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July 22, 2008

G102: Red Sox 4, Mariners 2

Red Sox  - 100 300 000 - 4  9  0
Mariners - 000 000 020 - 2 5 0
Drew donged in the opening frame and Dice (7.1-5-2-3-6, 99) mowed down the Mariners in the first seven innings, moving the Red Sox to only 0.5 GB the Rays in the East.

A bunt single from Ellsbury and a line drive down the left field line from Pedroia started the Boston fifth. Drew made it 2-0 with a sac fly to right. Manny singled and Lowell doubled home FY. After Yook walked, Lowrie lofted a sac fly of his own -- 4-0 Sox.

Matsuzaka ran into trouble to start the eighth -- a single from Lahair (his 1st MLB hit), a one-out RBI double from Ichiro (snapping Dice's string of 24.2 consecutive scoreless innings) and a run-scoring single from Lopez -- but Okajima got out of trouble and Bot pitched a perfect ninth.

Oakland whipped Tampa Bay 8-1 and the Yankees (now 3.5 GB) took care of the Twins 8-2.

***

Daisuke Matsuzaka (2.65, 164 ERA+) / R. A. Dickey (3.73, 106 ERA+)

In seven road starts -- only 37.2 innings, though -- Dice's ERA is 2.15. Opponents are hitting .152 and slugging .220.

In his three July starts, Matsuzaka has allowed only one run in 18.1 innings (though he has allowed 12 hits and 13 walks). Opponents, while hitting only .188 this month, have a .342 on-base percentage.

Matsuzaka has a lower ERA in his five no-decisions (1.59) than he does in his ten wins (2.14).

Dice's opponents' OBP: After 0-1 count: .255. After 1-0 count: .409.

Matsuzaka is at his best in high leverage situations:
          PA   AVG   OBP   SLG
High 61 .096 .213 .096
Medium 210 .207 .332 .310
Low 115 .253 .383 .432
Which explains (somewhat) why he can have a 1.38 WHIP and a 2.65 ERA.

Also: Twins/Yankees and Athletics/Rays, both at 7 PM

274 comments:

  1. Dear DIceclay Buchholzaka,
    Please throw strikes.
    -nix

    ReplyDelete
  2. Seattle has a team OBP of .313, the worst in baseball.

    THROW STRIKES!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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  3. Doesn't a team having a low OBP totally justify throwing them junk all night? It's Matsuzaka's dream!

    (Unless their batting average is accounting for all of the shittiness of their OBP--I just checked--only the Angels and Royals have walked less often.)

    ReplyDelete
  4. Devine said...
    (Unless their batting average is accounting for all of the shittiness of their OBP--I just checked--only the Angels and Royals have walked less often.)



    Angels and Royals : at complete different ends of the spectrum record wise....Pitching does mean something, who knew?

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  5. I really like the whole theory of how Zaka's (sorry, but it's better than Dice-K in my book...) h/9 going down is intrinsically tied to his bb/9 going up. Reasonable, close to the strike zone nibbling= more balls, but also more weak contact. I think a lot of time people forget that BABIP doesn't equal luck. A pitcher that induces a lot of weak contact will have a much lower than average BABIP, so he's not undoubtedly headed for a regression.
    Of course, I like this theory because it's an optimistic, 'he'll keep pitching well for the Sox', one. But that's no reason to think it isn't true.

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  6. Well, just because Ofer is my actual name... wow, that sounds like a pretty stupid reason.
    Anyway, A Conformer is an anagram of my full name, and is kinda funny for me. It's sort of a half-joking half-serious kind of thing.

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  7. In what other setting in life would you expect someone to say "BABIP doesn't necessarily mean luck?"

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  8. Allan, nice compilation of Mat stats.

    I feel like Dice-K could have a giant pepperoni stuck on his cheek, and everyone who saw him would tell him either subtly or very directly, "dude, you have a giant piece of pepperoni on your face", and Daisuke wouldn't acknowledge them, or he'd say, "sorry, I don't".

    Similar to this

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  9. oh, I'm good at these anagram things. Is your name, O, Draconian devil???

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  10. A Conformer is an anagram of my full name

    Neat! Any anagram of my full name would be so weird, what with the Ks and all.

