August 21, 2020

G27: Red Sox 8, Orioles 5

Red Sox - 012 032 000 - 8  9  0
Orioles - 000 000 230 - 5  8  0
Rafael Devers, J.D. Martinez, and Xander Bogaerts hit home runs, Michael Chavis drove in a pair of runs, and Colten Brewer (4-3-0-2-2, 71) had his best outing of the season. It all added up to Boston's third consecutive win. The Red Sox have hit six home runs in those three games.

In the sixth inning, the Red Sox announced it had traded relief pitchers Brandon Workman and Heath Hembree to the Phillies for right-handed pitcher Nick Pivetta, 27, and minor league hurler Connor Seabold, 24. Both newcomers were assigned to Pawtucket. Pivetta was born on Vancouver Island (!), British Columbia, and is under the Red Sox's control for the next three seasons. Seabold was a third-round pick in the 2017 draft.

Bogaerts led off the second with his sixth homer of the year. Martinez (celebrating his 33rd birthday) belted his third dong in the third, to dead center (431 feet), with Kevin Pillar aboard. With two on the fifth, Devers pounded his fourth home run halfway up the section of seats in right-center (447 feet, exit velocity: 108.1 mph). Chavis broke an 0-for-11 skid with a two-run single in the sixth. (Alex Verdugo extended his hitting streak to 12 games, a career high.)

The Orioles whittled the 8-0 lead down to where it was a little uncomfortable. Josh Osich gave up back-to-back dongs to Pat Valaika and Cedric Mullins in the seventh. Osich was an out away from escaping the eighth with a man on first, but he issued his second walk of the frame and Chance Sisco belted a three-run shot.

In the ninth, Mullins bunted for a leadoff hit against Matt Barnes. Hanser Alberto lined out to second and Barnes threw a wild pitch. Anthony Santander flied to right and Renato Nunez grounded to shortstop.

Darwinzon Hernandez made his first appearance of the season, pitching the fifth and sixth in relief of Brewer. His command was good and he hit 97 with his fastball, striking three and allowing one hit and one walk. Ron Roenicke: "Coming out today for the first time, he threw some nasty pitches. You see the swings they take and the bats that break. It's really good stuff. It was fun to see him back."
Colten Brewer / John Means
Pillar, RF
Devers, 3B
Martinez, DH
Bogaerts, SS
Vázquez, C
Verdugo, LF
Chavis, 1B
Bradley, CF
Peraza, 2B
Jim Salisbury, NBCSPhilly:
The Phillies are in active talks with Red Sox to acquire closer Brandon Workman. Not final. But I hear multiple players are involved in proposed deal.
Peter Abraham, Globe:
#Phillies have been inquiring about a number of different #RedSox relievers in the last week. My understanding is that all of the Sox primary relievers (Workman, Barnes, Hembree, etc.) are readily available.

Padres Make History With A Grand Slam In Four Consecutive Games

The Slam Diego Padres are the first major league team to hit a grand slam in four consecutive games.

Before Thursday night's game, the Padres were one of only five teams to ever hit slams in three straight games (and the first since the 2006 White Sox (June 23-25, 2006).

The last National League team to hit slams in three straight games was the 1895 Cleveland Spiders (June 15-17, against the Boston Beaneaters). Seriously! 125 years ago!

But I cannot understand how NO ONE - not even the Padres (or MLB) - will give a list of the teams to have hit slams in three games. No one did it even when the Padres tied the record. They all mentioned the 2006 White Sox, because that was provided to them, but didn't any writer take some initiative? Wasn't anyone curious?!?

This is what I could find:

Five Previous Teams With Grand Slams In Three Consecutive Games
Cleveland Spiders - June 15 and 17, 1895, against the Boston Beaneaters (5-6, 10-9, 7-9)
???
???
Detroit Tigers - August 10-12, 1993, against the Orioles (15-1, 15-5, 17-11)
Chicago White Sox - June 23-25, 2006, against the Astros (7-4, 6-5 (10), 9-10 (13))
Also: The 2007 Kansas City Royals gave up grand slams in three straight games, against the Orioles (April 13–14: 1-8, 4-6) and Tigers (April 16: 5-12).

Maybe someone else can find the elusive information.

Here are the Padres' blasts. Four swings, 16 runs!

Monday, August 17: Fernando Tatis Jr. hit a 3-0 pitch over the opposite field wall. It upset people who believe in invisible things from coast to coast. Tatis finished with seven RBI as the Padres beat Texas 14-4.
Tuesday, August 18: After three singles to start the game loaded the bases, Wil Myers batted with two outs and hit one out to left-center. The Padres beat Texas 6-4.
Wednesday, August 19: Texas tied the game at 2-2 in the top of the ninth and took a 3-2 lead in the top of the tenth. In the Padres' half, a bunt put the stupid gift runner on third. Rafael Montero then walks the next two batters (on six and nine pitches, respectively) before battling Manny Machado for another eight pitches. Montero's last offering is belted off the upper deck in left for a 6-4 Padres win. (It was the 18th extra-inning walk-off grand slam for a team that had been behind, and the first such walk-off dong in Padres' history.)
Thursday, August 20: Eric Hosmer slugged a 1-1 fastball to right in the fifth inning. The Padres beat Texas 8-7 in 10 innings (another walk-off win), sweeping the four-game series (two games in Texas, two in Slam Diego).

August 20, 2020

G26: Red Sox 7, Orioles 1

Red Sox - 021 000 004 - 7 12  0
Orioles - 000 000 100 - 1  5  0
Nathan Eovaldi (7-5-1-1-6, 97) threw seven strong innings and Xander Bogaerts and Mitch Moreland both homered to lead the offense.

Bogaerts (3-for-5, 2 runs, 2 RBI) hit a solo dong in the third. He also knocked in a run in the ninth, right before Moreland (2-for-4, 3 RBI) hit his seventh homer of the year, a three-run job. Rafael Devers and Christian Vázquez also had two hits each.

Vázquez led off the second inning with a hit and Kevin Pillar walked. José Peraza singled in vaz for one run and Pillar scored on Alex Verdugo's groundout.

Baltimore scored one run in the seventh, on a leadoff solo home run, but Eovaldi retired the next three batters. Ryan Brasier pitched a perfect eighth, striking out two.

The Red Sox put the game on ice in the ninth. Verdugo walked and Devers singled. Miguel Castro came in from the pen. J.D. Martinez grounded into a fielder's choice, with Devers out at second (the call was upheld after the Red Sox challenged). Bogaerts singled to left, making it 4-1 before Moreland left the yard.

Phillips Valdez sandwiched two strikeouts in the bottom of the ninth, both looking, around a fly to left.

The back-to-back victories ties the Red Sox's longest winning streak of the season. ... The pitching staff has allowed only eight hits over the last two games.
Nathan Eovaldi / Asher Wojciechowski
Verdugo, LF
Devers, 3B
Martinez, DH
Bogaerts, SS
Moreland, 1B
Vázquez, C
Pillar, RF
Bradley, CF
Peraza, 2B
Eovaldi
          G   IP    H  RA  BB   K    ERA    AVG   OBP   SLG   OPS   H/9  BB/9
July      2  11.0  13   3   2   8   2.45   .310  .356  .452  .808  10.6   1.6
August    3  16.1  21  15   3  19   8.27   .304  .342  .652  .995  11.6   1.7
Eovaldi's opponents' average, on-base, hits/9, and walks/9 are nearly identical, but his ERA more than tripled in August.

The difference is extra-base hits. Eovaldi gave up four in July: three doubles and one solo home run.

In August, he has allowed 12: five doubles, two triples, and five dongs (two solo, two 2-run, one 3-run).

The Red Sox reinstated Darwinzon Hernandez from the COVID IL.

The Orioles are 12-12, but have lost five of their last six games. They won two of three against the Red Sox at Fenway on July 24-26.

