April 20, 2013

G16: Red Sox 4, Royals 3

Royals  - 000 010 101 - 3 10  1
Red Sox - 000 001 03x - 4  7  1
Daniel Nava atoned for getting picked off second base (as the potential tying run) in the seventh inning by crushing a three-run homer in the eighth. The #BostonStrDong gave the Red Sox a 4-2 lead, and allowed them to withstand a Royals rally against Andrew Bailey in the ninth.

It was the Red Sox's first home game since the Marathon bombings on Monday afternoon. The win was Boston's seventh straight and gave them a 12-4 record. In 16 games, the starting pitchers have yet to allow more than three runs in a game.

Buchholz (8-8-2-1-6, 104) had no trouble with the Kansas City lineup, except for Lorenzo Cain, who finished the day 4-for-4, with a single, two doubles, and a home run. Cain doubled to begin the fifth and scored the day's first run on Jeff Francoeur's single. Boston tied the game in the sixth when Jacoby Ellsbury singled, was bunted to second, took third on a grounder, and scored on David Ortiz's second single of the afternoon. Cain also doubled in the seventh and scored on Salvador Perez's triple into the right field corner.

In the bottom of the seventh, Nava was hit by a pitch and Will Middlebrooks singled (snapping an 0-for-15 skid). On the first pitch to Stephen Drew, Perez caught Nava way off second base and threw down, picking him off. Drew then reached on an infield fielding error that might have scored Nava, if he had still been on second. Jarrod Saltalamacchia fouled out to third and Ellsbury flied to right.

In the eighth, facing Tim Collins, Jonny Gomes, pinch-hitting for Shane Victorino, doubled to left-center. Dustin Pedroia walked, but was erased when Ortiz grounded into a double play. Gomes - the potential tying run - went to third on the GIDP. The Royals brought in Kelvin Herrera, who walked Mike Napoli on four pitches. Nava then pounded a 1-1 pitch into the Red Sox bullpen to give the home team a 4-2 lead.

Bailey seemed amped and overthrowing in the ninth. Cain greeted him with a solo homer. Then Mike Moustakas crushed a fly ball that Ellsbury ran down near the triangle. After Francouer lined a single to left-center, Perez nearly wrapped one around the Pesky Pole. That rocket would have given KC the lead, but it was simply "strike two". Bailey struck out Perez on the next pitch for the second out, but he still had trouble getting the ball in the strike zone and walked George Kottaras. He ran the count full on Alex Gordon before getting a routine grounder to second, which ended the game.
Example
James Shields / Clay Buchholz
Ellsbury, CF
Victorino, RF
Pedroia, 2B
Ortiz, DH
Napoli, 1B
Nava, LF
Middlebrooks, 3B
Drew, SS
Ross, C
David Ortiz returns!

Last night's postponed game will be made up tomorrow as part of a day-night doubleheader.

Boston's starting pitchers have allowed no more than three runs in each of this season's 15 games, the longest such streak to begin a season since the 1981 Oakland A's.

April 19, 2013

G16: Royals at Red Sox, PPD

Red Sox:
OFFICIAL: Tonight's Red Sox game at Fenway Park scheduled for 7:10 pm has been postponed to support efforts of law enforcement officers.
Example
Royals  -
Red Sox - 
James Shields / Clay Buchholz

David Ortiz has been activated for tonight's game.
My idea [during the rehab assignment] was to put the ball in play so I could run and see how it felt. I got the chance to taste that. It feels good. I think I'll go back to the big team [Friday] and try to keep [my swing] compact. I'm old enough to know to keep it compact. But my main key was to make sure that my foot was fine.
As expected, Jackie Bradley (.097/.263/.129) was optioned to Pawtucket.

John Lackey (right bicep strain) will make a rehab start for Portland on Monday.

April 18, 2013

G15: Red Sox 6, Cleveland 3

Red Sox   - 010 110 300 - 6  9  0
Cleveland - 010 010 010 - 3  6  1
The Red Sox extended their winning streak to six games behind the pitching of Lester (7-4-2-1-5, 115).

Boston is 11-4 and leads the AL East by 2.5 games. In each of the Red Sox's 15 games this season, the starting pitcher has allowed three runs or fewer.

Mike Napoli tripled and singled and scored two runs. ... Jacoby Ellsbury also had two hits and two runs scored. ... Daniel Nava drove in two runs. ... Jarrod Saltalamacchia hit his third homer. ... Andrew Bailey got his second save in two nights.

Game story from MLB.com.
Example
Jon Lester / Zach McAllister
Ellsbury, CF
Victorino, RF
Pedroia, 2B
Napoli, 1B
Nava, LF
Gomes, DH
Saltalamacchia, C
Drew, SS
Ciriaco, 3B
From Gordon Edes's lengthy notes article:
The Sox are 10-4, a record eclipsed only by Oakland (12-4) in the AL. Six games over .500 may appear a modest achievement, but it's a level never reached last season by the Sons of Bobby Valentine, whose high-water mark came on July 1, when they were 42-37, then went 27-56 the rest of the way.

The team's pitching staff has carried the club so far, a staff ERA of 2.66 is best in the AL. As a staff, Sox pitchers have struck out 141 batters in 125 innings, a league-best ratio of 10.2 K's per nine. ...

Sox starters have an AL-best 2.30 ERA ...

The Sox are winning even though five batters are hitting .200 or less, and leadoff man Jacoby Ellsbury has an on-base percentage of .299. They've held their own in low-scoring games, going 3-3 in games in which they've scored three runs or fewer.

April 17, 2013

G14: Red Sox 6, Cleveland 3

Red Sox   - 300 011 010 - 6 15  0
Cleveland - 000 003 000 - 3  7  1
Justin Masterson came into this game having allowed only one run in 22 innings. So what do the Red Sox do in the first inning? Pin a three-spot on him.

Jacoby Ellsbury singled. Shane Victorino was hit by a pitch. Dustin Pedroia singled. Mike Napoli singled (2-0). Daniel Nava singled (3-0). All this - and all four hits were to the opposite field - before Masterson (5-11-4-1-5, 101) could record an out.

Boston loaded the bases with no outs in the second inning - Mike Carp doubled, and Ellsbury and Victorino singled - and failed to score. (Carp had to stay at second when Ellsbury's hit snaked through the shortstop hole and he could not score on Victorino's hard grounder to right.) The Red Sox also had the bases loaded with one out in the fourth and could not score.

Carp made his first start of the season and went 3-for-3 (two doubles and a triple). Stephen Drew walked with two outs in the fifth and scored on Carp's three-bagger. In the sixth, Victorino (who reached base five times) singled, went to third on Napoli's double and scored on Nava's single.

It felt like Boston's missed chances to score earlier in the game would come back to haunt them when Cleveland scored three times in the sixth off a presumably tired Aceves (5-7-3-3-2, 106). Aceves had never thrown more than 98 pitches in a game in his career - and he was at 87 when he finished the fifth, an inning in which he allowed a single, double and walk with two outs before escaping trouble when Victorino hauled in Asdrubal Cabrera's rocket to the gap in right-center.

John Farrell did not have anyone warming up when Aceves began the sixth. That was a mistake for which he got burned. Aceves walked Carlos Santana and gave up a two-run home run to Nick Swisher. As Junichi Tazawa and Andrew Miller began warming up, Jason Giambi crushed a solo shot to right-center, cutting Boston's lead to 5-3. After Juan Nieves made a visit to the mound, Aceves allowed a double to Mark Reynolds.

Tazawa finally came in - and retired the next three batters; he also struck out the side in the seventh. Koji Uehara pitched a perfect eighth, with two strikeouts, and Andrew Bailey struck out two more in a perfect ninth.

Victorino, Ellsbury, and Carp each had three hits. ... Will Middlebrooks (0-for-5) is 2-for-30 since his three-homer game in Toronto. ... Boston has won five in a row and is now 10-4 - and its starting pitchers have allowed three runs or fewer in all 14 games this season.
Example
Alfredo Aceves / Justin Masterson
Ellsbury, CF
Victorino, RF
Pedroia, 2B
Napoli, DH
Nava, LF
Middlebrooks, 3B
Saltalamacchia, C
Drew, SS
Carp, 1B
Masterson has allowed only one run in 22 innings (0.41). ... Aceves makes his second start of the season. He pitched five innings against Baltimore on April 11.

John Farrell said there is "a chance" David Ortiz could be in the Red Sox lineup on Friday against Kansas City. ... Dustin Pedroia has reached base in each of Boston's 13 games this season.