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  11. OAK - 000
    FKR - 001

    sac fly scores a run but a baserunning gaffe ends the inning.

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  12. It'd be better if they didn't have any baserunners to have gaffes though.

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  13. Neat! Any anagram of my full name would be so weird, what with the Ks and all.

    Kirk Era Manual
    Ink, A Karma Lure
    Mark Ruin A Lake
    Make A Rural Kin
    I Nuke Ark Alarm

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  14. Hannahan 3-run dong for OAK!

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  15. OO, there is some good ones for my name:

    Tackle Prey Ilk
    Carpet Key Kill
    Lack Triple Key
    Tacky Leper Ilk <---bonus ana!!
    Yack Leper Kilt
    Cap Likely Trek
    Leaky Clerk Tip
    Ale Kick Pertly
    Realty Pick Elk
    Relay Lick Kept

    The very best fit for me is
    Try Pickle Kale

    I am always pushing sauerkraut..

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  16. I've always wondered...did Dice-K pitch like this in Japan? Are those stats available? If so, wouldn't that indicate that this is his, admittedly eccentric, style that has proven successful?

    [My name is a rare palindromic anagram, which means it's EXACTLY the same as its source. Weird!]

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  17. As I said, any anagram of my name would be weird.

    The very best fit for me is
    Try Pickle Kale

    I am always pushing sauerkraut..


    Ha! Good one.

    Last year I remember we did anagrams of player's names. Not to start that whole thing again, but I remember my favourite:

    David Ortiz: Ditz or Diva?

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  18. And I am out of the thread for the night. Go Sox, while I sleep...

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  19. Twins tie the MFY 1-1 in the top 6th.

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  20. Ellsbury, LF
    Pedroia, 2B
    Drew, RF
    Ramirez, DH
    Lowell, 3B
    Youkilis, 1B
    Lowrie, SS
    Varitek, C
    Crisp, CF

    Suzuki, RF
    Lopez, 2B
    Ibanez, LF
    Vidro, DH
    Beltre, 3B
    Reed, CF
    Clement, C
    LaHair, 1B
    Betancourt, SS

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  21. Cano knocks in the go-ahead run for the Yankees...

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  22. I see Lowrie's getting some love. Moved up to 7th.

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  23. Listening to the Yankees on the radio... They have a pitching change and someone forgot to hit the button to go to commercial. So it's MLB.TV style, listening to crowd noise (that crazy carnival song that used to be the jingle for Six Flags) for about 60 seconds. Funny.

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  24. I really meant the score was 4-2 Yankees.

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  25. OAK - 000 300 0
    FKR - 001 000

    MIN - 000 002
    MFY - 010 003
    (still batting in 6th)

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  26. oh, I'm good at these anagram things. Is your name, O, Draconian devil???

    Judging by this, I'd say you'renot good at this anagram things... (:

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  27. For some reason tonight I am getting MLB Extra on our cable. Am watching Oakland kill the Rays, but meanwhile the Yankees are blowing out the Twins.

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  28. NESN again -- feeling lucky!

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  29. For some reason tonight I am getting MLB Extra on our cable. Am watching Oakland kill the Rays, but meanwhile the Yankees are blowing out the Twins.

    Weird. Is it digital cable?

    ReplyDelete
  30. Gee, no posts getting through? A blogger problem?

    ReplyDelete
  31. Yes, digital. Is it possible it has been there all summer and we never checked? I thought you had to pay extra. Tonight I am here alone (Harv on the road), so I was surfing with the remote and, lo and behold, a whole shitload of baseball games!

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  32. seems like an odd time of the season for a free promo week ...

    ReplyDelete
  33. Guess I am getting through now, but posted before a terrible anagram for my name and it seemed to have gotten lost (or barred by the moderator---it was pretty lame---but try finding a good anagram for cohen).

    ReplyDelete
  34. blogger had a maintenance timeout at 8:30 for awhile. maybe that ate it. i wouldn't delete anything.

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  35. Andrew Dice-K:
    "Mother Goose .......... I walked her."

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  36. Nah, this was about 10 minutes ago.