The Red Sox have lost nine of their last ten. Since July 31, they are 4-14. ... They allowed a season-low three hits yesterday, but in the nine games before that (all losses, as you may recall), they gave up an average of 12.8 hits per game.

Try not to get bogged down in the flurry of advanced stats in this highly analytical take from the CHB:
Why does Nate Eovaldi get so much love from Red Sox Nation? ... [F]olks around here talk about him like he's Don Drysdale when he's been more like John Wasdin ... Eovaldi is 47-56 lifetime. He is 6-6 over three seasons since he came to the Red Sox. In the sugar-high days after the 2018 World Series, the Sox gave Eovaldi a four-year, $68 million contract. Since then, he is 3-3 with a 6.32 ERA.
Actually, Eovaldi's ERA in 2019-20 is 5.97, not 6.32. Maybe just stick with W-L, okay, Dan, since anything more than simple addition seems too complicated for you. (Admission: I neither multiplied nor divided to get the correct numbers. I just mouse-clicked a few times.)

Reds Suspend Veteran Announcer After He Uses Homophobic Slur On Air; He Departs Booth Mid-Game, But Not Before Calling A Home Run During His Apology

The Reds have suspended veteran announcer Thom Brennaman after his use of a homophobic slur went out over the air during the first game of a Wednesday doubleheader in Kansas City.

The Fox Sports Ohio feed had returned from a commercial break several seconds before Brennaman (unaware he was on the air) said the phrase "one of the fag capitals of the world". A few seconds later, he read a promo before the top of the seventh. It is unclear what Brennaman was referring to.
After the Reds learned of the statement, presumably from videos posted on social media, they took Brennaman off the broadcast in the fifth inning of the second game and released this statement:
The Cincinnati Reds organization is devastated by the horrific, homophobic remark made this evening by broadcaster Thom Brennaman. He was pulled off the air, and effective immediately was suspended from doing Reds broadcasts. We will be addressing our broadcasting team in the coming days. In no way does this incident represent our players, coaches, organization, or our fans. We share our sincerest apologies to the LGBTQ+ community in Cincinnati, Kansas City, all across this country, and beyond. The Reds embrace a zero-tolerance policy for bias or discrimination of any kind, and we are truly sorry to anyone who has been offended.
Brennaman apologized in the top of the fifth of Game 2 before leaving the booth.
I made a comment earlier tonight that I guess went out over the air that I am deeply ashamed of. If I have hurt anyone out there, I can't tell you how much I say from the bottom of my heart, I'm so very, very sorry. I pride myself and think of myself as man of faith [Nick Castellanos of the Reds hits a home run!] I made a comment earlier tonight that I guess went out over the air that I am deeply ashamed of. If I hurt anyone out there, I can't tell you how much I say from the bottom of my heart, I am very, very sorry. ... I don't know if I'll be putting on this headset again. I don't know if it's gonna be for the Reds, I don't know if it's gonna be for my bosses at FOX. I want to apologize for the people who sign my paycheck, for the Reds, for FOX Sports Ohio, for the people I work with or anybody that I've offended tonight. I can't begin to tell you how deeply sorry I am. That is not who I am. It never has been. And I'd like to think maybe I could have some people that could back that up. I am very, very sorry and I beg for your forgiveness.
"That is not who I am." Brennaman felt comfortable using the slur in casual conversation with the broadcast crew and/or his booth partners. And with a actual microphone in front of his mouth with the game coming out of a commercial break. Of course, it's who he is.

And yet again, we hear the "if I hurt anyone" non-apology apology. ... So if it can be confirmed that no one who heard the slur was hurt or offended, then what, Thom? You reserve the right to rescind your apology?

Reds pitchers Amir Garrett and Matt Bowman tweeted their support for the LBGTQ+ community.

Garrett (who has two beautiful dogs) wrote:
To the LGBTQ community just know I am with you, and whoever is against you, is against me. I'm sorry for what was said today.
Bowman said:
LGBTQ+ community, as a member of the Reds organization, I am so sorry for the way you were marginalized tonight. There will always be a place for you in the baseball community and we are so happy to have you here.
Announcers saying stupid (and bigoted) things is nothing new, but two players promptly posting unquestioning support for LGBTQ+ people (and also apologizing on behalf of their team) is something I don't think we would have seen even five years ago.

August 19, 2020

G25: Red Sox 6, Phillies 3

Phillies - 200 000 100 - 3  3  1
Red Sox  - 002 110 11x - 6  9  2
Since Sunday, August 9, the Red Sox had been playing under the strict guidelines of the Clean Water Act. On Wednesday afternoon, at long last, there was some dirty water.

Kyle Hart (3.2-2-2-4-5, 73) and a quintet of relievers combined to limit the Phillies to three hits. They did issue six walks, which is not preferred, but the Phillies staffed walked seven.

Rafael Devers had three hits all by himself, including a two-run homer in the third and a run-producing double in the seventh. Jackie Bradley drove in two runs and Mitch Moreland and Alex Verdugo each scored twice.

After falling behind 2-0, the Red Sox scored four times. In the third, they ran the old Two-Outs-Bases-Clean-Rally when, within three pitches, Kevin Pillar doubled and Devers homered off Jake Arrieta (4.1-5-4-4-3, 79). Moreland led off the fourth with a walk, went to third on Christian Vázquez's single to right, and scored on Bradley's sac fly to center.

Verdugo doubled with one out in the fifth and scored on an error. The Red Sox had an opportunity for more, with runners at the corners and only one out, but Adam Morgan fanned both Xander Bogaerts and Moreland.

The Phillies scored in the top of the seventh, but the Red Sox matched it in the bottom half, with Verdugo walking and stealing second before Devers doubled him home. Moreland hit a ground-rule double to open the eighth and Vázquez walked. Bradley doubled Moreland in. Conor Brogdon got two outs, then walked Verdugo intentionally before retiring Pillar.

Brandon Workman made short work of the ninth. A grounder to first, a strikeout, and a fly to center – and the Red Sox had snapped their nine-game losing streak.
Jake Arrieta / Kyle Hart
Verdugo LF
Pillar, RF
Devers, 3B
Bogaerts, DH
Moreland, 1B
Vázquez, C
Bradley, CF
Lin, SS
Peraza, 2B

Doubleheader Games Are Now Only Seven Innings, Relief Pitchers Must Face Three Batters, Extra Innings Begin With A Runner On Second Base, And Uniforms Have Advertising On Them, But These Brash Young Players Need To Respect The Integrity Of The Game

Who violates baseball's "unwritten rules"?

Yasiel Puig (June 21, 2017): Hit a towering three-run homer against the Mets. David Schoenfield (ESPN): "Let's just say he stood there at home plate. And watched. And admired. And enjoyed ... By the time he finally rounded the bases, it was 32.1 seconds later ... Mets first baseman Wilmer Flores didn't like it ... Catcher Travis d'Arnaud didn't like it. ... Mets players Yoenis Cespedes and Jose Reyes stopped Puig on his way out to right field ... Remember: Don't look like you're too happy about doing something good."

Jarrod Dyson (June 21, 2017): Bunted for a hit off Detroit's Justin Verlander, who had retired the first 19 batters. Lookout Landing explained: "It's against the unwritten rules to win a baseball game if the other pitcher pitched 5/9 of a good game."

Tim Anderson (April 17, 2019): Homers against the Royals, flips his bat. Two innings later, he is hit by a pitch, leading to a bench-clearing brawl.

Yairo Munoz (July 25, 2019): With his team up 11-4 in the fourth inning, he stole second and then took third when he saw no one was covering the bag.

Fernando Tatis Jr. (August 17 and 18, 2020): Swung at a 3-0 pitch with his team ahead 10-3 and (oops!) hit a grand slam. Opposing pitcher Ian Gibaut then fired a fastball behind Manny Machado's melon. The next night, Tatis stole third while Gibaut was in his set position, beating the pitcher's hurried throw.

I wonder what the one thing is that these five players have in common? Hmmmm ...