April 16, 2013

G13: Red Sox 7, Cleveland 2

Red Sox   - 070 000 000 - 7  6  0
Cleveland - 010 010 000 - 2  6  0
Boston sent 11 men to the plate in the second inning, scoring seven times on three hits and five walks. That was more than enough offense for Doubront (5-4-2-4-7, 104) and relievers Clayton Mortensen and Alex Wilson.

Jiminez (1.2-2-7-5-1, 59) had a quick first inning, but did not make it out of the second despite throwing 44 pitches. Mike Napoli doubled to right-center and Will Middlebrooks walked. After Daniel Nava struck out, Jonny Gomes walked to load the bases and David Ross walked to force in a run. Pedro Ciriaco made it 2-0 with a line drive sacrifice fly to right.

Jacoby Ellsbury followed with an RBI single. Ellsbury stole second base on the first pitch to Shane Victorino, who walked, reloading the bases. Dustin Pedroia walked, bringing in another run - and ending Jiminez's night. Napoli then tagged reliever Cody Allen for his second double of the inning, clearing the bases, and giving Boston a 7-0 lead.

The Red Sox could do nothing with Cleveland's bullpen, as a quarter of relievers struck out 15 batters in 7.1 innings. Boston batters struck out 16 times and drew nine walks - totals they have never had together in a game since (at least) 1916.

Doubront's outing was cut short because of a high pitch count (13-23-23 15-30 in his five innings). But Boston's streak of starting pitchers allowing three runs or fewer remained intact - covering all 13 games this season. Red Sox starters have allowed two earned runs or fewer in the last nine games.

Gomes reached base four times, with a single and three walks. Nava struck out in all four of his plate appearances; he was pinch-hit for in the ninth by Mike Carp, who struck out.

Home plate Laz Diaz showed why he is one of the worst umpires in major league baseball. In the first two innings, his pathetic attempts to correctly call balls and strikes were essentially a coin flip. High pitches out of the zone were called strikes, and then pitches that came in lower than those were called balls. He judged numerous pitches well outside the zone as strikes. Is Diaz Exhibit A in the fans' demand for robot umps? I don't know (he might be), but he is mentioned prominently in the brief.

I could show many different examples of Diaz's incompetence, but I'll limit it to one - and an instance where Doubront and the Red Sox received two gifts. Five pitches clearly out of the strike zone (3 and 5 overlap) to Drew Stubbs in the bottom of the first inning, and the count is 3-2.


Example
Felix Doubront / Ubaldo Jimenez
Ellsbury, CF
Victorino, RF
Pedroia, 2B
Napoli, 1B
Middlebrooks, 3B
Nava, LF
Gomes, DH
Ross, C
Ciriaco, SS
Joel Hanrahan (right hamstring strain) has been placed on the 15-day disabled list. Knuckleballer Steven Wright has been called up.

Hanrahan hurt himself during the second game of the season, against the Yankees.
It's kind of been there every game. It's just progressively gotten a little worse. It's something if I keep running out there and trying to do it I'll hurt myself more and hurt the rest of the team.
The rest of this series:
Wednesday: Alfredo Aceves / Justin Masterson
Thursday: Jon Lester / Zach McAllister
The Globe's Peter Abraham notes that this will be the first game the Red Sox have played against a Terry Francona-managed team since the Phillies beat Boston 6-5 in 12 innings on June 4, 2000. (Curt Schilling started that game for Philadelphia.)

April 15, 2013

Starters: Eight Straight Games Allowing Two Or Fewer Earned Runs

Red Sox starting pitchers have gone twelve consecutive games without allowing more than three earned runs - a franchise record.

The starters have allowed only seven runs (five earned) in the last seven games (46 innings).
                 IP    H   R  ER  BB   K
0401 Lester      5.0   5   2   2   2   7
0403 Buchholz    7.0   6   1   1   2   4
0404 Dempster    5.0   5   3   3   4   8
0405 Doubront    5.0   9   3   3   0   6
0406 Lackey      4.1   5   2   2   1   8
0407 Lester      7.0   5   0   0   0   6
0408 Buchholz    7.0   3   0   0   4   8
0410 Dempster    5.0   3   3   1   2   7
0411 Aceves      5.0   6   2   2   3   4
0413 Lester      7.0   5   1   1   1   5
0414 Buchholz    8.0   2   0   0   4  11
0415 Dempster    7.0   2   1   1   2  10
Clay Buchholz and Ryan Dempster are the first starters in Red Sox history to strike out at least 10 while allowing two or fewer hits in consecutive games. (WEEI)

G12: Red Sox 3, Rays 2

Rays    - 000 100 001 - 2  4  0
Red Sox - 100 010 001 - 3  4  0
Mike Napoli's double off the Wall scored Dustin Pedroia from first base to give the Red Sox a Patriots Day walkoff victory and a three-game sweep of the Rays.

The winning run got Andrew Bailey off the hook, as he allowed Tampa to tie the game in the top of the ninth. After giving up that tying run, Bailey had a man on second with no outs. He retired the next three batters, on two strikeouts and a pop-up.

Ryan Dempster (7-2-1-2-10, 101) continued the string of excellent outings from the Boston starting pitchers. Evan Longoria hit a solo home run in the fourth. The Red Sox have the lowest team ERA in the American League.

Jacoby Ellsbury tripled to dead center in the first inning and scored on Shane Victorino's grounder to second. Jarrod Saltalamacchia homered in the fifth. In the ninth, Pedroia worked a walk off Joel Peralta with one out and never stopped running once Napoli whacked a low splitter to left. There was no play at the plate.

Boston had four hits: two doubles (Napoli, Stephen Drew), one triple (Ellsbury), and one home run (Saltalamacchia).
Example
Jeremy Hellickson / Ryan Dempster
Ellsbury, CF
Victorino, RF
Pedroia, 2B
Napoli, 1B
Saltalamacchia, C
Middlebrooks, 3B
Drew, SS
Gomes, DH
Bradley, LF

April 14, 2013

G11: Red Sox 5, Rays 0

Rays    - 000 000 000 - 0  3  1
Red Sox - 004 000 01x - 5  8  0
Buchholz (8-2-0-4-11, 109) pitched seven no-hit innings as the first-place Red Sox improved to 7-4.

Kelly Johnson stroked a clean single to right field on Buchholz's second pitch of the eighth inning to break up the no-hit bid. Johnson was immediately erased on a double play. Desmond Jennings doubled off the Wall, but Buchholz retired Ben Zobrist (who had walked twice) for the final out. Andrew Miller pitched the ninth.

Buchholz struck out two batters in the first, second, third, fourth, and seventh innings. The 11 strikeouts was a career high, and he lowered his ERA to 0.41 (one run in 22 innings).

Jacoby Ellsbury, Shane Victorino and Dustin Pedroia each singled to load the bases with no one out in the third. Mike Napoli doubled home two runs. Two more runs scored on Stephen Drew's fielder's choice and an infield throwing error. Pedroia (3-for-4) doubled in the eighth and scored on Will Middlebrooks's sacrifice fly.
Example
Alex Cobb / Clay Buchholz
Ellsbury, CF
Victorino, RF
Pedroia, 2B
Napoli, 1B
Nava, DH
Middlebrooks, 3B
Drew, SS
Saltalamacchia, C
Bradley, LF

April 13, 2013

Historic Performance By Red Sox Starters

Red Sox starters have allowed three runs or fewer in all 10 games this season.

It's the longest such streak to begin a season in team history. The 1916 team, led by Babe Ruth, had a nine-game start.
                IP    H   R  ER  BB   K
0401 Lester     5.0   5   2   2   2   7
0403 Buchholz   7.0   6   1   1   2   4
0404 Dempster   5.0   5   3   3   4   8
0405 Doubront   5.0   9   3   3   0   6
0406 Lackey     4.1   5   2   2   1   8
0407 Lester     7.0   5   0   0   0   6
0408 Buchholz   7.0   3   0   0   4   8
0410 Dempster   5.0   3   3   1   2   7
0411 Aceves     5.0   6   2   2   3   4
0413 Lester     7.0   5   1   1   1   5
The starters have an ERA of 2.35 (15 earned runs in 57.1 innings).

G10: Red Sox 2, Rays 1 (10)

Rays    - 001 000 000 0 - 1  6  1
Red Sox - 000 010 000 1 - 2  7  0
Shane Victorino's infield single to shortstop scored Jacoby Ellsbury with the winning run.

