Pages

September 16, 2009

G144: Red Sox 9, Angels 8

Angels  - 001 011 401 - 8 17  1
Red Sox - 000 005 022 - 9 13 1
After the Red Sox fell behind 3-0, led 5-3, trailed 7-5, tied the game at 7-7, lost lead at 8-7 and then won 9-8 ... well, Joaquin Andujar was right.

Brian Fuentes began the bottom of the ninth by retiring Jason Bay on a pop up to second and Mike Lowell on a fly to center. Five pitches, two outs. Then he walked David Ortiz on four pitches and Joey Gathright pinch-ran. He fell behind J.D. Drew 2-0 and Drew hit a little flair behind second base. Shortstop Erick Aybar ranged far to his left on the outfield grass and gloved it but had no play. Infield single, potential tying run at second.

Dusty Brown was due up and Jed Lowrie pinch-hit. Since Fuentes is a lefty, Lowrie was batting right-handed, which causes him much less wrist pain than batting lefty. Jed looked at strike one before pulling a pitch hard down the third base line. Chone Figgins dove to his right for it, across the foul line. The ball glanced off his glove and rolled away. The bases were loaded.

Nick Green was sent up to bat for LH Casey Kotchman. Green quickly swung and missed twice and fell behind 0-2 -- one strike away. On the third pitch, he tried to check his swing and it was ruled a ball; it could easily have been a game-ending strike three. Blessed with a second chance, Green fouled off three tough pitches, then took three balls. Fuentes had walked in the tying run! 8-8!

Alex Gonzalez stepped in next. His two-run single in the sixth had broken a 3-3 tie and his eight-pitch walk in the eighth -- his first BB in 101 PA as a Sock -- prolonged the inning so Jacoby Ellsbury could tie the game at 7-7 with a single to right. Seabass went foul, ball, foul, then dumped the ball into short left field. Neither Figgins nor left fielder Juan Rivera could reach it -- it landed near the foul line jut for a single -- and Drew danced home with the winning run.

The East standings stayed the same -- 6.5 GB -- as the Yankees walked off against the Blue Jays 5-4. The A's one-hit the Rangers 4-0, so the Red Sox's wild card lead is now 6.5. Terry Francona will likely ease up as it seems all but certain that Boston has grabbed a playoff spot, and that is the wisest move, but damn, I want to push hard for the division.

Goddamn Blue Jays, thanks for ruining what would have been a perfect night.
Example
Joe Saunders (4.81, 95 ERA+) / Paul Byrd (6.08, 78 ERA+)

Byrd makes his fourth start for the Sox. His first three have run the gamut from superb (6-3-0-3-1, 83 against Toronto on August 30), shitty (2.1-10-7-0-3, 60 against the White Sox on September 4) and serviceable/lucky (5-6-2-3-1, 83 against the Orioles on September 9).

Yesterday, Boston gained a game on New York and padded its wild card lead over Texas. The Red Sox play nine more games -- two against the Angels, three at Baltimore, and four in Kansas City -- before a three-game series in New York. Both the Orioles and Royals are last in their respective divisions. For the MFY, they host the Blue Jays tonight, then fly out west to play three against both the Mariners and Angels.

BP's odds for the Sox to win the East have moved from 0.4% to 2.2% in the past five days (they are now 96.3% for the wild card). Cool Standings has them at 3.8%

This can be done.
East       W   L   PCT   GB    RS   RA  DIFF  EXP W-L
Yankees 93 53 .637 --- 838 690 +148 86-60
Red Sox 85 58 .594 6.5 757 631 +126 83-60

Wild Card W L PCT GB RS RA DIFF EXP W-L
Red Sox 85 58 .594 --- 757 631 +126 83-60
Rangers 80 64 .556 5.5 700 643 + 57 78-66
Example
Blue Jays/Yankees at 7 and A's/Rangers at 8.

413 comments:

  1. Ouch.

    Jason Varitek since the break: 125 PA, .164/.256/.255.

    David Ortiz's season on the road: .203/.302/.351.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Does Dumbo have an agreement with Sabithia to do the mock "Let me go, I'll murder the guy" hold?

    ReplyDelete
  3. Boid:
    "I'm having a blast. All days are good days. ... Every day is fresh for me. Every day is fun. This time of year, usually you've played so many games, you're a little beat up. ... Right now, I'm charged up. I'm fresh. I really appreciate to be playing in the big leagues. ... What's that song by Cinderella in the late '80s? 'Don't Know What You Got Til It's Gone?' You don't really realize until you leave, there are some really good things about being in baseball.