(Okay, some white players are also criticized.)

Sid Seixeiro, Twitter:
Baseball's the type of sport where its brightest young star hits a grand slam and people are mad he didn't do it the "right way". Great point. In a 60-game season with 7-inning double-headers we need to keep the integrity of the game intact.
Sheryl Ring, Beyond The Box Score:
If an unwritten rule were worth following, it would be written down.
Marc Carig, The Athletic:
I can't think of any more antithetical to the sport than a prohibition on trying hard.

That's the rule that Tatis violated on Monday night, with his Padres up 10-3 in the eighth inning against the Rangers. With the count at 3-0, with the bases loaded, in a game that counts in the standings, he had the audacity to try. He swung the bat, and because he's one of the best players on the planet, he hit a rocket over the fence. It's the outcome that every hitter should want. And after the game, he was castigated for it. ...

[A] seven-run lead that late in a game isn't insurmountable, especially now. ...

Look at the A's. Just three days prior, they entered the ninth inning against the Giants down five runs. They tied the game, and then won in the 10th. Improbable? Yes. Impossible? No. Especially now.

Hell, look at the Padres last June, when they beat the Rockies 16-12 ... clawing back despite trailing 11-4 entering the eighth. ...

Imagine an alternate scenario. Let's say that instead of hitting a homer, Tatis hit a grounder, jogged out of the box, then explained later on, "aw, screw it, we were up big, I didn't feel like running." Clearly, that's unacceptable. But according to these rules, so is trying. ...

Fernando Tatis Jr. stepped into a batter's box and had the audacity to give his full effort. If this is a violation, perhaps it's time to rethink the rules.
There was more good commentary in the comments.
If you don't want your guys to hit, put in the bench players who can't hit very well.

I also love the dichotomy of folks who complain about players "taking at-bats off" or "not running out fly balls" and then turn around and complain when someone tries too hard in a blow out.

So, if he had taken the 3-0 pitch for a strike and hit the 3-1 pitch for a HR, that would have been okay?

Yogi Berra, "It ain't over till it's over." ... Jayce Tingler: "I don't want to hurt my former employer's feelings."

Unwritten rules are the one place where a quitter mentality is not only allowed, but openly advocated for. ... [S]omehow Tatis isn't "playing the game the right way" when he is, quite literally, playing the game the dictionary definition right way - to win.

"These players are soft today!" ... "Uh, you'd better not pile on when you're up 7 runs or else feelings will be hurt. Not written anywhere, but it is the gentlemanly thing to do."

On July 31, the Mets led the Braves 8-2 and 10-5. They lost 11-10.

To those that support these unwritten rules, try this experiment: pretend that you're explaining the game of baseball to someone that knows nothing about it. When you get to the part about the unwritten rules, record yourself. Then go back and listen to your own explanation of said rules. It should sound like the some of the dumbest shit you've ever heard in your life.
Chris Woodward is not only a major league manager, he's a major league hypocrite.

July 22, 2002: Woodward doubles on a 3-0 pitch with his team up by three runs in the sixth inning. Not quite a blowout, but still ...

May 16, 2019: Texas leads Kansas City 12-1 in the ninth inning. The Royals have a position player pitching. Texas scores four more runs, hitting two home runs (including Rougned Odor on the first pitch), to go up 16-1. Woodward is not bothered.

September 26, 2019: Texas pitcher Mike Minor intentionally lets a pop fly drop against the Red Sox so he can have another chance to get his 200th strikeout. When the Red Sox call it a bush-league move, Woodward defends Minor. And Minor later says FU to anyone who disapproves.

August 20, 2004: Woodward, playing for Tampa Bay, hits his only career grand slam. It came with the Rays up by six runs (10-4) with two outs in the top of the ninth inning.

August 18, 2020

G24: Phillies 13, Red Sox 6

Phillies - 000 117 130 - 13 16  0
Red Sox  - 102 010 101 -  6 11  1
Zack Godley (4-4-1-1-4, 84) pitched well, but six relievers gave up 12 hits and 12 runs in five innings.

Heath Hembree faced five batters in the sixth inning and got none of them out, allowing four runs. Josh Taylor and Marcus Warden each gave up three runs.

Rafael Devers went 3-for-5 and scored twice. Xander Bogaerts and Mitch Moreland both went 2-for-3 and knocked in two runs.

The Phillies sent 12 men to the plate in the sixth.

Unwritten Rules Update: With his team up by six runs in the fourth inning, Fernando Tatis Jr. stole third base with two outs on pitcher Ian Gibaut, the clown who threw behind Machado last night after Tatis grand-slammed a 3-0 pitch. Tatis is torching the unwritten rulebook. Hahahahaa.
Zach Elfin / Zack Godley
Verdugo, LF
Devers, 3B
Martinez, DH
Bogaerts, SS
Moreland, 1B
Pillar, RF
Chavis, 2B
Lin, CF
Plawecki, C
Zach vs Zack. What a match-up!

The Red Sox's most recent losing streak of more than eight games was 10 games in 2014 (May 15-25).

Each of the Red Sox's last three victories against the Phillies at Fenway Park has been an extra-inning, walk-off win:
June 12, 2017 - 6-5 (11)
June 13, 2017 - 4-3 (12)
July 30, 2018 - 2-1 (13)
The innings increase: 11, 12, 13. The scores decrease: 6-5, 4-3, 2-1.

If this pattern continues, the next home win against Philadelphia will be: Red Sox 0, Phillies -1 (14).

I'm not sure how many would bother to come out, but Red Sox Sam Kennedy says no fans at Fenway this season. "While we were hopeful fans would be able to return to Fenway at some point this season, we agree that now is not the right time, given the state of the virus around the country."

Red Sox Schedule Changes:

August 19: Phillies-Red Sox, moved from 7 PM to 1:35 PM

September 8-9: Red Sox-Phillies series, changed to a September 8 doubleheader, starting at 4 PM. September 9 is now an off-day.

September 14: Red Sox-Marlins, moved to September 17 at 1 PM, which had been an off-day. I guess the 14th is now an off-day.

My Unwritten Rule: People Who Seriously Quote Baseball's "Unwritten Rules" Are Childish Dolts

Unwritten Rules Update: With his team up by six runs in the fourth inning, Fernando Tatis Jr. stole third base with two outs on pitcher Ian Gibaut, the clown who threw behind Machado last night after Tatis grand-slammed a 3-0 pitch. Tatis stole the base before Gibaut delivered the pitch! He's torching the unwritten rulebook. Hahahahaa.



It's hard to believe that in 2020 there are still professional baseball people who publicly whine about alleged infractions of the so-called "unwritten rules" of baseball.

(But then I remember that a frighteningly large percentage of the population still worship and support, and are apparently willing to die for, and/or sacrifice the lives of their children for, a man whose bottomless incompetence, selfish disinterest, and undiagnosed mental illnesses have led directly to the deaths of more than 200,000 Americans (and there is no end of deaths in sight).)

Wasn't MLB's 2018-19 advertising campaign ("Let the kids play!") supposed to finally end this decades-old nonsense?

Last night, Fernando Tatis Jr. of the Padres swung at a 3-0 pitch from Texas reliever Juan Nicasio and hit a grand slam. San Diego had a 10-3 lead in the eighth inning at the time. It turns out Tatis had missed a "take" sign. It happens. Well, the Texas team was not very pleased at this turn of events and so Ian Gibaut, who replaced Nicasio on the mound, promptly fired his first pitch (a 93 mph fastball) behind Manny Machado's head.

Texas also should have been not very pleased with Nicasio falling behind 3-0 count on four consecutive hitters (Tatis included) and walking two of them before the slam. Nicasio was not ejected for his headhunting and the umpires issued no warnings. Solid work, blue.

Also last night, Washington's Juan Soto belted a 445-foot ninth-inning home run off Atlanta's Will Smith, giving the Nationals a 6-3 lead (Atlanta rallied and won the game in the bottom of the ninth). Soto briefly admired the flight of his home run, but it was long enough for Smith to curse at him, which (naturally) prompted Soto to trot around the bases even slower than he had originally planned.