Ellsbury had singled with one out, stolen second, and continued on to third when catcher Jose Lobaton's throw sailed into the outfield. Tampa Bay brought the left fielder in to make a five-man infield; they were all playing in on the lip of the grass, and shortstop Yunel Escobar, playing in front of second base, dove to his left to spear Victorino's hit. Escobar threw quickly to first, but Ryan Roberts was not on the bag. It didn't matter, because (a) there was only one out and (b) Ellsbury was busy sprinting across the plate.

David Ross's solo home run off Price (6-4-1-2-8, 106) accounted for Boston's other run.

Lester (7-5-1-1-5, 100) had an uncomfortable three innings before settling down. He had two 3-ball counts and one 2-ball count in the first inning, gave up two two-out singles in the second, and allowed a single and an RBI double to begin the third. Lester retired 14 of his last 15 batters, though. His ERA in three starts is 1.42.

Lester also moved into sixth on the Red Sox all-time strikeout list for pitchers. He is the only lefty in the top seven - and should crack the top five very soon:
1  Roger Clemens   2,590
2  Tim Wakefield   2,046
3  Pedro Martinez  1,683
4  Cy Young        1,341
5  Josh Beckett    1,108
6  Jon Lester      1,078
7  Luis Tiant      1,075
The bullpen was lights out, save for Joel Hanrahan. Manager John Farrell brought in Hanrahan to start the top of the ninth, after Andrew Bailey had worked a perfect eighth. Farrell had a short leash, however, and after Hanrahan walked both Evan Longoria (on four pitches) and Ben Zobrist (an eight-pitch battle), Farrell quickly pulled him in favour of Koji Uehara, who set down the next three batters. Junichi Tazawa allowed a leadoff double in the tenth, but got the next three Rays.
Example
David Price / Jon Lester
Ellsbury, CF
Victorino, RF
Pedroia, 2B
Napoli, 1B
Middlebrooks, 3B
Nava, LF
Gomes, DH
Drew, SS
Ross, C
Game preview from WEEI.

April 12, 2013

G10: Rays at Red Sox, PPD

Tonight's game has been postponed because of rain.
Rays    - 
Red Sox - 
Alex Cobb / Felix Doubront

Cobb makes his second start of the season. He pitched 7.1 shutout innings against Cleveland on April 6. ... Doubront allowed three runs in five innings to the Blue Jays on April 5.

Rest of the series:
Saturday: David Price / Jon Lester
Sunday: Jeremy Hellickson / Clay Buchholz
Monday: Roberto Hernandez / Ryan Dempster
Four games with Tampa Bay, and we miss Matt Moore (2 starts, 11.1 shutout innings, 3 hits allowed). Woo-hoo!

David Ortiz went 2-for-3 with Pawtucket last night.
Example

April 11, 2013

G9: Orioles 3, Red Sox 2

Orioles - 010 010 100 - 3  9  0
Red Sox - 002 000 000 - 2  8  0
Adam Jones drove in the game-tying run with a fifth-inning single and then gave Baltimore its margin of victory with an RBI double off Koji Uehara in the seventh. The loss dropped the Red Sox's record to 5-4.

Chris Davis put the Orioles on the board by smacking a 3-0 pitch to right-center for a home run off Aceves (5-6-2-3-4, 79) in the second. Boston took a 2-1 lead in the third. Stephen Drew drew a leadoff walk and, with two outs, Shane Victorino, Dustin Pedroia, and Mike Napoli all singled.

In the fifth, Manny Machado - who reached base five times on two singles, a double, a walk, and a fielder's choice - scored on Jones's single to center.

Boston had a good chance to break the 2-2 tie in the bottom of the sixth. Napoli and Daniel Nava both singled, but Brian Matusz came out of the Orioles' pen with one out and struck out Jarrod Saltalamacchia and Drew to end the inning.

Baltimore took the lead against the Red Sox's pen in the seventh. Clayton Mortensen got the first two outs, but Machado lined a single to left field. Andrew Miller came in and walked Nick Markakis, his only batter. Uehara followed, and Jones lined his first pitch into the left field corner for a run-scoring double. After Davis was walked intentionally, Uehara got Wieters to fly to left.

Boston made very little noise over the final three innings. Victorino singled with two outs in the seventh, but Pedroia grounded into a fielder's choice. In the ninth, Drew singled with one out, but Jonny Gomes fanned and Jacoby Ellsbury lined out to left.

Alex Wilson (#63) made his major league debut, pitching the top of the ninth. He walked Machado, but got Markakis to ground into a 6-4-3 double play. Then he struck out Jones on three pitches.
Example
Chris Tillman / Alfredo Aceves
Ellsbury, CF
Victorino, RF
Pedroia, 2B
Napoli, 1B
Middlebrooks, 3B
Nava, DH
Saltalamacchia, C
Drew, SS
Bradley, LF

April 10, 2013

G8: Orioles 8, Red Sox 5

Orioles - 100 200 005 - 8  6  0
Red Sox - 012 002 000 - 5  5  2
It looked good for the Red Sox. After waiting out a 43-minute rain delay in the top of the sixth, Daniel Nava and Jarrod Saltalamacchia hit back-to-back home runs to give Boston a 5-3 lead.

Junichi Tazawa and Andrew Bailey breezed through the seventh and eighth innings, respectively, each striking out two batters. Joel Hanrahan, looking for his 100th career save, had the ninth. He faced seven batters, allowed five runs, and walked off the mound to very loud boos.

Hanrahan allowed a home run to Chris Davis to dead center field to start the frame. But then he got two outs, so things looked all right. Ryan Flaherty (0-for-17 to start the season) shot an opposite field single to left, and pinch-runner Alex Casilla stole second as Nolan Reimold walked on four pitches. After a mound visit, Hanrahan walked Nate McLouth, although ball four was well within the strike zone - which should have ended the game. Home plate umpire Cory Blaser had a very difficult time telling balls from strikes at various points throughout the evening.

Here's a good example of Blaser's stunning incompetence. Pitch 4 should have been called strike three on McLouth in the first inning. Instead, it was ball two. McLouth walked and scored the first run of the game.


Back to the 9th: After the McLouth walk loaded the bases, Hanrahan uncorked a wild pitch that scored Casilla with the tying run. Hanrahan's next pitch was blasted by Manny Machado into the Monster seats for a three-run dong. Boston went down quietly in the bottom of the ninth against Baltimore closer Jim Johnson.

The blown calls hurt, naturally - and added to the Everestesque pile of evidence showing that we need robot umps - but after he got the second out, Hanrahan threw 18 pitches, any one of which could have ended the game. Bottom line: he failed to get that final out.

In addition to his home run, Saltalamacchia also had two doubles and two RBI. Jacoby Ellsbury had an RBI triple in the third inning.
Example
Jake Arrieta / Ryan Dempster
Ellsbury, CF
Victorino, RF
Pedroia, 2B
Napoli, 1B
Middlebrooks, 3B
Nava, DH
Saltalamacchia, C
Drew, SS
Bradley, LF
Stephen Drew has been activated for tonight's game. Jose Iglesias was optioned to Pawtucket.

In addition, John Lackey had been placed on the 15-day disabled list with a right bicep strain, and 26-year-old right-hander Alex Wilson has been recalled from Pawtucket. You can read a little about Wilson here.

April 9, 2013

Off-Day Reading Room

America's Pastime, Behind Bars (New York Times)
The Civil War was the caldron of America's pastime, the period in which several prototype forms of the game – the New York game, townball – were melded into what we more or less know as the sport today. Such melding took place in camps, where officers on both sides permitted and even encouraged baseball playing. But it also took place in prisons, mostly notably those in Salisbury, N.C., and Johnson's Island, near Sandusky, Ohio.
Baseball Broadcasts Introduce Advanced Stats, But With Caution (New York Times)

Roger Ebert At The Baseball Movies (Baseball Prospectus)

Tampa Bay Rays Apologize For Mascot Holding Offensive Sign (USAToday/Deadspin)

Anatomy Of A Really Bad Call (Fangraphs)

2013 Staff Predictions (The Hardball Times)

Yankees' Minor League Affiliate Starts Brush Fire With Postgame Fireworks Display (Yahoo)
The jokes about the New York Yankees season going up in flames pretty much write themselves ...