    ****

    Cinderella?

    ReplyDelete
  4. Moreover, if the Sox win 12, they are guaranteed to at least tie for a playoff spot. There's a good site at http://riot.ieor.berkeley.edu/~baseball/american_league.html where a guy at Berkeley has been tracking the 'real' magic numbers for several years. It's good stuff.

    ReplyDelete
  5. Ellsbury, CF
    Pedroia, 2B
    Bay, LF
    Lowell, 3B
    Ortiz, DH
    Baldelli, RF
    Varitek, C
    Kotchman, 1B
    Gonzalez, SS

    ReplyDelete
  6. Re: that 13-6 article, they didn't publish my comment regarding the typo that was in there (corrected now)....guess they don't like grammar nazi tim.

    allllfuckin right - WEEK END!

    done my 12 hours of class for the week, feelin good, time for a couple beers and a FUCKIN WIN!!!!!

    ReplyDelete
  7. LOL from the Boston Herald gossip pages; "Nick Green and NESN Fenway honey Heidi Watney putting on a major display of PDA while out to dinner with Jacoby Ellsbury and his S.O."

    ReplyDelete
  8. is that herald thing recent? that seems like old news.

    ReplyDelete
  9. Yes it was from today.
    No Passaballa for 4 games for the MFY.

    ReplyDelete
  10. Nick Green?

    Yeah, he is old news.

    ReplyDelete
  11. alright, bird, you shit-"metal" loving son of a bitch ...

    ReplyDelete
  12. I always call him Chode Figgins.

    ReplyDelete
  13. we say chone like bone and stone

    ReplyDelete
  14. Thats how I pronounce it (bone/stone) with the 'ringing e'

    Fuck. There goes the no-no.

    Sweet. 26 to go.

    ReplyDelete
  15. While we're on their fucked up names, "abreu" sounds like baby talk.

    "a goo goo gaa gaa a breee youuuuu"

    ReplyDelete
  16. Quick inning, although a lot of those outs were hit fairly hard.

    ReplyDelete
  17. The wind better keep up for Byrd's sake.

    ReplyDelete
  18. Alright, lets fuck up this Saunders fellow like his chicken fucks up my digestive system.

    ReplyDelete
  19. the wind's gonna turn around when we are batting, right?

    ReplyDelete
  20. Apparently the perfect night for Paul Byrd to pitch. I hope the wind holds steady until morning...

    ReplyDelete
  21. if this keeps up, the angels are gonna whine and cry like never before.

    ReplyDelete
  22. Lackey: "We're a better team than them, but my teammates kept hitting the ball into the wind."

    ReplyDelete
  23. Sweet OTT.

    This wind is pretty amazing.

    ReplyDelete
  24. Hey Redsock. I've been lurking all summer. I heard your email on the radio! Good stuff.

    ReplyDelete
  25. For any of you that miss "Fire Joe Morgan," they had a runion at Deadspin today.

    http://deadspin.com/tag/fjm/

    ReplyDelete
  26. Sounds like Ernie Harwell is being given a living wake at Comerica tonight :{ Castig says that Harwell has a fast moving inoperable cancer.

    ReplyDelete
  27. Chief! I came out of exhausted-noncomputer mode to say hi.

    Dear Wind,

    Please keep blowing when non-Sox are hitting.

    Thank you,

    A Concerned Fan

    ReplyDelete
  28. It's great that they can honour Harwell while he's here, tho. I'm sure it means so much to him.

    ReplyDelete
  29. And he's 93 or something, that's enough game days that I woulnd't complain much.

    ReplyDelete
  30. Evening, folks. Must be chilly at Fenway tonight. Awfully chilly here in western MA.

    ReplyDelete
  31. thanks for that link, chief! was unaware of that, but that'll provide me with some good reads tomorrow!

    ReplyDelete
  32. wonder if our pitcher has a twitter account.

    after all, i do expect this byrd to tweet!

    HA!

    ReplyDelete
  33. Dice-K's performance last night caused the MFY blogs to panic somewhat.

    ReplyDelete
  34. i think o'b was lying a bit with the dice/mfy panic. right?

    ReplyDelete
  35. fuck that's some bad luck there.

    ReplyDelete
  36. there is no clear AL MVP candidate???????????

    is o'b on crack?

    ReplyDelete
  37. dear dave:

    there is a baseball team in minnesota. they have a catcher ....