Nationals manager Dave Martinez had the correct response after the game:
Will Smith said something to Soto that I didn't really appreciate. So I just want to let him know, hey, it wasn't Juan who threw the ball. His job is to hit so just be quiet and get on the mound. You threw the pitch, make a better pitch.
These "Unwritten Rules" are created solely by individual bias. Someone thinks you shouldn't bunt in the last three innings of a no-hitter or steal a base if your team leads by four or more runs after the fifth inning or some other random idiocy, then a few other players agree, and it's suddenly a "rule".

You know why these rules are "unwritten"? BECAUSE THEY ARE NOT ACTUAL RULES. No one has to follow them. No one should follow them. They don't exist, outside of the minds of people who want to control players' actions to conform to their own stunted ideas of how players should behave.

In Texas, Tatis adopted a somewhat conciliatory tone:
I've been in this game since I was a kid, and I know a lot of unwritten rules. And this time, I was kind of lost on this one. From those experiences, you have to learn. Probably next time, I'll take a pitch. I love this game and I respect this game a lot. ... This game is hard for everyone, so why not just celebrate and have fun the way you wanna have fun?
Two current pitchers and two former hitters weighed in on Twitter:

Reds pitcher Trevor Bauer:
Hey @tatis_jr listen up. 1) Keep swinging 3-0 if you want to, no matter what the game situation is, 2) Keep hitting homers, no matter what the situation is, 3) Keep bringing energy and flash to baseball and making it fun, 4) The only thing you did wrong was apologize. Stop that.
Red Sox pitcher Colin McHugh:
Swinging in a 3-0 count should not be against any rules, no matter the score. Before a game I would always look to see what % a guy swings 3-0. If it's over 20%, it means I can't just groove one. The guys who will never "give you a pitch" at the plate are the toughest AB's. In this data driven baseball age, there's nowhere to hide. If you have a tendency, it's gonna be exploited. Swinging 3-0, to me, is the same as swinging first pitch of an AB. If you do it enough times, a pitcher can't game plan as well against you.
Reggie Jackson:
Fernando Tatis keep playing hard and playing great, it's a pleasure to watch you play ... It ain't easy to hit Hrs. Keep bringing energy you have to the game, we need players like you.
Johnny Bench:
So you take a pitch…now you're 3-1. Then the pitcher comes back with a great setup pitch…3-2. Now you're ready to groundout into a double play. Everyone should hit 3-0. Grand Slams are a huge stat.
As ESPN's David Schoenfield noted, "Just because you're down seven runs doesn't give you the right to throw a 3-0 fastball down the middle and expect an easy strike."

In 2019, batters swung at a 3-0 pitch 11.1% of the time. Even when their team was ahead by 5+ runs, players swung at a 3-0 pitch 5.2% of the time. Those rates are nearly double from what they were ten years earlier (5.3% and 2.2%, respectively). So the game changes and pitchers would be wise to change with it.

Schoenfield:
It is all kind of silly. If Tatis had crushed a first-pitch fastball or even a 2-0 fastball, nobody would raise an eyebrow. But because it was 3-0 he has somehow, what, destroyed the integrity of the game? Hurt Juan Nicasio's feelings? This isn't Little League. He's trying to compete, to drive in runs, to hit home runs. Sure, a seven-run lead with two innings to go is pretty safe, but you never know. The Giants just blew a five-run lead in the ninth inning the other night.
Padres manager Jayce Tingler let Tatis know right away that he missed a sign.
It's a learning opportunity, and that's it. He'll grow from it. ... Just so you know, a lot of our guys have green light 3-0. But in this game in particular, we had a little bit of a comfortable lead. We're not trying to run up the score or anything like that.
Note to Tingler (who will probably learn this simple fact after his team blows a six-run lead in the last two innings of a game sometime down the road): ALWAYS run up the score. ALWAYS. ALWAYS. ALWAYS.

Everyone always says: "You can never have enough pitching". Well, you also can never score enough runs. The trailing team is not going to stop trying to score runs and come back, so you keep scoring to make sure they don't.

Manny Acta tweeted:
While coaching 3b in Montreal, I held up a runner at 3rd base out of "respect" for the other club. Frank Robinson almost grabbed me by the ear and said to me: "Listen son, you only have enough runs when you're showering after a win" #unwrittenrules
After the game in Atlanta, Texas manager Chris Woodward (who at 44 is already a grumpy old man feeling lost in the modern world) told everyone to get off his lawn:
There's a lot of unwritten rules that are constantly being challenged in today's game. I didn't like it, personally. You're up by seven in the eighth inning; it's typically not a good time to swing 3-0. It's kind of the way we were all raised in the game. But, like I said, the norms are being challenged on a daily basis. ... I don't think we liked it as a group.
Boo hoo, Chris. It's time to accept that the world does not run exactly on your terms.

August 17, 2020

G23: Yankees 6, Red Sox 3

Red Sox - 000 101 001 - 3  8  0
Yankees - 030 110 10x - 6  5  2
The time of game for Monday's loss to the Yankees was only 2:46 (tied for the quickest Red Sox game of the season), but because the evening also included a rain delay of 83 minutes, a total of four hours and nine minutes passed from the first pitch to the last, making Boston's eighth consecutive loss one of the most drawn-out defeats of the year.

The Red Sox have been swept in consecutive four-game series by the Rays and Yankees. They are 1-12 against Tampa Bay and New York this year and 5-5 against everyone else (Orioles, Mets, Blue Jays). Since clinching the 2018 ALDS in New York, the Red Sox are 1-15 at Yankee Stadium, including losses in their last 10 games.

Boston is now 6-17, 10.5 GB. Only one Red Sox team has ever gotten off to a worse start. The 1932 Red Sox were 4-19 through 23 games. ... The 1996 team was also 6-17 and the 1906 club was 6-16-1.

Luke Voit hit two home runs, a two-run shot in the second off Martín Pérez (3-2-3-3-1, 58) and a solo shot off Josh Osich in the fifth. Thairo Estrada also went deep against Osich and Aaron Hicks homered off Austin Brice.

The MFY had five hits and six runs and Hicks and Voit, the top two hitters in the lineup, combined for four hits, four runs, and five RBI.

The rain interrupted the game right after the Red Sox scored their first run, on consecutive two-out singles from J.D. Martinez, Xander Bogaerts, and Christian Vázquez. When play resumed, Michael Chavis walked, but Alex Verdugo struck out, leaving the bases loaded.

The Yankees increased their lead on Estrada's leadoff home run in the bottom of the fourth and Voit's shot leading off the fifth.

Boston waited until there were two outs before scoring in the sixth, also. Vázquez singled, Chavis was hit by a pitch, and Verdugo hit a ground-rule double to left. But the Red Sox squandered a chance for more, as José Peraza left runners at second and third.

In the ninth, Peraza tripled with one out and scored on Jonathan Araúz's double, off Aroldis Chapman. But, again, the Red Sox could not take further advantage. Chapman, pitching in his first game since recovering from SARS-CoV-2, fanned both Kevin Pillar and Rafael Devers to complete New York's four-game sweep.
Martín Pérez / Jordan Montgomery
Pillar, CF
Devers, 3B
Martinez, DH
Bogaerts, SS
Vázquez, C
Chavis, 1B
Verdugo, RF
Peraza, LF
Araúz, 2B
I'm resisting putting "G23: Yankees x, Red Sox x" as the title of this post to save myself a little time later on.


