. Downs or ... CI Downs.)
The one thing that pops out is his power output in 2019. After hitting 13 home runs in 120 games for the Reds in 2018, he smashed 24 home runs in 119 last season, not to mention more doubles too.

The big change came in his swing. ... The Dodgers worked to get loft and length on his swing, marrying his quick hands with a new discipline to use all fields more while simultaneously filling out his frame. The result was multiple long balls clearing 400 feet, including six home runs to right field.

Downs never slowed down last year, even nailing a 12-game Double-A debut when he slashed .333/.429/.688. On the dirt, the Dodgers kept him at shortstop for most of the year but he played some second base, which was his primary position in Cincinnati. ... Downs is comfortably a top 100 prospect at present with a dynamic power/speed combo.
Baseball Prospectus, from last season:
Downs showed a solid power-and-speed combination from the shortstop position in his age-20 season. He led the California League with 33 doubles, then continued to rake during a cameo at Double-A, tying off his season with a three-homer game in the Texas League playoffs. After a pull-happy first half, Downs made adjustments to better utilize the opposite field in the second half, and both the hit and game power tools flourished. ... [H]e's got a decent approach and there's solid-average pop, but he stills cuts off the outer half too often. He's an above-average runner whose instincts play amplify his baserunning skill and should allow him to continue stealing bases at a solid clip. Defensively, the athletic 5-foot-10 middle infielder has good mobility and receptive hands, along with a 50-grade arm that is reasonable enough to cut it at the six, if not ideal for the role. It's more comfortable as a second base projection, but he should be able to stay up the middle and add occasional shortstop utility. The bat will lead him to the big leagues ... he should be scratching at the major league door by 2021.
MLB.com slots Downs in as the #44 best prospect in baseball for 2020. Boston's only player on that list is first baseman Tristan Casas at #77.

Wong was promoted to AA last year and posted an .997 OPS, playing three positions: 24 games at catcher, 10 at third, and six at second.

Baseball Prospectus, from 2019:
Wong has excellent coordination that allows him to make hard line drive contact consistently, but the combination of an extreme arm bar, aggressive approach, and trouble recognizing breaking balls lead to outlandishly high strikeout rates that threaten to derail the offensive profile. The arm bar helps him generate power, but it also creates huge holes up and on the inner third. ...

Defensively, Wong has solid hands behind the plate, and while he doesn't always have a smooth path to the ball, he performs well enough vertically and on the edges of the zone to add some value with his receiving. He has good footwork on blocks and a quick transition out of the crouch, which helps an average arm to play. The organization has flirted with second- and third-base reps for him, as well.

Wong currently projects to a tandem catching role at the major league level if he can shorten up the upper half of his swing and continue to bring his pop into games against experienced arms.







I gotta agree with S M A R F: "2019 home runs is a shit ton of dingers".

It's always a wise idea to hire someone who has no clue how baseball works for a job that involves talking to people about how baseball works. Sports radio ... It's like seeing a blind man driving a cab. Do you really wanna get in his cab? ... I guess what I'm saying is ... avoid sports radio.

I'm very curious how Graterol miraculously improved - in exactly three days - from "a pitcher with arm issues" to "a huge asset ... with [a] 100-mph arm".

A.J. Hinch Interviewed About Sign-Stealing; WSJ Reports Scheme Was Set Up In 2016 And Continued Into 2018; Commissioner Manfred Covering Up Extensive Involvement Of Houston's Front Office; Two Yankees Suspect Astros Cheated In 2019, But No One Has Denied MFY Were Cheating 2015-17, So F Them; Charlie Morton Admits He Knew Astros Teammates Were Cheating In 2017

Former Astros manager A.J. Hinch was given a chance in a 25-minute interview to deny accusations that his Astros players wore buzzers under their uniforms to receive signals about certain pitches in 2019. Hinch did not deny the allegations.

MLB has stated it "found no evidence to substantiate" the stories about under-the-uniform devices. Hinch's interview with Tom Verducci aired on the MLB Network this past Friday. (Full interview here.)
I still feel responsible and will always feel responsible as the man out front. As the leader, I was in charge of the team. I put out a statement to apologize. But there is something different to doing it on camera and putting a face to an apology, and saying I'm sorry to the league, to baseball, to fans, to players, to the coaches. ...