    ReplyDelete
  38. TOR: 001
    MFY: 20

    jays still batting in 3rd

    ReplyDelete
  39. SCORE RUNS NOW! DO NOT SQUANDER.

    ReplyDelete
  40. JERKS. Why didn't they listen to me?

    ReplyDelete
  41. red sox will now feel the wrath of amy.

    ReplyDelete
  42. Why do I have the sinking feeling that they will get their leadoff double home?

    ReplyDelete
  43. mmmm Dogfish Head pumpkin ale.

    ReplyDelete
  44. Unfortunately, the wrath of Amy has little effect---on the Red Sox or almost anywhere.

    ReplyDelete
  45. Ah, threading time! Got home from a bike ride, chowed down a domino's pizza and drinking up a Mike's hard lemonade.

    BASEBALL.

    ReplyDelete
  46. looked like byrd could have tagged hunter, but he tossed it to seabass. why?

    ReplyDelete
  47. Has Byrd been around long enough (too long?) to acquire an official JoS nickname? I'd assume "Frasier" since he looks like Kelsey Grammer, the Boston connection, and nothing ever seems to go quite right for him.

    ReplyDelete
  48. I like that Byrd has, fittingly, a bird face.

    ReplyDelete
  49. I am so tired of having to turn down dates with women because they own cats. Every cute woman has one. I am very allergic to cats.

    ReplyDelete
  50. OB says scoscia out to argue "wearing his angels jacket" --

    as opposed to what? a marlins jersey? bare-chested?

    ReplyDelete
  51. 7 of 8 leadoff batters have reached tonight.

    ReplyDelete
  52. OB says scoscia out to argue "wearing his angels jacket" --

    as opposed to what? a marlins jersey? bare-chested?


    this made me lol.

    very carlin-like (i think)

    ReplyDelete
  53. That's too bad, meuniermr. I have cats (not that I am available for dating), and I seem to have so many friends who are allergic. Including L-girl.

    Where is she? Doing homework or at a resisters' meeting?

    ReplyDelete
  54. i think baldy thought it was a caught liner so he headed to the bench.

    ReplyDelete
  55. / playing tiger woods 2010

    ReplyDelete
  56. looked like the angels were running a fielding drill with no one on base.

    ReplyDelete
  57. she was watching here -- no threading though. now went upstairs to watch in bed.

    ReplyDelete
  58. Alright, no squandering this time. Score some runs.

    ReplyDelete
  59. 5-6-2-1-2 is a decent byrd line. could not expect much more than that, realistically.

    we need some fucking runs !

    ReplyDelete
  60. Welp, out for a good ol fashioned night of university debauchery soon. Only 11 more weeks of this shit left.

    Byrd has been more than respectable thus far. Let's just hope we can whack some dongs and get some runs tonight!

    ReplyDelete
  61. The Cactus swings through a high fastball...well, we've never seen that before.

    ReplyDelete
  62. Remy explaining the mystery cactus SASAHE. Wonderful.

    ReplyDelete
  63. Fuckin' colonel.

    Alright seabass, continue your amazingness please.

    ReplyDelete
  64. What do people do for a job here? I don't have one now since I am about to move.

    ReplyDelete
  65. i know we have all but clinched a playoff spot, but i still have my eye on the east, so this game is really pissing me off.

    ReplyDelete
  66. I'm done my degree at university but in for 4 more months to take a few additional courses to be eligible to write the C.A. exams starting in January. (US equiv is the CPA). I have a job lined up for January, so basically I'm an accountant-to-be.

    ReplyDelete
  67. FUCK
    FUCK
    FUCK
    FUCK
    FUCK
    FUCK
    FUCK
    FUCK
    FUCK
    FUCK
    FUCK

    ReplyDelete
  68. i know we have all but clinched a playoff spot, but i still have my eye on the east, so this game is really pissing me off.

    ditto. we're not sticking to THE PLAN!

    fuck. gone with the wind.

    ReplyDelete
  69. Damn. Why can't we get any runs tonight? So much waste. Good thing Laura isn't threading, or she'd be telling us not to complain about leaving men on base but to be glad they got on base.

    Meuniermr, I teach law. What do you do? Don't you live out in the Dakotas or something, or do I have you mixed up with someone else? Or was it Canada? Sorry, my brain is a bit fried.

    ReplyDelete
  70. Muerte para un mil cortes.