The Red Sox held the dreaded "team meeting" yesterday afternoon, before losing their seventh consecutive game. As Jen McCaffrey writes, the big question was: "What's wrong with us?" [Umm .. everything?]
"We've got good leaders on this team, and they called for it," outfielder Kevin Pillar said after Sunday's 4-2 loss. "We just talked about … stop feeling sorry for ourselves. Stop putting the added pressure on us as individuals, especially the guys who have gotten off to a good start, thinking that there's not enough time to turn the season around. You're putting a lot of pressure on every single at-bat. You're taking at-bats to the field. Not getting caught up in what's happening across the league as far as COVID(-19) is concerned, if it's going to get shut down, or when it's going to shut down. Just really coming to terms that we've done a tremendous job as an organization not having any positive tests." ...

"We had quite a few players talk," Pillar said. "We just kind of wanted to open the floor up to everyone and get some frustration out, vent a little bit and try to get on the same page collectively — something we really haven't been able to do. With our configurations at home, it makes it that much more difficult to just come back, pick up guys. Even when we were able to win some games at home, everyone just goes their separate ways. There's not a sense of camaraderie and unity and celebrating achievements. We've had first major-league hits and everyone goes their separate ways. It's been difficult to collectively enjoy some good moments that we've had here."

Even after their most recent win, which came Aug. 9 on a Mitch Moreland walk-off homer, the excitement couldn't pour over into the home clubhouse at Fenway. ...

Some will call it excuse-making, but every team handles adversity differently. ...

The Red Sox have noticed their opponents finding ways to win and making baseball feel like more baseball.

"They're making it as normal as possible," Pillar said. "And I think that was the message we were trying to get across was let's make this as normal as possible."
Pillar is making excuses, to a point, because the pandemic is forcing every team to act differently, to go their separate ways after games and not celebrate big wins as they may have done in the past. But as McCaffrey acknowledges, not everyone can easily brush those changes aside.

Missing the talents of Chris Sale, David Price, Rodriguez, Mookie Betts (and others) is obviously a huge loss. No team could be expected to contend after losing their top three starters and an MVP outfielder. I don't know if running simulations of the 2020 season with the current roster would show an expected 6-16 record after 22 games, but things probably wouldn't be much better. 9-13, perhaps? And is that really much of a difference?

August 16, 2020

G22: Yankees 4, Red Sox 2

Red Sox - 001 000 001 - 2  5  1
Yankees - 112 000 00x - 4 10  1
The good news is the Red Sox allowed only four runs, having already set a franchise record of allowing at least eight runs in six consecutive games.

Boston lost its seventh straight game of the season and its ninth straight game to the Yankees. It's the Yankees' longest winning streak over the Red Sox since 1952-53. This is also the third season in which the Yankees have begun 9-0 at home (1951, 1987).

Kevin Pillar homered in the third, cutting the MFY's lead to 2-1, but Mike Ford cranked a two-run dong in the bottom half to extend the Yankees' lead.

In the ninth, Yankees reliever Zack Britton made a fielding error with two outs, allowing Christian Vázquez (who had doubled with one out) to score. With Kevin Plawecki batting as the potential tying run, Peraza took second on a passed ball by Gary Sanchez (of course). Plawecki chased a 2-2 sinker in the dirt and struck out.

The White Sox hit back-to-back-to-back-to-back home runs on Sunday against the Cardinals, with Yoán Moncada, Yasmani Grandal, José Abreu, and Eloy Jiménez going deep in the fifth inning. (Moncada, Grandal, and Abreu are the first three Cubans to hit consecutive home runs in major league history.)

That has happened 10 times in major league history (all since 1961), including the Red Sox (Manny Ramirez, J.D. Drew, Mike Lowell, and Jason Varitek) doing it on April 22, 2007 against the Yankees
Chris Mazza / J.A. Happ
Pillar, CF
Devers, 3B
Martinez, RF
Bogaerts, SS
Vázquez, DH
Verdugo, LF
Chavis, 1B
Plawecki, C
Araúz, 2B
Good news . . . only about 180 days until pitchers and catchers report for 2021 spring training!

As far as the current Red Sox team, they have lost six consecutive games, which is exactly what will happen if you play six games and allow an average of 10.5 runs per game.

August 15, 2020

Trump's Bogus Invitation To Throw Out A First-Pitch For The Yankees Was For August 15. When His Lie Was Exposed, Trump Declined The Offer He Alone Created, Saying He Was Too Busy. That Was Another Lie. He Spent All Of Saturday At His New Jersey Golf Course, While His Younger Brother Died In A Manhattan Hospital

Three weeks ago, Donald Trump was allegedly invited to throw out the first pitch at Saturday's Red Sox-Yankees game. Trump declined the offer two days after he announced it, saying his was much too busy with the coronavirus and the economy "and much else".

What really happened was Trump was jealous because the Nationals had invited Dr. Fauci to throw out the first pitch at the Nationals' Opening Day game. So Trump did what he does best: he lied, talking up a fictitious invitation from the Yankees. Trump's bogus story unraveled extremely quickly and within 48 hours he back-tracked, tweeting that he had declined the "invitation" that he created.

But at least Trump was true to his word about super-duper busy doing presidential stuff on Saturday, right?

Nope.

He spent the entire day golfing.
Mary Trump's book Too Much and Never Enough reports that when her father died alone in the hospital in 1981, neither his parents nor his siblings comforted him in his last hours of life. Mary writes that her uncle Donald went to the movies.

Robert Trump, Donald's younger brother, passed away at the age of 71 on Saturday at Manhattan's New York-Presbyterian Hospital. Donald released a first-person statement (that he clearly did not write), referring to "my wonderful brother" and "my best friend". Yet Donald Trump spent the entire day at his Bedminster, New Jersey, golf course, while his "wonderful" "best friend" drew his last breath. It was his 272nd visit to a golf course during his presidency. The 272 trips have cost taxpayers more than $140,000,000.

The Times reported Trump visited his brother in the hospital on Friday. After the revelation in his niece's book, he knew he had to, but he stayed less than an hour. Before his quick visit, Trump told the press: "We've had a great relationship for a long time, from Day 1, a long time ago."

Naturally, since Trump was speaking, that was a lie. The two men were estranged for many years (possibly as many as 25 years), reconciling only about five years ago, when Trump began his bid for the White House.

***

A week ago, Slate published William Saletan's "The Trump Pandemic: A Blow-By-Blow Account Of How The President Killed Thousands Of Americans". Everyone should read it.
Trump ... concealed the threat, impeded the U.S. government's response, silenced those who sought to warn the public, and pushed states to take risks that escalated the tragedy. He's personally responsible for tens of thousands of deaths.

This isn't speculation. All the evidence is in the public record. But the truth, unlike Trump's false narrative, is scattered in different places. It's in emails, leaks, interviews, hearings, scientific reports, and the president's stray remarks. This article puts those fragments together. It documents Trump's interference or negligence in every stage of the government's failure: preparation, mobilization, public communication, testing, mitigation, and reopening.

G21: Yankees 11, Red Sox 5

Red Sox - 003 000 002 -  5 11  1
Yankees - 200 204 30x - 11 11  0
Nathan Eovaldi (5.1-9-8-2-3, 89) had a one-run lead for a short while, but he lost it in the fourth and gave the game away in the sixth.

Clint Frazier went 3-for-3 and knocked in five runs for the victors.

Xander Bogaerts and Alex Verdugo both hit solo dongs.

The Post's Joel Sherman thinks DJ LeMahieu's (who left the game with a sprained thumb) full name should be Derek Jeter Lemahieu.
Nathan Eovaldi / James Paxton
Pillar, RF
Devers, 3B
Martinez, DH
Bogaerts, SS
Vázquez, C
Verdugo, LF
Chavis, 1B
Bradley, CF
Peraza, 2B
The first 20 games:
W L L L L W W L L L L W W L W L L L L L
The Red Sox are on pace to finish 18-42 (.300).

Only one Red Sox team has ever finished with a winning [sic] percentage lower than .301: the 1932 club: .279, 43-111, 64 GB.

That season, Ed Durham had an ERA of 3.80 and a 6-13 record. Ivy Andrews had an ERA of 3.81 and an 8-6 record. This oddity tormented OB's grandfather and drove him into an early grave.