It happened on my watch. I'm not proud of that. I'll never be proud of it. I didn't like it. But I have to own it because [I was] in a leadership position. ...

I didn't initiate, or didn't endorse [the scheme]. But I was the manager. I think there is a responsibility when you're in a position to end it. My mindset at that point was to demonstrate that I didn't like it [by smashing a couple of monitors]. In hindsight, I should have had a meeting and faced it ... and ended it. ... I tolerated too much. ...

I wish I would have [stopped it]. ... [T]hat's a big question that I'm going to process over what's now a season-long suspension.

Hinch was asked if the team's 2017 World Series title was tainted.
It's a fair question. And I think everyone is going to have to draw their own conclusion.

The Wall Street Journal reported on Friday that the Astros' front office laid the groundwork for the illegal sign-stealing scheme back in September 2016 using an Excel-based application nicknamed "Codebreaker". The program was introduced by Derek Vigoa, an intern at that time and now the Astros' senior manager of team operations.

The application was used to decode opposing catchers' signs for both home and road games throughout 2017 and for part of 2018. That system evolved over time into banging on a trash can.

Ex-Astros general manager Jeff Luhnow told MLB investigators that he believed "Codebreaker" would be used only to decipher signs from previous-played games. Three Astros employees, Vigoa, Tom Koch-Weser (the Astros' director of advance information), and Matt Hogan, say Luhnow lied to MLB investigators. Koch-Weser said Luhnow would often stop by the Astros' video room during road games and ask: "You guys Codebreaking?" Hogan told MLB that no one hid their activities from Luhnow. "It would have been something to show we were working and get validation of our work." Luhnow received on-going updates about Codebreaker. He claimed he didn't fully read these e-mails.

Commissioner Rob Manfred cleared kept secret (i.e., covered up) additional damaging information on the involvement of the Astros front office. In a January 2, 2020 letter, Manfred told Luhnow "there is more than sufficient evidence to support a conclusion that you knew — and overwhelming evidence that you should have known — that the Astros maintained a sign-stealing program that violated MLB's rules". In his official report, issued five days later, Manfred watered "more than sufficient evidence" down to "some knowledge of those efforts, but he did not give it much attention".


Yankees third baseman Gio Urshela thinks Houston's Jose Altuve "probably knew [a slider] was coming" when he hit a pennant-winning home run in Houston in 2019. And Yankees relief pitcher Adam Ottavino does not believe the Astros stopped cheating after 2017.
For me, when the trash cans stopped, it makes me think they just got smarter with the cheating, not that they stopped. That lends itself to a possible buzzer system. I don't know. ... It's a crazy rabbit hole to go down, for sure. ... [The Altuve at-bat] looks a little fishy, but ... I can't say one way or another.
When The Athletic reported in January that the 2018 Red Sox were being investigated for using their video replay room to steal opponents' signs, it also noted that the Yankees had done the same thing, beginning in 2015. While no one has denied the Yankees used their video room to steal signs from 2015-17, because MLB drew a line before the 2018 season, the MFY are not under investigation. (But last summer in London, Alex Cora implied that Carlos Beltran was up to some funny business with the Yankees. Like Ottovino says, it's hard to think a team would simply stop cheating after 2017.)


Rays pitcher Charlie Morton (a member of the 2017-18 Astros) admitted on Saturday that he knew about the 2017 sign-stealing scheme and understands why people think the Astros championship is not legit.
I was aware of the banging. You could hear the banging in the dugout. I don't know when it dawned on me, but you knew it was going on. ... I regret not doing more to stop it. I don't know what that would have entailed. I think the actions would have been somewhat extreme to stop it. ...

I know what it's like to struggle in the big leagues and I know what it's like to battle for a spot. So to know that was going on and guys were having to deal with that, pitching in the big leagues is tough enough, so that part was difficult. ...

Certainly the public perception of that [World Series] win has changed ... People have weighed in on this. That's the reality of it. There are moments during the World Series that will always be special to me, that won't be "tainted". But ... that's a justified perception to have.