    ReplyDelete
  71. Hi everyone. stopping in for a bit. been too busy to catch much baseball, let alone hang here with all you groovy cats. I'm listening to the radio stream tonight.

    I fully expect some dastardly run scoring in the bottoms here.

    ReplyDelete
  72. I am dyslexic at math so I could never do that.

    ReplyDelete
  73. It's still a decent start from byrd.

    Shit from the O though. But 4 runs is more, MORE than attainable with the dudes we got out there. As long as the colonel stops stymieing us.

    Alright off to the bar to waste money on expensive booze!

    ReplyDelete
  74. Hi, Nick. Good to see you. It does seem many of us have been too busy to thread lately. I assume we will find a crowd when we get to or closer to the post-season.

    ReplyDelete
  75. You don't need math to do law, so I assume you were referring to Tim and being an accountant, Meuniermr!

    ReplyDelete
  76. ok this is about to turn to shit.

    bullpen pls.

    ReplyDelete
  77. i blog and download music and watch mlbtv from a big downtown toronto law firm. sometimes, i am asked to create or edit legal documents in word and powerpoint or to transcribe tapes and other audio files.

    ReplyDelete
  78. no, it's not shit yet. just a challenge.

    Hi, Amy. it's good to swing by here. I've been keeping up on the posts, but haven't even been reading the comments much.

    Now that Helsinki has closed I find that I really have to go out of my way to actually hang out with friends and acquaintances.

    meuniermr, by day I am the operations manager at our public access TV station.

    ReplyDelete
  79. that's FSS. on MTWT i surf the net, read, do chores, hang out with the dogs and otherwise jack off rather than researching and writing another book.

    ReplyDelete
  80. Nick, what is Helsinki? I saw some mention on FB, but did not know what you were referring to.

    ReplyDelete
  81. I am imagining how Laura would respond to that last comment, Allan, but I do not think I could capture her sarcasm well enough to try!

    ReplyDelete
  82. All right, two away. Let's keep this a three run game.

    ReplyDelete
  83. Perhaps I should focus on making sure Toronto wins and Tampa loses.

    ReplyDelete
  84. Saito is the most underrated member of this bullpen

    Score runs

    ReplyDelete
  85. down by 3 with 12 outs.

    the party starts now.

    ReplyDelete
  86. Does anyone know if Youk is available for pinch hitting?

    ReplyDelete
  87. yook - i'd say no, from his globe quotes

    ReplyDelete
  88. What happened to meuniermr? I wonder where he is moving to. Is he still here?

    ReplyDelete
  89. I agree re Youk. He said he was still having spasms.

    ReplyDelete
  90. No one gets LBJ! Nice play, but still too late.

    ReplyDelete
  91. Helsinki Cafe and Club Helsinki were an amazing two-headed bohemian beast. I worked there for 10 years.

    On the club size it held under 100 usually, but featured such performers as Burning Spear, the Tom Tom Club, Antibalas, a whole slate of jazz greats from Mose Allison to Don Byron, and a list longer than I can imagine of folk, jazz, rock, world, etc. musicians of big and small names plus a strong contingency of local musicians. Back when, they turned down a residency with the new artist Norah Jones before she hit the big time (she used to sing with the band Wax Poetic at the club before going solo)--oh well, but at that time it was a reasonable call.

    It really was a family and a number of the waitress got tea cup tattoos. How many people voluntarily get branded with their former place of employment?

    ReplyDelete
  92. Nice! I thought LBJ might score, but I guess it was hit too hard.

    ReplyDelete
  93. So what happened to it, Nick? A victim of the recession?

    (BTW, I don't know any of those performers, except, of course, Norah Jones. I really need to get out more!)

    ReplyDelete
  94. All right! Two in, and no one out!

    ReplyDelete
  95. HAHAHHAHAHAHHAAHAH

    do a dance aybar!!!!!!!!!

    ReplyDelete
  96. that is two, now keep the line moving here.

    WoW, the Angels defense keeps the line moving,

    Good call ump.

    ReplyDelete
  97. What the hell could Scioscia be arguing about? How could that be an out??

    ReplyDelete
  98. And he's gotten his shit back.

    ReplyDelete
  99. A little Papi magic would go great here.

    ReplyDelete
  100. Papi, drive in the tying and go ahead runs, please.

    ReplyDelete
  101. whoever at halo heaven is CERTAINLY losing his shit!!!!!!!!!!!

    ReplyDelete
  102. Great D by the Angels.... not.

    ReplyDelete
  103. correction: tea pot tattoos.