After 20 games, the 1932 Red Sox were 4-16. After 60 games, 11-49.

From June 5 to June 30, they were 3-20. From July 31 to August 14 (G1), they went 1-14, scoring 2.6 runs per game and allowing 6.9.

In a 20-game stretch, from July 28 to August 16, they scored more than three runs only six times. That span included a string of 12 games in which they scored 2, 0, 1, 2, 7, 2, 2, 2, 2, 1, 2, and 2 runs. Good times.


Earl Webb (who looks like he knows what's coming), Marty McManus, Johnny Reder (April 9, 1932)

Since 1900, there have been nine teams that finished worse than .279, including the 1962 Mets (.250, 40-120) and the 2003 Tigers (.265, 43-119).

The worst record of the modern era belongs to the 1916 Philadelphia Athletics. Connie Mack's boys had won 90+ games for six straight seasons (1909-1914), winning four pennants and three championships. And then . . . 43-109 (.283) and 36-117 (.235) the next two seasons. In 1916, pitchers Jack Nabors and Tom Sheehan had a combined 2-36 record.

I guess my point is: things can always get worse. . . . But not too much worse.

August 14, 2020

G20: Yankees 10, Red Sox 3

Red Sox - 000 100 020 -  3  7  0
Yankees - 002 030 32x - 10 14  0
Gerrit Cole (7-4-1-0-8, 95) put the kibosh on the Red Sox offense, but honestly, how hard could that have been?

J.D. Martinez and Xander Bogaerts went 0-for-8 with seven strikeouts as the Red Sox lost their fifth consecutive game. Boston is 3-10 since July 31.

The Red Sox stayed close until the fifth (Alex Verdugo's fourth home run cut New York's lead to 2-1) when Ryan Brasier gave up three runs with two outs: single, balk, double, home run.

Starter Colten Brewer threw 73 pitches and recorded eight outs (2.2-4-2-3-2, 73).

Mike Tauchman (3-for-5) drove in four runs, Gleyber Torres went 4-for-4, and Gary Maniloaf hit a home run and boosted his average to .113.
Colten Brewer / Gerrit Cole
Verdugo, LF
Devers, 3B
Martinez, DH
Bogaerts, SS
Moreland, 1B
Vázquez, C
Pillar, RF
Bradley, CF
Araúz, 2B
Colten Brewer will make his first career start, after 75 games as a reliever. He is the 10th pitcher to start a game for the Red Sox this year (20 games so far).

The Yankees' 12-6 record includes a 6-0 mark at home. Although New York is only 5-5 over its last 10 games, considering the Red Sox are still staggering after being pounded for 42 runs in four games by the Rays*, this series could be extremely ugly.

*: Tampa Bay went 12 consecutive games without scoring more than five runs. Then they arrived in Boston and racked up: 8, 8, 9, and 17.

ESPN's Jeterification of Aaron Judge rolls on:


According to Phil Mushnick (Post), "Whatever it is, John Sterling still has it!"
Saturday after the Yankees' Mike Ford hit a homer, Sterling proudly piped, "For the Yankees, there's a Ford in their future!" He wasn't done being John Sterling. Next came, "Mike is Ford tough!"

As reader Mike McIntee noted, Ford's home run, as the first in the game, was sponsored by Kia, and, "The Yankees' radio network is driven by Jeep."
Nothing like giving free advertising to your paying sponsors' competitors!

Joe Kelly is really not a fan of the Astros.

The St. Louis Coronaviruses have still not resumed their schedule, but they continue to have positive tests for SARS-CoV-2. Their game tonight has been postponed to tomorrow. St. Louis has not played a game in 16 days (since July 29).

Pitcher Stephen Strasburg was ejected from yesterday's Nationals-Mets game for arguing balls and strikes - from the stands. Strasburg was sitting in Section 121 at Citi Field and was not enamored of Carlos Torres's strikezone judgment. "You're fucking brutal", Strasburg yelled before being tossed in the third inning.

August 13, 2020

G19: Rays 17, Red Sox 8

Rays    - 205 306 001 - 17 19  0
Red Sox - 301 100 003 -  8 13  4
The Rays completed a four-game sweep at Fenway Park on Thursday afternoon, setting franchise records for runs (42), hits (59), and extra-base hits (24) in a series against any opponent.

The Red Sox used two position players on the mound in the ninth. Jose Peraza moved from shortstop to pitcher and gave up a single and a double before he was injured by a liner that he threw to first for an out. Tzu-Wei Lin, who had come into the game at shortstop at the start of the inning, moved behind the plate because catcher Kevin Plawecki replaced Peraza on the hill. Jonathan Arauz moved from second to shortstop and Christian Vazquez came off the bench to play second base. Plawecki walked his first batter, but then got two outs.

The Red Sox are 6-13. Of the other 29 teams, only the Pirates have a worse record (4-13).

Tampa Bay had only three zeroes in its box score:


Tyler Glasnow / Kyle Hart
Verdugo, LF
Devers, 3B
Martinez, DH
Moreland, 1B
Pillar, RF
Plawecki, C
Araúz, 2B
Bradley, CF
Peraza, SS
Kyle Hart will be making his major league debut. The 27-year-old lefty was a 19th round pick and has spent parts of the last five seasons in the minors.
I've been at every level of this game and I've seen every type of player — come up, make it, not make, somewhere in the middle, young guys, old guys, uber-talented guys, guys maybe with less talent, more grit. ... I'm proud of the type of player that I am and the player that's going to debut [on Thursday] ...

I still think pro ball is a difficult thing. I thought about it a long time and I talked to my parents, talked to my family. Ultimately, I wanted to give it a shot. I didn't know how much I would love it. I didn't know how much happiness it would bring me. I'm glad I chose to stick with it and keep playing and I'm grateful for every opportunity I've been given and certainly the one I'm being given now — the ultimate opportunity of pitching in the big leagues. ...

Those times you're sleeping on an air mattress and not eating the food you want to eat, all the while, you're not living a normal life. You're not able to do the activities that you see your friends doing. They're starting families, they're traveling the world, they're padding their IRAs. They're kind of living the life that you probably should be living. But those times are the ones that makes it all worth it because you can look back and say, "None of this was handed to me," and I earned every drop of it. Those times definitely make you appreciate the good days.
Hart pitched in Portland (AA) and Pawtucket (AAA) last season, posting a 3.52 ERA in 27 games (24 starts).

Earlier this week, Hart was called into Pawtucket manager Billy McMillon's office. Red Sox director of player development Ben Crockett and pitching coach Paul Abbott were also there.
They told me that I was getting fined by Major League Baseball for not wearing my mask. That's kind of a real scenario that can happen and probably has happened. So I was a little worried at first, but then they told me, "You can go pay your fine at Fenway Park tomorrow." So, luckily, it was just a prank and they were pulling my leg.
Hart is disappointed that his family will not be at Fenway Park today. (However, his brother Ryan will watch the game at a bar near Fenway Park.) It seems like an exception could have been made for this one start. Have his parents and siblings scattered in one section. After all, Hart is going to have only one major league debut.

August 12, 2020

G18: Rays 9, Red Sox 5

Rays    - 132 200 001 - 9 15  0
Red Sox - 000 000 050 - 5 12  0
Zach Godley's (3-10-8-2-3, 74) dismal start on Wednesday night was only the sixth time in the last 90 years that a Red Sox pitcher recorded nine or fewer outs while allowing 10+ hits and 8+ runs. Godley is the 11th pitcher to do so in franchise history.

Godley faced 21 batters and 12 of them reached base. Brandon Lowe singled, doubled, and homered off Godley, scoring three times. Willy Adames and Yoshi Tsutsugo also went deep off Godley.

Ryan Weber pitched quite well in relief (6-5-1-0-4, 58). He was aided by three double plays, allowing no runners past first base and only one ball to be hit out of the infield in his first five innings.