A few weeks ago, White Sox pitcher Dallas Keuchel, a member of the 2017 Astros, apologized for Houston's sign-stealing operation, but fudged and downplayed the illegality of the operation.
First and foremost, I think that apologies should be in order, if not for everybody on the team. And when the stuff was going on, it was never intended to be what it's made to be right now. I think when stuff comes out about things that go on during the course of a big-league ball season, it's always blown up to the point of, "Oh gosh this has never happened before." I'm not going to go into specific detail, but over the course of the playoffs in 2017 everybody was using multiple signs.

For factual purposes, when there's nobody on base, when in the history of Major League Baseball has there been multiple signs? You can go back and watch film of every team in the playoffs, there were probably six out of eight teams using multiple signs. It's just what the state of baseball was at that point in time. Was it against the rules? Yes it was. And I personally am sorry for what's come about, the whole situation. It is what it is and we got to move past that. I never thought anything would've come like it did. I, myself, am sorry. ...

I can tell you not every game there were signs being stolen. Some guys did a really good job. And some times we, as a group, did have signs but we still couldn't hit the pitcher. So it wasn't like every game we had everything going on. The whole system, it really works a little bit, but at the same time there was a human element where some guys were better than our hitters.
You can certainly find fault with (or question) some of what Keuchel said ("it was never intended to be what it's made to be", the Astros did not cheat in every game) but he did apologize, which is far more than the outright evasions or "no comments" offered by Jose Altuve and Alex Bregman.

Keuchel said the Astros' pitchers probably did not benefit from the stolen signs in 2017. Then, in his very next sentence, he said some pitchers benefited, but not him. Most of the time. (How he knows this is not explained.)
Did our pitchers benefit from any of that? I mean, not really. But at the same time, we might've had a few runs more per game. In my instance, I did not. I was actually pretty mad about that. I didn't really enjoy that sometimes. It is what it is.
Jon Greenberg of The Athletic:
In 23 starts in 2017, Keuchel's run support was 5.07 runs per game, less than Charlie Morton's 6.1 and more than Fiers' 4.67. Still, in 12 of Keuchel's starts, he got five or more runs of support. He only got one run of support in Game 1 of the 2017 World Series, giving up three runs in seven innings and taking the loss. In Game 5, he was pulled after 3.2 innings, but the Astros won at home, 13-12.


A few weeks after the Astros' story broke, The Athletic's Molly Knight noted that "little has been written about the damage that such a [sign-stealing] system could have inflicted on fringe baseball players just trying to hold on to their jobs".
After all, one bad outing could lead to a guy being cut from the organization. Or, it could result in a pitcher being optioned to the minor leagues and potentially losing hundreds of thousands of dollars.

The major-league minimum salary in 2017 was $535,000. That year, players on minimum contracts made about $3,300 per game. ... The pay scale in the minor leagues is in a different universe. That same year, some minor-league pitchers were paid as little as $12,000 for the entire season.

There is also the issue of service time. A player must remain on the active roster for a set number of days before he is eligible for arbitration, a process that initiates significant pay bumps. Demotions to the minors delay that mechanism as well.
Knight went back through Houston's 2017 box scores and identified "nine opposing pitchers who were either optioned to the minors or designated for assignment immediately following a shaky outing at Minute Maid Park".

She contacted those nine pitchers: Chase DeJong (Mariners), Matt Strahm (Royals), Anthony Bass (Rangers), Tyler Wilson (Orioles), Dillon Gee (Rangers), Sam Gaviglio (Mariners), Chase Whitley (Rays), Matt Dermody (Blue Jays), and Mike Bolsinger (Blue Jays).

Four of the nine men replied "within minutes". Everyone who spoke to Knight requested anonymity. One pitcher told Knight he "wasn't interested in ever watching his game in Houston again".


David Spampinato, Twitter, January 29: "On August 4th, the game with the most trash can bangs, the Astros scored 16 earned runs. Mike Bolsinger, a Blue Jays reliever, allowed 4 earned runs in 0.1 IP. He never pitched in the big leagues again."