    Recession didn't help, but the margin was way low on the music side of things considering the number of tickets available per production costs.

    They're going to be opening a new larger place in Hudson, NY which will be amazing. Just couldn't keep this place going in the interim. Doesn't help that the local slumlord/landlord was uncooperative over the whole 15 years they were in his building.

    I'm sure I could come up with some musicians that even you :) know. Odetta?

    More runs now, please.

    ReplyDelete
  104. Rocco!!!

    Don't give this team any extra outs, they will make you pay!!!

    ReplyDelete
  105. Odetta, for sure. I am a big fan of the XM folk station.

    Was Helsinki in Great Barrington? Too bad I never got there.

    ReplyDelete
  106. Cactus, please do something useful for once.

    ReplyDelete
  107. Is this the Club Helsinki in Great Barrington? Not sure if we are talking local or not.

    ReplyDelete
  108. "battled all the way back" -- yes the have actually scored 3 runs in six innings!

    Thank you LAAA defense.

    ReplyDelete
  109. Uch, Tek, do not be a rally killer.

    ReplyDelete
  110. yeah nick "battled back"

    fuck you OB

    ReplyDelete
  111. Hey, TEK GOT ON BASE. Granted, not by a hit, but still....

    ReplyDelete
  112. Hey, the Cactus didn't make an out!

    ReplyDelete
  113. Saunders getting the Lackey mouth-breather face.

    ReplyDelete
  114. time for krotchman to kick 'em in the nuts

    ReplyDelete
  115. yep, chief, that's the place. Where are you located?

    Also, the inside was utterly amazing. broken glass mosaics on the ductwork and parts of the walls. murals of naked ladies over the fireplace, life-sized egyptian artwork in the back room below wide plank wooden ceilings, amazing light fixtures, mixed table cloths in the the restaurant, beautiful tinted plaster designs on the walls.

    ReplyDelete
  116. Ack, poo. I thought that would drop in.

    ReplyDelete
  117. this team is gonna kick copious amounts of ass in october. copious.

    ReplyDelete
  118. Sounds wonderful, Nick. Wish you had promoted it here BEFORE it closed. :)

    ReplyDelete
  119. I'm in Clarksburg (up by the VT border). I liked that place, long drive for me, but great place.

    ReplyDelete
  120. When NESN flashed Gonzalez's stats on the screen, did they say they were just for Boston (.287 BA, .287 OBP)? Because they were.

    Attaboy.

    ReplyDelete
  121. This team is full of surprises.

    ReplyDelete
  122. That shot of Lowell in the dugout clapping was positively Jeterian.

    ReplyDelete
  123. How did this guy not hit in other places?

    ReplyDelete
  124. If the BA and the OBP are the same, does that mean the player has only gotten on base by getting hits? Or I guess it could be that he is getting on by walks in the same proportion as getting hits? The math is too complex for me at this point in the night. Where did Tim the accountant go?

    ReplyDelete
  125. PC

    Sauders: 12-17-12 14-14-37 = 106

    ReplyDelete
  126. (What Lowell lacked in fist-pump, he made up in feigned enthusiasm.)

    Gonzalez has gotten zero sac flies and zero walks with Boston this year. It's possible to get some of each and still have AVG = OBP.

    ReplyDelete
  127. this team is gonna kick copious amounts of ass in october. copious.
    August 23

    We can change that from if to a when.

    ReplyDelete
  128. Amy - all hits, no walks. You had it right.

    ReplyDelete
  129. Thanks, Chief. How odd that he has not walked at all.

    ReplyDelete
  130. Scoreboard watching:

    Baltimore leads Tampa 2-1 in the 8th, currently in a rain delay

    Toronto leads New York 4-2 in the 7th

    Oakland leads Texas 4-0 in the 6th

    ReplyDelete
  131. Hey there. I need to check my TV listings more often, just turned on ESPN to see that the game is on. Looks good so far.

    ReplyDelete
  132. OB again saying they are "nervous in ny" -- where is this?

    ReplyDelete
  133. Glad to read that you guys enjoyed your trip to NM. What did you think of the Isotopes ballpark?

    ReplyDelete
  134. Amy said...

    Sounds wonderful, Nick. Wish you had promoted it here BEFORE it closed. :)


    Well, where do you think I was every Saturday night? You'll just have to drive to Hudson like the rest of us.

    Well, chief, normally I'd invite you down to Helsinki on a Saturday night and buy you a beer, but...

    ReplyDelete