Do you care how Tampa Bay scored its runs? . . . If so, why?

Blake Snell (5-4-0-0-6, 70) was stingy. Only two Red Sox reached second base while Snell was on the mound, one of them thanks to a stolen base. Kevin Pillar had two of the four singles off the Rays' lefty (one capping a 10-pitch at-bat to start the bottom of the first), but he also was thrown out trying for a double in the third inning.

Aaron Slegers breezed through the sixth and seventh innings, but the Red Sox were sluggers against Slegers in the eighth. He allowed six hits and did not record an out. Jackie Bradley reached on an infield single and hits from José Peraza and Pillar loaded the bases. Jonathan Arauz dropped a single into left, spoiling the Rays' bid for a shutout. Then J.D. Martinez crushed an inside slider over the Wall for a grand slam! After Tsu-Wei Lin singled, Slegers was pulled.

Nick Anderson struck out Christian Vázquez and Michael Chavis before giving up a single to Alex Verdugo. Which meant that Bradley was coming to the plate as the potential tying run, however implausible that sounds. Bradley went after the first pitch and grounded out to shortstop.

One good thing: the game was played in a lightning-fast 2:58. (Three of the Red Sox's 18 games have been less than three hours in duration.)

Pete Fairbanks kept the ball in the infield while pitching a clean ninth and NESN lived down to its reputation by keeping Anderson's name and pitch count in its scorebug for the entire inning. Fairbanks's stats were shown at the start of the inning, so NESN knew about the pitching change.


Even as the last pitch of the game was about to be delivered, the bug had not been updated. Anderson threw 12 pitches in the eighth and Fairbanks was about to deliver his 11th.

In this screenshot, I blacked out FIFTEEN ADVERTISEMENTS, including one on the goddamn mound.

Blake Snell / Zack Godley
Pillar, RF
Devers, 3B
Martinez, DH
Bogaerts, SS
Vázquez, C
Chavis, 1B
Verdugo, LF
Bradley, CF
Peraza, 2B
Andrew Benintendi strained the right side of his rib cage yesterday and is on the IL. Ryan Weber has been recalled.

Padres reliever Drew Pomeranz has pitched in nine games, allowing only one hit in 7.2 innings and collecting four saves. Why can't we get . . .?

Charlie Blackmon of the Rockies is batting .500 (34-for-68) through 17 games.

He is the seventh player in MLB history to bat at least .500 in his team's first 17 games (min. 50 PA). The last four were Stan Musial (1958 Cardinals), Hank Aaron (1959 Milwaukee), Larry Walker (1997 Rockies), and Barry Bonds (2004 Giants).

Blackmon began this season 0-for-9! He is batting .567 during his current 15-game hitting streak (34-for-60), the the highest average across a streak of 15+ games since Lance Berkman hit .586 (34-for-58) in 15 games May 3-18, 2008.

In the last week, Blackmon is hitting .739 (17-for-23), with no strikeouts in 27 plate appearances!

Tom Tango, MLB's Senior Data Architect, says Blackmon has a 10% chance of ending the season with an average over .400. Thomas Harrigan writes:
Let's assume he'll get two games off, and log four at-bats per game in the other 41, for an estimated total of 164 at-bats remaining.

Blackmon already has 68 at-bats, so if he gets another 164, it would put him at 232 on the season. Hitting .400 in 232 at-bats would require Blackmon to collect 93 total hits, or 59 more than he has now, which would mean going 59-for-164 (.360) the rest of the way.

Blackmon has hit .307 in his career, and .312 since the beginning of 2018 ... So let's say Blackmon has the "true" talent level of a .310 hitter. ...

What is the chance that a "true" .310 hitter will get 59 hits over any 164 at-bat stretch?

The answer, according to Tango's calculations, is 10%.

August 11, 2020

G17: Rays 8, Red Sox 2

Rays    - 101 000 600 - 8  9  0
Red Sox - 010 000 010 - 2  9  0
The Rays jumped on Austin Brice and Robert Stock for six runs in the top of the seventh to extend their 2-1 lead, winning easily in a Tuesday night rout.

Martín Pérez (5.2-3-2-2-5, 94) gave up a home run to the first batter of the game (Mike Brosseau). But what seemed like a bad omen was not. Pérez pitched fairly well and left after five innings with the Red Sox trailing by one run.

Boston had tied the game at 1-1 in the second with two outs. Christian Vázquez doubled and scored on Michael Chavis's single. But the Rays quickly re-established their one-run lead as Yandy Díaz singled in Brosseau, who had doubled.

The Red Sox left two men on in the second and stranded a runner at third in the third. One Tampa Bay double play ended the home fourth and another twin-killing wiped out a leadoff walk in the seventh.

Brice relieved Pérez and recorded the third out in the sixth. He also struck out the first batter in the seventh, but the next five Rays reached base. Willy Adames singled to center. Manuel Margot doubled to left for one run. Mike Zunino walked. Brandon Lowe pinch-hit for Brosseau and his ground-rule double to right scored Margot. Díaz reached on an infield hit and Zunino scored.

Stock came in and walked Austin Meadows, loading the bases. Pinch-hitter Yoshi Tsutsugo fouled out to Vazquez for the second out. A passed ball brought in the Rays' sixth run and Hunter Renfroe's double drove in the final two tallies. Ji-Man Choi, who began the inning by striking out, ended the inning by striking out.

The Red Sox made a little noise in the eighth. Jonathan Araúz singled and Andrew Benintendi was hit by a pitch. Alex Verdugo grounded to shortstop and the Rays tagged out Benintendi, 6-5-4 (a run scored). J.D. Martinez flied to center and Xander Bogaerts struck out. In the ninth, Chavis tripled with two outs, but Bradley fanned to end the game.

The Red Sox are 6-11 (.353) and are on pace to finish 21-39.

Boston has had only six seasons (out of 119) with a winning percentage below .373 (which is super-shitty, but is also 20 points higher than where the team is right now): 1906, 1925, 1926, 1927, 1930, and 1932. Those years ranged from .279 (1932, when the Red Sox went 43-111 and finished 64 GB!) to .338.

43 games to go.
Andrew Kittredge / Martín Pérez
Benintendi, LF
Verdugo, RF
Martinez, DH
Bogaerts, SS
Moreland, 1B
Vázquez, C
Chavis, 2B
Bradley, CF
Araúz, 3B
Martín Pérez pitched five shutout innings against the Rays last Wednesday.

Andrew Kittredge got the save in last night's game, throwing 16 pitches.

August 10, 2020

G16: Rays 8, Red Sox 7

Rays    - 010 211 210 - 8 16  0
Red Sox - 301 001 020 - 7 12  1
The Red Sox led 4-1, trailed 4-5 (briefly), before tying the game at 5-5, then trailed 5-8 before closing the gap and losing by one run. Boston is 6-10 and back in the AL East basement.

In the seventh, the Rays snapped that 5-5 tie when Boston reliever Jeffrey Springs gave up hits to the first three Rays: Yoshi Tsutsugo and (former Red Sox farmhand) Manuel Margot both singled and scored on Kevin Kiermaier's double to left. Margot's double brought in another Rays run in the eighth.

In the home half of the eighth, the Red Sox rallied with two outs. Kevin Plawecki singled to right and went to second on a wild pitch before Andrew Benintendi walked. Jose Alvarado came in to pitch for Tampa Bay and Christian Vázquez hit for Jackie Bradley. Alvarado walked Váz, loading the bases. Jonathan Araúz singled to center, scoring two runs. Kevin Pillar ended the inning by grounding into a force play.

In the last of the ninth, Alvarado got the first out before handing the ball to Andrew Kittredge. J.D. Martinez (who hit his first home run of the season in the opening inning, driving in his first run since Opening Day) singled to left. But the Red Sox could not advance him. Xander Bogaerts lined to right and Michael Chavis struck out.

Martinez, Araúz, and Plawecki each went 3-for-4. ... For the Rays, Margot reached base five times: 4-for-4, with a walk.