April 8, 2013

G7: Red Sox 3, Orioles 1

Orioles - 000 000 001 - 1  5  0
Red Sox - 000 000 30x - 3  5  0
Daniel Nava broke up a pitchers' duel with a three-run home run in the seventh inning and Clay Buchholz (7-3-0-4-8, 113) relied on his breaking pitches to post another strong outing as Boston improved its record to 5-2. The Red Sox have won their last nine home openers (2005-13).

Buchholz and Chen (6.1-5-3-2-3, 107) put up zeroes until the stretch. The Red Sox had managed only two hits through the first six innings, but Dustin Pedroia began the seventh with an infield single and Mike Napoli doubled off the Wall. After Will Middlebrooks struck out, Nava - playing left field against the Orioles lefty in place of Jackie Bradley - blasted a 1-1 pitch into the Monster Seats.

Andrew Bailey pitched a perfect eighth, with two strikeouts. In the ninth, Joel Hanrahan allowed a leadoff home run to Adam Jones and a two-out double to J.J. Hardy, but was able to pick up the save.

Buchholz put the leadoff runner on base in three of his first four innings, but deftly worked out of trouble each time. He allowed only two runners to reach second base. ... Nava reached base three times with a home run, single, and walk. ... Shane Victorino had Boston's first hit, a single to begin the fourth.
Example
Wei-Yin Chen / Clay Buchholz
Ellsbury, CF
Victorino, RF
Pedroia, 2B
Napoli, 1B
Middlebrooks, 3B
Nava, LF
Gomes, DH
Ross, C
Iglesias, SS

After winning two of three games in both New York and Toronto, the Red Sox - in sole possession of first place in the American League East (a place they never occupied during 2012) - come home to Fenway Park to host the Orioles (3-3).

Boston is off to its best start through six games since going 5-1 in 2006. (And while traditional fielding stats are almost entirely worthless, for the first time since 1957 the Red Sox have played the first six games of a season without being charged with an error.)

Boston and Baltimore are the top two AL teams in average, on-base and slugging, with the Red Sox leading in OBP and SLG, and the Orioles on top in AVG. The Red Sox's OBP of .371 leads the majors. Top MLB teams in runs scored: Oakland/Cincinnati 38, Baltimore 37, Boston 36. The A's have played seven games, however, while the other teams have played six.

David Ortiz begins playing in extended spring training games today. He might continue his rehab in Pawtucket later in the week (possibly in time for its home opener on April 11). ... Stephen Drew is expected to rejoin the Red Sox on Wednesday. That means hot-hitting Jose Iglesias (9-for-17, .529, with no walks) will likely be headed back to AAA.

OMG: Through six games, the Pirates are hitting .119/.188/.159, with only eight runs scored.

April 7, 2013

G6: Red Sox 13, Blue Jays 0

Red Sox   - 501 110 230 - 13 15  0
Blue Jays - 000 000 000 -  0  7  0
The Red Sox hit six home runs, including three from Will Middlebrooks, in a Sunday afternoon rout at Skydome. Lester (7-5-0-0-6, 100) and Clayton Mortensen did not allow a Toronto runner past second base.

Boston scored five times in the first inning off Dickey (4.2-10-8-2-5, 100) before making an out. Jacoby Ellsbury doubled and Shane Victorino singled. Dustin Pedroia singled in one run, Mike Napoli doubled home two more, and Middlebrooks hit a two-run bomb to right field.

Middlebrooks doubled and scored on Daniel Nava's sacrifice fly in the third, and went deep in the fifth. Middlebrooks and Nava went back-to-back to begin the seventh. Ellsbury hit his first dong of the year in the eighth; with one out, Pedroia walked and Napoli hit a two-run shot to center.

Middlebrooks finished the day 4-for-5, with 4 runs scored and 4 RBI. He is the first Red Sox player to hit three homers in a game since Pedroia did it against the Rockies on June 24, 2010. Middlebrooks ia also only the sixth Boston player with 14+ total bases in one game, joining Fred Lynn (16), Pedroia (15), John Valentin (15), Carl Yastrzemski (14), and Norm Zauchin (14).

Napoli also drove in four runs. ... Ellsbury was a triple shy of the cycle. ... Jose Iglesias singled and doubled in five trips, and watched his batting average drop to .529. ... The Red Sox have had at least 12 hits in four of their six games. ... Boston last hit six home runs in a game on July 7, 2011.

The Red Sox (4-2) head home for the Fenway Park opener tomorrow afternoon at 2 PM against the Orioles.
Example
Jon Lester / R.A Dickey
Ellsbury, CF
Victorino, RF
Pedroia, 2B
Napoli, DH
Middlebrooks, 3B
Nava, 1B
Saltalamacchia, C
Bradley, LF
Iglesias, SS

April 6, 2013

G5: Blue Jays 5, Red Sox 0

Red Sox   - 000 000 000 - 0  2  0
Blue Jays - 000 203 00x - 5  8  1
John Lackey grabbed his right arm in pain after throwing an errant pitch to Jose Reyes in the bottom of the fifth inning. He (4.2-5-2-1-8, 76) left the game immediately.

Pitching coach Juan Nieves told NESN late in the game that it was (only) a biceps strain. Lackey will have an MRI tomorrow.

John Farrell:
He felt kind of a cramping sensation. Obviously we took him out immediately, but once he was in the clubhouse here, he iced it down. That cramping went away. The strength test, at least in the training room, showed to be positive, in terms of full strength. We're going to get him back and get a full exam likely tomorrow.
Lackey:
It was a pretty good cramp. It's all in the biceps. It's not the elbow. It's frustrating, and it was scary when it happened. It's sore, but hopefully not too serious.
The Globe has more quotes from Lackey and Farrell.

For the Red Sox hitters, Jacoby Ellsbury doubled to start the game, and that was the Red Sox's only hit of the afternoon until Dustin Pedroia reached on an infield single with two outs in the ninth. Ellsbury also stole two bases. Shane Victornino walked twice.

J.A. Happ, Steve Delabar, Aaron Loup, and Sergio Santos stymied the Sox, striking out 11. Mike Napoli struck out three times. On the other side, 13 Toronto hitters struck out against Lackey (eight) and Alfredo Aceves (five).

J.P. Arencibia hit a two-run home run off Lackey in the fourth and Cody Rasmus added a three-run dong off Aceves in the sixth.
Example
John Lackey / J.A. Happ
Ellsbury, CF
Victorino, RF
Pedroia, 2B
Napoli, 1B
Middlebrooks, 3B
Gomes, DH
Ross, C
Bradley, LF
Ciriaco, SS

April 5, 2013

G4: Red Sox 6, Blue Jays 4

Red Sox   - 010 120 011 - 6 12  0
Blue Jays - 010 020 100 - 4 12  3
Mike Napoli's groundout to third base in the top of the eighth inning brought home Jonny Gomes with the run that snapped a 4-4 tie. Andrew Bailey and Joel Hanrahan held the line, as the Red Sox improved their record to 3-1.

Napoli also hit the team's first home run of the season: a two-run shot to right in the fifth. Will Middlebrooks added a solo shot in the ninth.

With one out in the top of the eighth, Esmil Rogers walked pinch-hitter Gomes and surrendered a double (on an 0-2 pitch) to Dustin Pedroia. Napoli, who finished the night with three RBI, then brought Gomes home.

In the home half of the eighth, Andrew Bailey gave up a double to Rajai Davis with one out, and then walked Cody Rasmus to rachet up the tension. Adam Lind flied to center (moving Davis to third) and Maicer Izturis did the same, ending the threat.

Hanrahan walked Melky Cabrera with two outs in the ninth, but got Edwin Encarnacion on a ground ball to second to save the victory.

Shane Victorino had two hits and scored Boston's first two runs. ... Jackie Bradley reached base three times. ... Jose Iglesias was drilled by a pitch on the right forearm and left the game after three innings. ... His replacement, Pedro Ciriaco, singled and doubled, and was part of a double steal with Jacoby Ellsbury. ... Doubront: 5-9-3-0-6, 90.

For the Jays, Jose Reyes went 4-for-5, with two doubles and a home run. Emilio Bonifacio had a horrific night: he struck out four times and made three errors at second base (two on consecutive plays in the fourth).
Example
Felix Doubront / Josh Johnson
Ellsbury, CF
Nava, DH
Pedroia, 2B
Napoli, 1B
Saltalamacchia, C
Middlebrooks, 3B
Victorino, RF
Bradley, LF
Iglesias, SS
The rest of the series:
Saturday: John Lackey / J.A. Happ
Sunday: Jon Lester / R.A. Dickey

April 4, 2013

G3: Yankees 4, Red Sox 2

Red Sox - 000 000 101 - 2  9  0
Yankees - 021 000 10x - 4  8  0
The Red Sox could do little with Andy Pettitte (8-8-1-1-3, 94) and a ninth-inning rally against Mariano Rivera fell short. The Yankees turned three double plays.

