2026 Red Sox W-L Contest Entries

Here are the entries for this year's W-L contest:

               W-L   TEAM ERA
Paul H.       95-67     3.57
Benjamin B.   95-67     3.66
Rich G.       93-69     3.57
Jacob L.      92-70     3.43
Brett H.      92-70     3.45
Allan W.      92-70     3.75
Jeff M.       91-71     3.70
Eddie N.      90-72     3.69
Dave I.       90-72     3.90
Warren S.     90-72     4.50
Michael G.    87-75     3.62

There has almost always been a decent amount of optimism when it comes to the predictions. I note, however, that the Red Sox have not won 90+ games since 2021 (when they went 92-70 and lost the ALCS (2-4) to Houston), having secured 78, 78, 81, and 89 victories in the subsequent seasons.

The ERA guesses are all pretty similar, within 45 points of each other (eight of the 11 entries are within 27 points (3.43-3.70). I was curious how Boston had ranked ERA-wise since the pandemic season. Huge improvement since 2023.

Red Sox ERA, 2021-25

         ERA    AL    MLB
2021    4.26     7     15
2022    4.53    14     25
2023    4.52    11     21
2024    4.04     9     17
2025    3.70     2*     4*
*: tied