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  37. Here's something that doesn't happen often. Red Sox facing a knuckleballer.

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  38. hmmm, maybe when i changed the modding, it got caught in limbo. ... if so, it may appear in its rightful time spot after the game!

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  39. final: oakland 8, tampa bay 1

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  40. FKRs lose. Befire the night ends the difference will be a mere half game.

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  41. two outs before I can get my first comment in. ugh

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  42. Amy, I just checked my digital cable and I can see MLB Extra Innings as well! Free previews.

    I hope they'll still have it tomorrow!

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  43. dickey plays with fire - gets burned.

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  44. ON FIRE!

    I know this has been said many times before, but the 'in play, run(s)' when noone's on base is great.

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  45. Thanks, Ish. I was starting to feel stupid---like this had been there all summer and we never noticed. Or that we were paying for it and didn't know!

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  46. I have to keep remembering this guy is a knuckler.

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  47. Thanks, Ish. I was starting to feel stupid---like this had been there all summer and we never noticed. Or that we were paying for it and didn't know!

    Heh. You'd notice. I think it costs something like $199 for the season. They're advertising $129 for the rest of the season, I think.

    I feel bad I hadn't noticed this earlier.

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  48. i believe a comment I wrote got eaten.....

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  49. He looks like he's throwing the knuckler too hard. 71-75

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  50. FKRs lose. Befire the night ends the difference will be a mere half game.

    My subconcious called this dong.

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  51. okay - after the 3rd sox out, no comments until i say so!

    ...

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  52. FKRs lose. Befire the night ends the difference will be a mere half game.

    My subconscious called this dong.

    ReplyDelete
  53. I might have had a comment get eaten too. Or I might have deleted the text and typed something else. I don't remember.

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  54. Jere, me too. But my comment was worthless so no harm.

    I will be at the game on 8/2, Jere. My school finally got tickets.

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  55. He looks like he's throwing the knuckler too hard. 71-75

    It's his style. Doesn't knuckle as much, but fits in better with his secondary pitches.

    ReplyDelete
  56. ish, jere:
    your comments are now up. they got caught in mod limbo.

    ReplyDelete
  57. Heh, since I started my blog, I know what you mean about mod limbo. When you turn off modding, the comments that you hadn't checked on won't be approved. So you have to turn modding back on, approve the comments, then turn modding off again.

    ReplyDelete
  58. amy, nice job on the tix. my next game is the Saturday Yanks game--anyone else going this weekend?

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  59. This Dickey guy can't be any good. A knuckleballer with no personal catcher? That means his knuckler doesn't dance.

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  60. Thanks. Guess mine really was eaten. Or maybe I forgot to publish.

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  61. It's his style. Doesn't knuckle as much, but fits in better with his secondary pitches.

    And is probably easier to swing at.

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  62. I wonder if the movement of a knuckleball is less or more the faster it's traveled.

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  63. essackly to ish re: modding, that is.

    DICE looking nice.

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  64. I might have been able to go on Saturday, but it didn't work out. My brother will be there with his best friend who is a truly fanatic Yankee fan---she lives, breathes, dreams Yankee.

    ReplyDelete
  65. I am seriously hoping that free preview is on tomorrow. A's/Rays at 12:30, Twins/MFY at 1... And then the Red Sox at 4:40. Then of course, there are 7:00 games and a 10:00 game. Baseball overload.

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  66. looks like ibanez was hanging out with posada the day chins were handed out.

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  67. Sox 1/9th of the way to a very special night, redsock. (delete if you feel it's necessary)

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  68. I wonder if the movement of a knuckleball is less or more the faster it's traveled.

    I saw an interview with Dickey, and he said (I think) mid sixties is the best ranger for the most movement on the knuckleball.

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  69. What do you call a highlight reel consisting of just highlights from this Ms pitcher?

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  70. Tek batting 8th and starts getting hits.

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  71. Red Sox are open for business!

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  72. I saw an interview with Dickey, and he said (I think) mid sixties is the best ranger for the most movement on the knuckleball.

    I'm more of an early seventies guy.

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  73. a reel of dicks. yes.

    no-- A "Dickey - Thon."