Boston threatened to score in the first inning. Shane Victorino and Mike Napoli singled, and both runners took off on a two-out wild pitch. Victorino rounded third, saw Pettitte was not covering the plate, and dashed home. However, catcher Francisco Cervilli was not far from the plate and he was able to race back and tag Victorino out. The Red Sox would not get another runner past first base until there were two outs in the seventh inning.

By that time, the Yankees led 3-0. Lyle Overbay's two-out, two-run single in the second put the Red Sox behind for the first time this season. Brett Gardner hit a solo home run in the third.

With two outs in the seventh, Will Middlebrooks singled and Jackie Bradley doubled him home. With a chance to tie the game, David Ross flied to deep left-center. Cervelli homered off Clayton Mortensen in the bottom half of the inning to restore New York's three-run lead.

Rivera, in his first appearance of the season, began the top of the ninth by walking Dustin Pedroia. After Napoli flied to right, Jonny Gomes lined a double down the left field line. Boston had the potential tying run at the plate, but Middlebrooks grounded out to first (Pedroia scored) and Bradley was rung up on strikes.

Dempster (5-5-3-4-8, 101) allowed the leadoff batter to reach base in each of the first four inning. He threw a lot of pitches and never really looked in charge.

NESN is missing pitches again. In fact, they almost missed Jose Iglesias's entire at-bat to start the eighth inning.
Example
Ryan Dempster / Andy Pettitte
Ellsbury, CF
Victorino, RF
Pedroia, 2B
Napoli, 1B
Gomes, DH
Middlebrooks, 3B
Bradley, LF
Ross, C
Iglesias, SS

Schadenfreude 154 (A Continuing Series)

John Harper, Daily News:
It's getting more dire by the minute in the Bronx, as the Yankees, who may or may not be considering changing their name to the Walking Wounded, absorbed yet another injury on Wednesday night as well as another ugly loss to the Red Sox.

Who knew that two games into the season, the reality of the situation would make the preseason predictions of doom and gloom look tame.
Mark Feinsand, Daily News:
The Yankees were already hurting when Hiroki Kuroda went down.

In fact they have yet to appear healthy in this already distressing season. ...

The Yankees have dropped two in a row against their rivals to start the season, failing to go out to a lead in either game. In fact, the Bombers haven't had a lead in a game since Game 5 of last October's AL Division Series against the Orioles, as they never led at any time during the four-game ALCS sweep at the hands of the Tigers.
Ken Davidoff, Post:
Life presents us with warnings to ignore and warnings to heed. Storm clouds that will soon dissipate and icebergs that won't be bypassed.

In which column would you put this Yankees season so far?

With their second straight loss to open 2013, 7-4 to the Red Sox at a chilly Yankee Stadium, the Yankees looked about as inept as their most pessimistic observers envisioned. And this one can't be shrugged aside, not with Hiroki Kuroda — arguably their best pitcher of 2012 — exiting in the second inning with a bruised right middle finger. ...

Deep breaths, everyone. Read and repeat: It's two games. Two games. ...

April 3, 2013

G2: Red Sox 7, Yankees 4

Red Sox - 114 001 000 - 7 13  0
Yankees - 000 100 030 - 4  9  1
The Red Sox put this one away early, scoring six runs on ten hits in the first three innings. Five of the nine starters had two hits. Jackie Bradley collected his first major league hit - an RBI single in the third - and scored two runs.

It was a cold night in the Bronx. NESN reported the game time temperature at 41 degrees, with the wind chill at 28.

Kuroda (1.1-4-2-1-1, 41) was out of sync from the beginning of the game. Singles by Daniel Nava, Dustin Pedroia, and Jarrod Saltalamacchia got Boston on the board in the first inning. Shane Victorino began the second with a single, a line drive up the middle that Kuroda tried to catch bare-handed. The ball bruised his right middle finger, and Kuroda would stay in the game for only four more batters. He hit Bradley in the leg with a 1-2 pitch. Jose Iglesias forced Victorino at third. Jacoby Ellsbury walked, loading the bases. Kuroda then plunked Nava, forcing in a run. New York manager Joe Girardi had seen enough at that point.

Cody Eppley came in and got a double play, but he fell apart in the third. Saltalamacchia singled with one out, took second on a wild pitch, and scored on Victorino's two-out single. With Bradley batting, Victorino stole second and came around on the rookie's single up the middle. Iglesias doubled down the left field line and - after a pitching change - he and Bradley scored on Ellsbury's hard single to center.

It's not every day you see a reliever throw 86 pitches, but that's what Adam Warren did for New York, going 5.1 innings. Pedroia's grounder scored the final Boston run in the sixth.

Clay Buchholz (7-6-1-2-4, 94) retired the side in order only twice, but kept the Yankees off the scoreboard, save for a home run by Travis Hafner in the fourth. Vernon Wells hit a three-run bomb off Alfredo Aceves in the eighth.
Example
Clay Buchholz / Hiroki Kuroda
Ellsbury, CF
Nava, DH
Pedroia, 2B
Napoli, 1B
Saltalamacchia, C
Middlebrooks, 3B
Victorino, RF
Bradley, LF
Iglesias, SS
The Red Sox have not begun a season with two wins since 1999.
Example
Note: I think my usual pattern this season - as I work on the 2004 book that will be out next spring - will be to put up a game post early in the morning, so if anyone wants to post a comment or link to any news article, they can. And, of course, the game threads will continue to be here.

April 1, 2013

G1: Red Sox 8, Yankees 2

Red Sox - 040 000 103 - 8 13  0
Yankees - 000 200 000 - 2  6  0
Jacoby Ellsbury and Jose Iglesias each had three hits, Shane Victorino drove in three runs, and Jackie Bradley and Jarrod Saltalamacchia each walked three times, as the Red Sox spent a windy but relaxing Opening Day afternoon in the Bronx.

It was Boston's first Opening Day win in three years, and it snapped New York's streak of winning season openers at home at 11, dating back to 1986.

The highlight of the game was how patient Bradley was at the plate in four of his five appearances, despite whatever nervousness the 22-year-old rookie must have been feeling. Batting for the first time in the second inning, with two runners on base, he fell behind Sabathia 0-2, but battled back, taking a couple of very close pitches to work a seven-pitch walk. He walked in the fifth and walked and scored in the ninth. He also drove in a run with a hard groundout in the seventh. And he made an outstanding catch in deep left, hauling in a line drive by Robinson Cano to end the third inning.

Lester (5-5-2-2-7, 96) had only one rough inning - the fourth, when he loaded the bases on a double by Kevin Youkilis, an eight-pitch walk to Vernon Wells, and a single by Ichiro Suzuki. After Lester struck out Jayson Nix for the second out, it looked as if the man once known as Houdini might wiggle out of the jam, but Francisco Cervelli lined a two-run single to left.

The bullpen was also stellar. Koji Uehara retired the side on only five pitches in the sixth. Andrew Miller walked the first two batters in the seventh but then got two strikeouts, and Andrew Bailey got another whiff for the third out. Junichi Tazawa pitched the eighth and, because he was already warmed up, Joel Hanrahan finished up in the ninth.
Example
Jon Lester / CC Sabathia

Lester had a superb spring: in 24 innings, he allowed only eight hits and four walks, while striking out 20. He gave up two runs for a 0.75 ERA. ... Clay Buchholz was equally impressive: 0.79 in 22.2 innings.

The rest of the series: Buchholz/Kuroda on Wednesday night and Dempster/Pettitte on Thursday night.

Jackie Bradley, Jr. has changed his uniform number from 74 to 44. ... Yook is wearing #36.

The Red Sox's first 13 games are against AL East teams. ... Chat during today's game here.

Lineups:
Red Sox                      Yankees
Jacoby Ellsbury, CF          Brett Gardner, CF
Shane Victorino, RF          Eduardo Nunez, SS
Dustin Pedroia, 2B           Robinson Cano, 2B
Mike Napoli, 1B              Kevin Youkilis, 1B
Will Middlebrooks, 3B        Vernon Wells, LF
Jarrod Saltalamacchia, C     Ben Francisco, DH
Jonny Gomes, DH              Ichiro Suzuki, RF
Jackie Bradley, Jr., LF      Jayson Nix, 3B
Jose Iglesias, SS            Francisco Cervell, C
Let the Jackie Bradley Era begin ...

