February 23, 2012

Playing Pepper: 2012 Red Sox

Dan Shoptaw of C70 At The Bat and the founder of the Baseball Bloggers Alliance asked three Red Sox bloggers (two from Canada!) some questions about the upcoming season.

Click here now!

Here are my comments (and 2011's Q&A):
1) What was your opinion of the team's offseason?

I'm undoubtedly in the minority, but they did a decent job. No big names, but Cody Ross and Nick Punto can each play a variety of positions. New GM Ben Cherington has stockpiled a bunch of arms for the bullpen and the back of the rotation. And as much as I love and will miss Terry Francona, I have warmed up to the idea of Bobby Valentine as manager.

2) Josh Beckett seems to alternate good years and bad years. Are you worried 2012 will be a down year for him?

No. See #3.

3) Will the collapse of 2011 play any role in the 2012 season?

September 2011 is a distant dot in my rearview mirror, but I know many fans are still angry. The media will giddily stoke those emotions if the team gets off to anything other than a great start. The players, especially Beckett and Jon Lester, should be extremely motivated to atone for their pitching performances in the final month and the beer and chicken stories that came out in October. The collapse should have only a positive effect in 2012.

4) Is there a prospect that will make an impact on the team this season?

I don't think so. Both third baseman Will Middlebrooks and shortstop Jose Iglesias need another year in Pawtucket.

5) Where will the team finish in their division and what are you most excited about for 2012?

If the Red Sox don't improve on last year's 90 wins, I'll be shocked. I say 95 wins and first place (by a whisker) in the East. One poster at Sons of Sam Horn recently said, "The underestimation of this team is staggering." And I agree. At worst, this team has simply moved sideways from 2011, when it began September on track for 100 wins. And it seemed like everyone and his grandmother had picked the 2011 Red Sox to go all the way. They will be in the thick of it all year. Boston had the worst hitting RFers in the AL last year; Ross and Ryan Sweeney should absolutely improve on that. The LFers were (believe it or not) middle of the pack to a bit better than average (5th in avg, 7th in obp, 3rd in slg), and Carl Crawford (whose OBP never topped .300 last year) has got to be more productive this year. Crawford's improvement should offset any decline from Jacoby Ellsbury. Marco Scutaro was a tick above average at shortstop and even if Mike Aviles cannot match Scutaro's production, the lineup is still one of baseball's best. Lester and Beckett return, a healthy Clay Buchholz replaces John Lackey, who had one of the worst seasons of all-time last year. I am most excited to see what Daniel Bard can do in the rotation and I'm extremely curious what Daisuke Matsuzaka will give the team when he returns in late June (or so). This off-season has dragged and dragged - and I am ready for baseball!

11 comments:

allan said...

The harrowing tale of Bobby Jenks (Peter Abraham, Globe)

Yikes!

***

Also, Roy Oswalt finally speaks - and says he may join a team mid-season. Zzzzzzzzzzzz.....

matthew said...

One poster at Sons of Sam Horn recently said, "The underestimation of this team is staggering." And I agree. At worst, this team has simply moved sideways from 2011, when it began September on track for 100 wins. And it seemed like everyone and his grandmother had picked the 2011 Red Sox to go all the way. They will be in the thick of it all year.

-----------

EXACTLY. Thank you for injecting some sanity into evaluating the 2012 Sox. I'm stunned how down on the Sox some people seem to be. September 2011 was an anomaly.

johngoldfine said...

I have warmed up to the idea of Bobby Valentine as manager.


I can't say I have.

9casey said...

I love your optimism , but the major issue last year was starting pitching depth, as far as i can see that wasn't fixed.

I would love to see them win 95 games, I just don't see it.

Tom DePlonty said...

the major issue last year was starting pitching depth, as far as i can see that wasn't fixed.

- No Lackey.
- Beckett and Lester looking to redeem themselves.
- HH healthy.
- Bard to the rotation.
- Dice-K, with a new elbow.
- Some depth fighting it out for a job at the back of the rotation.

(And then, considering the loss of Bard and Papelbon)

- Some new depth for the bullpen.
- Rich Hill.
- We've still got Aceves.

Lots of crossed fingers in all that, but there's hope. Especially considering the offense should be about as good as it was last year, and that was really, really good.

allan said...

I would love to see them win 95 games, I just don't see it.

So we win the East with 93? :>)

Whatever - we're gonna have some fun this summer. Let's hope it's enough.

allan said...

Sox angered the karma gods during G162?!?!?!

This is what passes as sports journalism, ladies and gents.

Conduct yourselves accordingly.

9casey said...

And winning the division is key , now.

nick said...

I'm looking forward to the season for sure. I feel like I'm around where Allan's at (minus the expertise, knowledge, etc.)--I'm not rending my garments. Reading SoSH over the winter, there're fans so despondent that a little "eh, could be worse" comes across as unbridled exuberance. (not that I'm setting up a straw man here.)

Through my ignorance and media limitations, I can't recall a single moving picture of Valentine or what his voice sounds like, but every picture I see of him reminds me of someone. Perhaps it's "scream" era Howard Dean?

Tom DePlonty said...

This is what passes as sports journalism, ladies and gents.

Another example of the media feeding the established narrative, like you pointed out in the Beckett v Lester post. Most of the comments, predictably, are about how the 2011 team lost because of hubris.

Zenslinger said...

I am more concerned that the Yankees and Rays look like they could be better than last year than that we could be worse.