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  74. fuck -- i fucking hate fucking bunting in the fucking second fucking inning. fuck it.

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  75. Did Crisp really sac bunt in the 2nd inning? Or did it look like he was bunting for a hit?

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  76. fuck -- i fucking hate fucking bunting in the fucking second fucking inning. fuck it.

    Heh. Hasn't worked so far this go-round.

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  77. The ball hit his hand when it came down. Heh, yes it did. Hit his thumb.

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  78. Just rub some dirt on it and LET'S GO!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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  79. foul ball screen injury. rare.

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  80. so i see the ad for nesn's stat pack last night. stats n stuff emailed to you in the morning. sounds good. i go to nesn.

    there is no mention of stat pack anywhere -- and the site is a mess to navigate.

    anyone out there subscribe to this thing?

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  81. Psst. This is your invitation to steal loads of bases off this catcher when you can.

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  82. there is no mention of stat pack anywhere -- and the site is a mess to navigate.

    No idea, but Boston.com publishes an article before the games that has a bunch of STATS in it. Same sort of thing I guess.

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  83. GDGD says Dickey's throwing knuckleballs. I assume GDGD's full of crap.

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  84. Who's injured?

    M's catcher. He went back for a popup and he grabbed the screen with his throwing hand, and the ball, behind the screen, actually hit him in the thumb and drew blood.

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  85. GDGD says Dickey's throwing knuckleballs. I assume GDGD's full of crap.

    Nope. Knuckleballer.

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  86. Ech, hate leaving them loaded. Dumb bunt.

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  87. the nesn ad made it sound like you'd get stuff early the next morning, as opposed to late afternoon before the next game.

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  88. I see GDGD has different pitches listed for Dickey. It has knucks 100% of the time for Wakefield.

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  89. Heidi rockin' the headband today. Looks good.

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  90. BOS - 10
    SEA - 0

    DAMN YOU, Jere!

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  91. I see GDGD has different pitches listed for Dickey. It has knucks 100% of the time for Wakefield.

    He throws a fastball rather frequently, too. 87ish. Probably has a change as well. Maybe a curve.

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  92. Meanwhile, that low team OBP is making Dice-K look REAL good.

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  93. I see GDGD has different pitches listed for Dickey. It has knucks 100% of the time for Wakefield.

    Re-read that. I got what you meant now.

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  94. Johjima takes over for Clement behind the plate...

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  95. I see GDGD has different pitches listed for Dickey. It has knucks 100% of the time for Wakefield.

    Probably has to do with the fact that Dickey's fastball is actually kinda fast. The PitchFX thing probably can't tell the fastball from the knuckler when they're in both in the 65-75 range.

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  96. The PitchFX thing probably can't tell the fastball from the knuckler when they're in both in the 65-75 range.

    Especially seeing as Wake's fastball is slower than most pitchers' changeups.

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  97. sock--you should've deleted. all blame waived.

    Lowrie making that play his trademark.

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  98. Dice PC: 13-11-12 = 36

    Me likey.

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  99. I don't know which is worse, the Kanye West concert Ad, or the Gloria Estefan one. I will grow to hate this current one just the same.

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  100. i knew about the poetry, but must have forgotten about the book. i wonder if my library has it?

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  101. Dice is loooooking good!!!

    Lets score some fragging runs.

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  102. Losing steam here. May just watch and not type. But still around.

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  103. I don't know which is worse, the Kanye West concert Ad, or the Gloria Estefan one. I will grow to hate this current one just the same.

    That's a tough one. I heard that commercial too.

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  104. Stems lose. Ouch.

    PHI - 100 000 106 - 8 13 0
    NYM - 003 002 001 - 6 10 0

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  105. Saw highlights for that one, Allan. Mini-collapse. It had similar feeling watching that as when they collapsed down the stretch last September. On a smaller scale.

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  106. Dice PC: 13-11-12 = 36

    Apparently brought to you by some company, on FSN Northwest. WOW. Can't even get a goddamn pitch count anymore.

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  107. i'll bet these dushbags won't bunt.

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  108. Nice work getting out of that.

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  109. alright lyndon -- get on and RUN!