March 31, 2013

2013 Red Sox W-L Contest Entries

Here are the entries for the 2013 W-L Contest:

                W-L    Lackey ERA    JBJ PA
Laura K       101-61      5.60         90
  
Justin M       99-63      2.81        500
  
Chris S        97-65      4.00        300
Ian R          97-65      4.35        220
  
Jeffrey M      94-68      4.39         29
  
Zack P         92-70      3.32         16
Jared T        92-70      3.89        150
Matt S         92-70      3.95        600
Ray P          92-70      4.18        386
Kristen C      92-70      4.44        333
Ed N           92-70      5.00        209
  
Ignacio C      91-71      4.05        190
Tim L          91-71      4.07        198
Philip H       91-71      4.32        353
  
Lance E        90-72      4.22         40
Rick F         90-72      4.35        435
Matthew K      90-72      4.45         62
  
Matthew B      89-73      3.85        260
Michael K      89-73      4.02         84
David M        89-73      4.13        375
Greg M         89-73      4.29         87
Jere S         89-73      4.44        444
Jeff L         89-73      4.85        125
  
Leigh B        88-74      3.48        175
John Q         88-74      3.65         65
Tom D          88-74      3.85        420
Matt K         88-74      4.78        234
  
Brian B        87-75      3.96        475
Jacob L        87-75      3.99        555
Lewis S        87-75      4.15        466
Mike K         87-75      4.17          -
Moshe K        87-75      4.23        287
Allan W        87-75      4.25        300
Jeff F         87-75      4.95         94
  
John G         86-76      3.75        500
Bradley R      86-76      3.75        177
James C        86-76      3.96        194
Timothy C      86-76      4.13        240
Andrew B       86-76      4.13         19
Alan C         86-76      4.44         66
Benjamin B     86-76      4.55        518
Kathryn L      86-76      5.89        172
  
Jeff A         85-77      4.00        300
Nick R         85-77      4.02        332
  
Rich G         84-78      3.77         78
Jeff R         84-78      4.12         52
  
Ernie P        83-79      4.13        175
Ben T          83-79      4.54        520
Jason H        83-79      4.76        153
Jess M         83-79      4.89        267
  
David F        82-80      4.18        119
Franco B       82-80      4.41        441
Peter L        82-80      4.95        161
  
Amy C          81-81      5.40        455
  
Timothy W      78-84      5.57        127

Jeff C         76-86      4.33        600

My picks are in red: "87 wins. WC. ... Then they get hot for 3 weeks."

If your entry is missing or has a typo, re-send your original email to me.

Right now, the prize is a copy of Ron Kaplan's "501 Baseball Books Fans Must Read Before They Die" (University of Nebraska Press), which I reviewed here. There might be a better prize announced this summer.

***

Dr. Jeff created some graphs to show the entries:



Jackie Bradley Makes the Cut, Opening Day Roster Is Set

It's official.

Jackie Bradley, Jr., the top story of spring training with an electrifying .419/.507/.613 batting line, has been placed on the 25-man roster and will make his major league debut on Opening Day tomorrow at Yankee Stadium III.

Mike Andrews of Sox Prospects recently took a look at Boston's outfield prospects and had this to say about Bradley, who turns 23 on April 19:
"Bradley, 22, has been a tour de force this spring, and the hype would lead you believe that he's a slam dunk to be enshrined in Cooperstown. While that may not be the case, Bradley is an outstanding prospect that profiles as a long-term everyday center fielder for a first division club, and possibly an occasional All-Star. On offense, he has an advanced approach, plus bat speed, a smooth swing plane, slightly below-average power, and slightly above-average speed. He still has some areas to develop, but at this stage he looks like a player who could hit .290 with 12-15 home runs and 15 stolen bases per year. He's also quite polished defensively, projecting as a plus-to-elite center fielder. Bradley has strong instincts, makes excellent jumps, has a plus arm, and above-average range. Ultimately, he should be a permanent fixture in the Red Sox outfield over the long-haul, even if he bounces back-and-forth between Boston and Pawtucket in 2013."
The Opening Day roster:

Catchers: Jarrod Saltalamacchia, David Ross

Infielders: Mike Napoli, Dustin Pedroia, Jose Iglesias, Will Middlebrooks, Pedro Ciriaco

Outfielders: Jackie Bradley Jr., Jacoby Ellsbury, Shane Victorino, Jonny Gomes, Daniel Nava, Mike Carp

Starting Pitchers: Jon Lester, Clay Buchholz, Ryan Dempster, Felix Doubront, John Lackey

Relievers: Joel Hanrahan, Andrew Bailey, Koji Uehara, Junichi Tazawa, Alfredo Aceves, Andrew Miller, Clayton Mortensen
Example
More good news: GM Ben Cherington says in terms of total talent in the minor leagues, the Red Sox farm system is "as deep as it's been since I've been involved, going back to 2002, 2003 when I first got started in player development".

Alex Speier's "Jacoby Ellsbury And The Gap Between Perception and Reality" examines how the media's portrayal of Ellsbury as a soft player stands up to the truth demonstrated throughout his career.

Gordon Edes offers some tidbits from the 2013 Red Sox media guide including this one: "With John Farrell as manager in 2011, the Blue Jays were undefeated in 11 extra-inning games at home. The Jays were the first team since 1901 to win at least 10 extra-inning games at home without a loss."

2013 Predictions: ESPN, MLB

ESPN's 43 prognosticators have posted their predictions (divisions and awards) for the 2013 season.

AL East
Blue Jays     20
Rays          20
Orioles        2
Yankees        1
Red Sox        0
Wild Cards
Rangers       24
Rays          13
Blue Jays     12
A's           11
Angels        10
Yankees        5
Red Sox        4
Orioles        4
Royals         2
Cleveland      1
AL Pennant
Tigers        27
Rays           7
Angels         5
Blue Jays      4
NL Pennant
Nationals     29
Reds           6
Dodgers        4
Atlanta        4
World Series
Tigers        17
Nationals     16
Angels         3
Reds           3
Rays           2
Blue Jays      1
Dodgers        1
AL MVP
Trout         14
Cabrera        9
Cano           5
Longoria       4
Bautista       4
Pujols         3
Fielder        2
Beltre         1
Cespedes       1
AL Cy Young Award
Verlander     23
Price          5
Darvish        5
Weaver         4
Hernandez      3
Sale           1
Moore          1
Johnson        1
AL Rookie of the Year
Wil Myers           12
Jurickson Profar    11
Jackie Bradley, Jr.  5
Aaron Hicks          4
Bruce Rondon         3
Leonys Martin        3
Allen Webster        1
Chris Archer         1
Kevin Gausman        1
Trevor Bauer         1
Dylan Bundy          1
Looking at ESPN's AL East preview, there is some good news and some bad news. The good news is that the Yankees are picked to finish fourth. The bad news? Boston is fifth.
93 wins if ... New manager John Farrell mends clubhouse relations, a revitalized Jon Lester and a revamped pen (Joel Hanrahan and Koji Uehara averaged 10-plus K/9 in 2012) form the pitching core, and Will Middlebrooks' bat provides pop.

79 wins if ... The changes aren't enough, Mike Napoli's injury woes continue, Shane Victorino's .245 BA in L.A. doesn't improve, and Ryan Dempster doesn't enjoy the AL East.

Unpredictability score -- 1.49: Boston did a mini-rebuilding job in hopes of competing again in 2013, but pitching was the big problem. If Lester and Clay Buchholz don't return to form at the top of the rotation, the winter additions will have been for naught.
Here are the projected East standings using ESPN's Dan Szymborski's "ZiPS projection system, in which seasons are simulated a million times using a Monte Carlo method":
Example
Here are what MLB's 20 staff members predict for the season:

AL East
Rays          10
Blue Jays      6
Orioles        3
Red Sox        1
Yankees        0
Wild Cards
Rangers       10
Blue Jays      7
Rays           4
A's            4
Angels         3
Yankees        3
Red Sox        2
White Sox      2
Orioles        2
Royals         2
Cleveland      1
AL Pennant
Tigers        13
Rays           4
Angels         3
World Series
Nationals      9
Tigers         5
Angels         3
Rays           1
Dodgers        1
Reds           1
Example
The New York Post's writers have the Red Sox and Yankees finishing:
Red Sox: 5th, 4th, 5th, 5th, 5th, 5th, 5th
Yankees: 3rd, 5th, 4th, 4th, 3rd, 3rd, 3rd
The Providence Journal's three baseball writers' picks:
Red Sox: 3rd, 3rd, 5th
Yankees: 4th, 4th, 2nd
Also: Jayson Stark asked "18 executives and scouts to nominate their baseball Elite Eight -- the eight teams with the best shot to win this year's World Series":
Fifteen different teams got votes. ... You know this is shaping up to be an all-time crazy season when the Red Sox get zero votes and the Yankees only get one. I remind you we've never had a season in the wild-card era where both of those teams missed the postseason. Obviously, people across the sport now believe that's more than just possible. It's likely.