The game lasted 264 minutes (4:24). It was the longest nine-inning game since . . . last September 21 . . . which was also 4:24. There was a game on September 8, 2019 that lasted 4:29.

The three longest nine-inning games in MLB history were played by the Red Sox and Yankees. Unfortunately, New York won all three.

4:45 (285 minutes) - Yankees 14, Red Sox 11 (August 18, 2006 (G2))
4:43 (283 minutes) - Yankees 8, Red Sox 7 (September 14, 2007)
4:42 (282 minutes) - Yankees 17, Red Sox 13 (June 29, 2019)
Ryan Yarbrough / Ryan Brasier
Pillar, RF
Verdugo, LF
Martinez, DH
Bogaerts, SS
Chavis, 1B
Plawecki, C
Peraza, 2B
Bradley, CF
Araúz, 3B
After 109 relief appearances (101 of them with Boston), Ryan Brasier will make his first career start.

The Red Sox scored five runs in five innings against Ryan Yarbrough last Wednesday (August 5).

Pitcher Brian Johnson was released.

The Cardinals reported three additional positive tests for SARS-CoV-2 last weekend, including outfielder Lane Thomas, bringing the team's total to 10 players and seven staffers. The Cardinals' three-game series this week against the Pirates has been postponed.

The Cardinals have not played a game in nearly two weeks (July 29). More than half of the 30 teams have played at least 16 games, while the Cardinals have played only five.

August 9, 2020

Schadenfreude 270 (A Continuing Series)


Howie Kussoy, Post:
There was solace in the most crushing loss of the season: The Yankees aren't scheduled to visit Tampa again this year.

Despite ... a late three-run lead, the Yankees suffered their third loss in four games against the Rays on Sunday, 4-3, on Michael Perez's walk-off single off Zack Britton. With their seventh loss in their past eight games at Tropicana Field, the Yankees have now lost five of seven games since their seven-game win streak, allowing the Rays to climb within two games of first place. ...

Despite leaving nine men on base and going 0-for-8 with runners in scoring position, the Yankees seemed to have enough offense.

The first run came when Mike Ford was hit with a pitch with the bases loaded in the first inning. The Yankees were gifted another pair of runs in the fifth inning, when Rays center fielder Manuel Margot dropped a deep fly ball ... that would have been the third out.

As Paxton exited the mound with a no-decision — having lowered his ERA from 13.50 to 7.84 — the lefty appeared to hear taunts from the Rays bench, before violently slamming his glove in the Yankees dugout. ...

With Britton taking over in the ninth, Brosseau ripped a leadoff double, but he was thrown out at third on a grounder to Gleyber Torres. But a wild pitch quickly put Lowe at second. Three batters later, Perez sent the Yankees back home.

Howie Kussoy, Post:
The box score blames Zack Britton. He accepts the fault, too. But Gary Sanchez can rarely sidestep all responsibility on a wild pitch. He can't escape his reputation.

With a tie score, runner on first and one out in the bottom of the ninth inning of Sunday's game against the Rays, Britton threw a blockable sinker in the dirt short of Sanchez, which bounced past the catcher and allowed Brandon Lowe to advance to second. Three batters later, Lowe scored the winning run.

When asked about the pitch, Aaron Boone quickly defended the catcher, who has twice led the American League in passed balls.

Howie Kussoy, Post:
Giancarlo Stanton has returned to the injured list — and the Yankees don't know when the injury-plagued slugger might be ready to return to the lineup.

Stanton, who was placed on the 10-day injured list on Sunday with a left hamstring strain suffered in Saturday night's game in Tampa, will receive an MRI on Monday in New York ...

After being limited to 18 games last season, the former MVP — who also suffered a calf strain during spring training and was sidelined in last year's ALCS — will make his third trip to the injured list since putting on pinstripes in 2018.

Even with his workload lightened as a full-time designated hitter, Stanton, 30, will miss a significant portion of the 60-game regular season.
After this season, the Yankees still owe Stanton a whopping $218 million over the next seven years!

Joel Sherman, Post:
This equated to finding a signed confession after the DNA evidence already had allowed a case to be solved.

Giancarlo Stanton going down over the weekend with yet another leg injury merely corroborated the already verified — the Yankees are going to be spending most of this decade working around Stanton. With their roster structurally, and their payroll financially.

This is three years in three as a Yankee in which Stanton has incurred lower-half maladies. And these are prime years, ages 28-30. He is signed through 2027 and age 37. In 2020, he could not stay healthy in a shortened season in which he was exclusively a designated hitter and further reconfigured his body to avoid such breakdowns. This is the lamp breaking despite being in bubble wrap, swathed in blankets and handled with care.

This time it was a left hamstring strain. In 2018, Stanton played through a hamstring injury, persevering as others went down around him. He could not manage that last season amid the Yankee record spree of IL stints; Stanton landing on that list in April 2019 with a biceps strain and June with a right knee sprain. He played through a calf injury in last year's postseason that was still problematic enough that he almost certainly would have begun this year on the IL had the season opened as scheduled in March.

It began, instead, in late July and by the second week of August, Stanton — first year in his thirties — is hurt again. He has seven seasons at $218 million left beyond 2020, which by itself would be the 16th largest contract ever behind — among others — the 13-year, $325 million pact Stanton originally signed with the Marlins. He has the right to opt out after this season, which would mean heading into free agency after yet another injury amid a pandemic. So, yeah, there is a better chance Babe Ruth will be hitting third for the Yankees Tuesday night vs. [Atlanta]. ...
Kristie Ackert, Daily News:
The Yankees went two weeks with their sluggers all healthy, before Giancarlo Stanton was put on the injured list Sunday morning. The Yankees slugger strained his left hamstring ... Saturday night ...

[T]his is a blow, if an unsurprising one. This has been the lament of the Yankees fans since they acquired Stanton before the 2018 season ... [I]t's been a series of injury after injury for Stanton.

The 30-year old outfielder played just 18 regular-season games last year. He strained his left biceps the first weekend of the season. While rehabbing from that, Stanton also dealt with a strained left shoulder and then, as he was beginning to rehab he strained his left calf. He returned to play six games before he jammed his knee running bases and missed 73 games before returning in September. And then he suffered a right quad strain during the ALCS, playing in just two games of that series that ended the Yankees season.

This spring, Stanton played in one Grapefruit League game before he was sidelined by a strained right calf. ...

The Yankees ... owed [Stanton] $214 million over the remaining eight seasons coming into this season. ... He has an opt out after the 2020 season — which is very unlikely at this point.

Ken Davidoff, Post:
When home-plate umpire Vic Carapazza ejected Yankees manager Aaron Boone and hitting coach Marcus Thames from Game 2 of the seven-inning doubleheader, it drew further attention to the tension surrounding the eventual 5-3 Yankees loss to the Rays, one sparked by the Rays repeatedly throw high and tight to Yankees batters ...

Boone explained he got the fifth-inning hook after protesting the heave-ho of Thames, which he felt was unjustified. Asked what Thames said to be thrown out, Boone replied, "Nothing. Nothing." ...

The chirping from the Yankees' dugout could be heard on television by virtue of the empty stands, and that anger emanated from a trio of pitches thrown high and tight to Yankees players, two to DJ LeMahieu (in separate at-bats) and one to Gio Urshela. The last one, by Rays right-hander Andrew Kittredge to LeMahieu, immediately preceded the turbulence, as LeMahieu ended the top of the fifth with a comebacker for a groundout. ...

It was Kittredge, on Sept. 27, 2018, at The Trop, who threw behind the head of Romine. He has since joined the Tigers. The now retired CC Sabathia responded by drilling Tampa Bay catcher Jesus Sucre and, upon getting ejected, pointed to Kittredge in the Rays' dugout and declared, "That's for you, [expletive]!"
Sabathia was suspended for five games and fined. His ejection meant he ended the season two innings short of receiving a $500,000 bonus.