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  110. Bunt single for LBJ! That looks like the old LBJ

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  111. Was that a high leverage situation for Dice? He decided to stop Fking around and maybe get the guys out.

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  112. The Red Sox are open for business again!

    For guess who? ON FIRE.

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  113. Fair? Well, I will take it.

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  114. I find it funny we're not calling FY On Fire. He's the most on-fire of almost anyone in the league.

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  115. Drew is right on this guy tonight.

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  116. 2 on, 0 outs, 1-0 score. Seems hi lev to me.

    Not sure how they measure that in earlier innings ....

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  117. hey manny, run faster, okay?

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  118. You don't need to be called 'On Fire' when your nick name: FUCK YEAH, sums it up perfectly.

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  119. Now that's the way I remember LBJ and FY starting things off last summer.

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  120. Now that's the way I remember LBJ and FY starting things off last summer.

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  121. ameeker and the ump are full of shit.

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  122. Stupid blogger double posted.

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  123. YES DOCTOR DOUBLES!!!

    He's had a pretty bad go of it at the plate lately. Got that double not a moment too soon!

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  124. Doctah, Doctah, gimmie the news! I got a bad case of loving you!

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  125. Rx is filled!!!

    Keep the line moving boys.

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  126. Time for the Sultan ...

    ... the Sultan of Sweat

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  127. This is not the strike zone you're looking for....

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  128. ... the Sultan of Sweat

    Doooo, do-do-do, do-do-do-do, bwow-wow-waa-waaaaa

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  129. 4-0!!!

    Keep the line moving ocoC!!!

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  130. This is more like it. Two sac flies in the fifth inning.

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  131. goddamn that was delayed. f'in blogger.

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  132. Blogger having issues again?

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  133. Let us keep these sacs flying. No need restricting the flow.

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  134. He almost stepped on the broken bat! Think about it from Dice's perspective. The head of the bat flies well over Dice-K's HEAD.

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  135. Could Seattle's catcher position be even worse than the Sox'? I mean, Clement is supposed to have a bright future and all, but right now it seems they're not getting anything out of the C spot.

    (This isn't very good schadenfreude, though- it;s easy to be better than the very worst team)

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  136. FY with the swass play....more runs pls!

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  137. Time to get some more runs, so lets get started here ocoC!!!

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  138. I wonder how the M's catchers stack up against the Yankee catchers...

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  139. Is that a webgem if he couldn't make that play last time?

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  140. Jacoby: L is asleep, but I know I can speak for her when I say: "Shave."

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  141. I'm announcing right now...if anyone needs something to put them to sleep

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  142. Allan, if the whiskers help him get on base, let him keep them. I am sure Laura won't mind.

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  143. Don, on Ichiro's 3000 carere hits: "IT'S BOGUS!!!"

    :>)

    ...

    L is not a fan of facial hair.

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  144. Allan, if the whiskers help him get on base, let him keep them. I am sure Laura won't mind.

    Wind resistance!

    Dice-K's have a lot of control issues.

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  145. It doesn't matter how many hits he has, because Ichirio will be the first Japanese player to be in the HOF. First ballot.

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  146. I'm announcing right now...if anyone needs something to put them to sleep

    I'm there. Beats FSN Northwest

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  147. Surprised those Dice-K K cards are allowed up at Safeco. If not by security, then by the M's fans.

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  148. Youcastr - Woops!

    "We're sorry, but something went wrong.

    If this problem persists, please let us know by reporting the bug here. "

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  149. Surprised those Dice-K K cards are allowed up at Safeco. If not by security, then by the M's fans.

    Terrorists could use them to inflict paper cuts!

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  150. It doesn't matter how many hits he has, because Ichirio will be the first Japanese player to be in the HOF. First ballot.

    And Matsuzaka the second...?

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  151. i actually had people responding to me, so I know I was on air before....just go to their main site and click the game and then click "GedMan." You can see if that works.

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  152. And Matsuzaka the second...?

    If he goes like 80-20 over the next five years then probably so.

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  153. 82 through six. As many games as we've been losing lately, our starters have been going deep.

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  154. Don says Dickey at 103 thru 6, but GDGD and I have 101.

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  155. Dickey's back out with 101. Love it.

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