March 30, 2013

Book Review: "501 Baseball Books Fans Must Read Before They Die" By Ron Kaplan

I am not much of a fan of "Things To Do Before Before You Die" lists or books, but I do like the opportunity to find out about some overlooked baseball books. And even the most well-read fan will find plenty of future reading material in Ron Kaplan's first book, "501 Baseball Books Fans Must Read Before They Die" (University of Nebraska Press; PDF excerpt here).

Kaplan does not claim that these are the best 501 baseball books: "That's too subjective." It's also a bit of a cop-out. I'm assuming that Kaplan's Top 25 Baseball Books are mentioned here, so why not also include a list of books that every well-rounded baseball library should have?

Actually, Kaplan may have secretly included such a list. For some entries, he mentions other books by the same author or mentions other categories under which the book could be placed. One category - "Classic" - is not among the book's fifteen categories. Perhaps an early draft of this book had a Classics section.

Kaplan's various categories include Analysis, Business, Fiction, International, Minor Leagues, For Young Readers, and the catch-all category of Pop Culture. He writes 3-4 short paragraphs about each book - some more famous titles receive an entire page - describing its contents and offering a critical eye towards its contents. He doesn't praise every book he has included; he finds fault, for example, with some of the author's opinions on assimilation in a biography of Chief Bender.

There is some blurring of the lines between categories. Baseball Prospectus' Baseball Between The Numbers is included in Statistics, but it could just as easily fall under "Analysis". (I like that Bill James's books can be found under Analysis, History, and Reference but not Statistics.) And then there are books that seem to be in the wrong section: Should Bob Costas's Fair Game (which Kaplan actually describes as "mostly a rant") belong in Analysis?

Kaplan chooses from a century of fiction, from Ring Lardner to Chad Harbach (whose The Art Of Fielding I reviewed here). Kaplan includes the obvious choices - Philip Roth, Bernard Malamud, Robert Coover, Mark Harris - but also includes a few books that are new to me and seem worth checking out, including Michael Bishop's Brittle Innings and Lane Strauss's Extra Innings: A Story For The Aged (about a game between Detroit and Cleveland that has been going on since 1947!).

Kaplan also reminded me to pull two unread books off my shelves: Darryl Brock's If I Never Get Back (a man is transported back to 1869, when the Reds became baseball's first professional team) and Thomas Dyja's Play For A Kingdom (set during the US Civil War). And he shines a light on an overlooked gem in my collection: Baseball Diamonds: Tales, Traces, Visions, And Voodoo From A Native American Rite, a collection of fiction, essays, poems edited by Kevin Kerrane and Richard Grossinger.

The For Younger Readers section offers books from a wide range of cultures, including the American South, Latin America, and Japan. ... In Analysis, Kaplan includes the Bill James collection, This Time Let's Not Eat The Bones, which is out of print, but well worth tracking down. It includes stuff from his Abstracts, but also pieces he published in Esquire magazine. ... In Autobiographies, he includes Jim Bouton's legendary Ball Four, but he also includes two other bios that deserve a wider audience: Jim Brosnan's The Long Season and Pat Jordan's The False Spring. (Jordan's book has been on my mental to-read list for years.)

Female authors seem under-represented in Kaplan's collection, but that may simply be because a small percentage of published baseball books are written by women. Kaplan mentions Alison Gordon's Foul Balls, about the hostility she faced as a reporter in the early 1980s, Jane Leavy's The Last Boy (Mickey Mantle), and Cait Murphy's Crazy '08.

Kaplan also cites two books that attempt to explain the game to women, and he clearly understands the problems with such books: "I think I would almost be insulted by a book that would try to explain the game based on my demographic (unless I was a child, perhaps). On the other hand, I'm all for anything that brings more fans to the baseball table." However, it's questionable whether a light-hearted book that includes what Kaplan describes as "a few sections that seem to appeal mostly to pre-feminist women" (shopping sprees and calorie counting at the ball park) will create any long-time or serious fans.

Even in a list of 500+ books, readers will note some surprising omissions. I have two: Field of Schemes: How The Great Stadium Swindle Turns Public Money Into Private Profit, by Joanna Cagan and Neil deMause, belongs in the Business chapter, and former professional umpire Pamela Postema's You've Got To Have Balls To Make It In This League should have been among the Umpiring/Rules selections. (Note: Postema is mentioned (though her book is not) in the description of Breaking Into Baseball: Women And The National Pastime, by Jean Hastings Ardell.) I was also surprised to find only four books listed under Minor Leagues.

Does Kaplan expect us to read all of the books he mentions? If you sat down and read one book every two weeks, you'd need close to 20 years to get through the list. (And at the end, there would be a reasonably short list of newer books published during those two decades!) Instead of considering Kaplan's list as a job, consider it a generous, well-researched, and entertaining list of suggestions of what to read next.

March 29, 2013

AL East Previews: Sports On Earth, MLB, SI

Jonathan Bernhardt, Sports On Earth:
The American League East, once the class of baseball, has faded a bit over the last two years, primarily due to the remarkable self-inflicted wounds suffered by first the Boston Red Sox, then the New York Yankees. Couple that with a somewhat shocking face-lift in Toronto this offseason and the consistent excellence of the Tampa Bay Rays organization, along with the bizarre happenings in Baltimore last year, and the East is more wide open than it's ever been. ...

Due to a combination of bizarre, forced austerity (see: the catcher situation) and injury (see: Alex Rodriguez, Derek Jeter, Mark Teixeira, Curtis Granderson…) the Yankees will start the season with the worst lineup in the division ... and now Yankees ownership is freaking out and insisting on things like trading for Vernon Wells ...

The Red Sox are in the hangover period after a hilarious, self-destructive bender, and it'll show this year. They'll finish better than they did in 2012, and they probably won't be last place -- but unless the Yankees completely collapse they won't be a realistic candidate for third, and their path to the postseason involves a lot of career years and maybe one of the Wild Card teams forfeiting the season. ...

The [rotation's] success or failure, honestly, is going rest on two men, Jon Lester and Clay Buchholz, pitching like the last two years never happened. If they pitch like it's 2010 all over again -- and about ten other things break right -- then Boston's got an outside shot at a Wild Card.
Richard Justice, MLB:
Welcome to the American League East, where there's a legitimate case to be made for all five teams. ...

The Red Sox changed more than faces, although they did change faces, adding Ryan Dempster, Jonny Gomes, Shane Victorino, David Ross, Mike Napoli and Joel Hanrahan. If Jon Lester, Clay Buchholz and John Lackey have solid seasons, the Red Sox are confident they'll be poised for a September run.

The Red Sox are a completely different team, with a better clubhouse and a better manager. If Lackey and Lester have big seasons and David Ortiz stays healthy, Boston is good enough to make the postseason.
It looks like Justice picks the division: Jays, Rays, Red Sox/Orioles, Yankees.

Ben Reiter, Sports Illustrated:
If there was anything positive to take away from last season for now second-year general manager Ben Cherington, it was that it once and for all showed everyone that his club needed to go in a new direction, after a major roster overhaul which was helped by the Dodgers, who traded for the mammoth contracts of Josh Beckett, Carl Crawford and Adrian Gonzalez late last August.

"It really forced us, more than we would normally anyway, to take a very hard look at ourselves, to be accountable for the decisions that had led us to that point, and to take a very hard look at what we needed to do better to put the team back in a position to be successful over a sustained period," says Cherington. ...

It is somewhat hard to imagine that in a stacked AL East the Red Sox will add the 20 to 25 wins they will need to reach the playoffs. ...

