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September 16, 2009

2009 W-L Contest Update

Here is a look at the 2009 W-L contest entries.

Boston could finish the year with anywhere from 85 to 104 wins, and all 55 entries fell between those totals. However, re the first tiebreaker, Jacoby Ellsbury has stolen 61 bases so far, so everyone but the closest guess below that number can be eliminated.

In four cases, we may have to go to the 2nd tiebreaker, which will be Varitek's OBP (currently at .319). I think that in something like the 98-wins spot, that if Tek's OBP stays about where it is, I'll have to toss out The Price Is Right rules and go with the closest of the two guesses that went over.

Right now, we are left with 15 entries (with how the Red Sox need to play over the final 19 games to hit the various win totals):
                  W-L    SB     OBP   Sox Finish
 
Jon B West      103-59   38    .344     18- 1
 
Jere            100-62   55    .349     15- 4
 
Edward Nunez     99-63   69    .329     14- 5
Justin Meddaugh  99-63   58    .255
  
Brad Riccillo    98-64   54    .334     13- 6
Pokerwolf        98-64   54    .332
 
Sean McAteer     97-65   60    .300     12- 7
 
phlipster        96-66   63    .327     11- 8
matttymatty      96-66   63    .316
  
Aaron Liber      95-67   54    .349     10- 9
  
Bradley Smith    94-68   56    .352      9-10
 
Sam Warren       93-69   42    .325      8-11
Joe Grav         93-69   42    .299
 
Jeff Raymond     92-70   45    .360      7-12
 
Jeff in PA       91-71   45    .313      6-13
Prize: Six classic Pedro performances on DVD, including September 10, 1999 (9-1-0-0-17 at Yankees) and August 29, 2000 (9-1-0-0-13 at Tampa Bay).
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7 comments:

  1. timSeptember 16, 2009 at 8:54 AM

    Go Jon B West!

    ReplyDelete
  2. Justin M.September 16, 2009 at 9:12 AM

    I'm nitpicking, but since its Price is Right rules I (justin meddaugh) should still be on the board for 99 wins.

    ReplyDelete
  3. allanSeptember 16, 2009 at 9:25 AM

    oop. you are right. fixed it.

    ReplyDelete
  4. JFettSeptember 16, 2009 at 11:43 AM

    Wow, did I really only guess they'd win 91 games? Maybe I thought the AL East would play stronger than they have over the last month or so. Anyway, I hope I'm very wrong and they win a lot!

    ReplyDelete
  5. AaronSeptember 17, 2009 at 5:14 AM

    Wow, still in the running. Awesome.

    ReplyDelete
  6. AaronSeptember 30, 2009 at 12:45 PM

    Red Sox are currently 91-66 (157 games) with 5 left to play. I think this is the group that's left, based on a 5-0 record to a 0-5 record)

    phlipster 96-66 63 .327 11- 8
    matttymatty 96-66 63 .316

    Aaron Liber 95-67 54 .349 10- 9

    Bradley Smith 94-68 56 .352 9-10

    Sam Warren 93-69 42 .325 8-11
    Joe Grav 93-69 42 .299

    Jeff Raymond 92-70 45 .360 7-12

    Jeff in PA 91-71 45 .313 6-13

    ReplyDelete
  7. allanSeptember 30, 2009 at 12:55 PM

    Yep, that's what I have.

    ReplyDelete