A return to the playoffs wouldn't be entirely shocking, but more likely is that 2013 will be a season for the Red Sox to firmly establish that they are back on the right long-term track, even if they end up home for their fourth straight October.
SI's prediction for the East (none of their writers pick the Red Sox for anything, but four out of the seven writers point to Shane Victoronio as the biggest free-agent flop):
Rays       92-70
Blue Jays  91-71
Yankees    82-80
Orioles    82-80
Red Sox    77-85
And ...

Buster Olney, ESPN: Orioles, Rays, Red Sox, Blue Jays, Yankees.

March 27, 2013

Lester Gets Opening Day Start

It was probably the worst kept secret in camp. Manager John Farrell announced today that Jon Lester will start on Opening Day next Monday afternoon against CC Sabathia and the New York Yankees. Lester gets his final tune-up before the season begins today against the Marlins.

Clay Buchholz and Ryan Dempster will start the other two games in the Bronx. After that, it's on to Toronto, where Felix Doubront and John Lackey will pitch the first two games against the Blue Jays.

Ryan Lavarnway was optioned to Pawtucket. ... Shane Victorino had an MRI on his sore right wrist. ... Lyle Overbay was released.

And ... drum roll ... Tim McCarver will retire from the baseball booth after this season.

March 26, 2013

SB Nation: Will This Be The First Time In 20 Years Both The Red Sox And Yankees Miss The Playoffs?

Rob Neyer and Grant Bisbee, the two-headed monster that heads SBNation's main baseball page, take a few minutes to discuss the state of the AL East. Which is great, except that they seem to have forgotten to say anything about the Red Sox.

Anyway, here are their picks - after they stopped chuckling about New York trading for Vernon Wells - for what things will look like on October 1:
Neyer       Brisbee
Jays        Jays
Rays        Yankees
Red Sox     Rays
Orioles     Red Sox
Yankees     Orioles
Note: Neyer did write earlier in the roundtable that "I think the Yankees will finish third and the Red Sox fourth, with both indeed MIA in October", but he seems to have changed his mind about where the two teams will finish by the end of the discussion.

March 25, 2013

Schadenfreude 153 (A Continuing Series)

I'm not sure which news item causes more schadenfreude: the Yankees losing Derek Jeter to begin the season or the team adding Vernon Wells to its roster.




Example
Opening Day against the Jeter-less (and Granderson-less, Teixeira-less, A-Rod-less) Yankees is one week away. If you would like to join the game threads, the board is here.

You can also sponsor a month of ad-free game-threading for $7. There is no pressure, however, and this is not a plea for funds. The board will have no ads regardless. I'll apply any and all donations towards the various months of the season, meaning that none of the $ will line my empty pockets.

If you have not entered the W-L contest, click here. I hope to offer a super-duper 2004-related prize, but if that doesn't work out, the prize will be a copy of Ron Kaplan's "501 Baseball Books Fans Must Read Before They Die" (University of Nebraska Press), which I will be reviewing soon.

March 24, 2013

Farrell: Bradley "Could Be" Ready For Majors Now

John Farrell said today that Jackie Bradley Jr. "could be" ready to play in the major leagues right now. Ben Cherington says "it's hard to ignore what he's done this spring".

And he keeps doing it. On Sunday afternoon, Bradley (who turns 23 on April 19) started in left field for the first time since high school. Facing Philadelphia left-hander Cliff Lee in his first at-bat, Bradley socked a three-run homer. Bradley began the day hitting .429/.525/.571; impressively, he has struck out only six times in 59 plate appearances this spring.

The obvious decision for the Boston front office is to have Bradley begin the season in Pawtucket and stay there for at least 12 days, allowing the Red Sox to gain an additional year of control over Bradley, making him eligible for free agency at the end of the 2019 season. It's foolish to forfeit a year of Bradley in his prime for whatever value he can give the team in the first nine games of this season. Another possibility is for the Red Sox to have Bradley begin the season in Boston, but option him back to Pawtucket at some point(s) during the year for a total of 20 days. That would also delay his free agency until after 2019.

With David Ortiz likely beginning the year on the disabled list, there could be an opening for Bradley in left field if Jonny Gomes becomes the principal DH in Ortiz's absence. (Daniel Nava is another LF option.) How long Ortiz is expected to be out is also a factor in when Bradley joins the Red Sox.

Bradley needs regular at-bats wherever he plays, though. Keeping him on the Boston bench for spot starts or in a platoon situation makes little sense. If Cherington et al. believe Bradley is ready for the big time, then tell him to enjoy two weeks prep-time in Pawtucket, have the Red Sox somehow muddle through their games against the Yankees, Blue Jays, and Orioles, and then call Bradley up on April 12. It's a Friday night, and the Red Sox are hosting the Rays. A perfect evening for a debut.

March 20, 2013

Remy: "I Just Don’t Mail Games In"

NESN's Jerry Remy addressed WEEI's Kirk Minihane's criticisms of Remy's work in the booth:
You wrote something like I mail my games in, and I didn't take well to that ... I started this job with no experience. I've been through cancer. I've been through depression a couple of times. I just don't mail games in. That's kind of like challenging my work ethic. ... Being criticized for being a bad analyst, that's fair game, but to criticize somebody's work ethic, I found that very disappointing because I haven't mailed a day in in my life ...
As I wrote last August, both Remy and Don Orsillo have become parodies of themselves. Remy has been a solid analyst in the past, but it appears as though he no longer has any desire to do so. He has boasted at how little preparation he does before games and his on-air analysis shows that those boasts were not meant as self-deprication. For at least the last two seasons, Remy has done little more than echo Orsillo's play-by-play calls, simply describing what viewers are seeing on replay. (I gave several examples of this in the above link.) It adds absolutely nothing to the broadcast.

The issues of cancer and depression are completely irrelevant. What matters is whether Remy is willing to do his job - and I have seen little evidence in recent years of that. We'll find out on April 1 if his work ethic has changed.

March 17, 2013

Lester Continues Sharp Spring With Six Perfect Innings

Jon Lester - dressed in Boston's now-traditional St. Patrick's Day green and white jersey - retired all 18 Tampa Bay hitters he faced on Sunday afternoon. He threw 79 pitches and struck out six Rays.

For the spring, Lester has allowed only two runs in 20 innings of work (0.90 ERA). He is in line to open the regular season on Monday, April 1 - two weeks from tomorrow - at Yankee Stadium, but manager John Farrell has not made an official announcement.

Boston pitchers came within two outs of throwing a combined perfect game. Jonny Gomes went 3-for-3 and collected four RBI in the Red Sox's 5-1 win. Will Middlebrooks had two doubles and scored two runs.

Stephen Drew is still suffering some side effects of his concussion, and there is the possibility that he may not be ready for Opening Day. Drew was struck on the helmet by a pitched ball on March 7. Drew's possible absence raises a few questions about who will start at shortstop (Jose Iglesias?) and - with David Ortiz likely beginning the season on the disabled list - who might be on the Opening Day roster (Jackie Bradley, Jr.?).

Clay Buchholz, who has not allowed a run in three spring starts (8.1 innings), faces the Pirates tomorrow. ... Franklin Morales has a slight bulge in one of the discs in his lower back. Farrell said there is "no target date for his return". ... Pitchers Allen Webster and Rubby De La Rosa were optioned to Pawtucket on Friday.

March 14, 2013

Dave Roberts's Spikes May Be (Finally) On Their Way To Cooperstown

After the Red Sox won the 2004 World Series, various items were donated to the National Baseball Hall of Fame: jerseys belonging to David Ortiz and Derek Lowe, the caps of Johnny Damon and Pedro Martinez, spikes worn by Curt Schilling and Keith Foulke, and Orlando Cabrera's glove.

However, nothing belonging to Dave Roberts was asked for or donated.

Gwen Knapp (Sports on Earth) reports that the spikes Roberts wore when he pinch-ran in Games 4 and 5 of the ALCS against the Yankees - and stole perhaps the most famous base in baseball history - may be on their way to Cooperstown.
The steal does not lack for recognition. It never will. Padres prospects want to hear Roberts relive the moment that unraveled Rivera. When Joe Torre saw him years later, before a Dodgers-Giants game, they winked at each other and Torre wagged his index finger at the bandit who cost him a seventh Yankees pennant. "He said 'I remember you,'" Roberts recalled with a little laugh.

The steal dimmed the lights around many other great moments in that ALCS, and in the World Series sweep of St. Louis. Even Roberts' theatrics on the bases in Game 5, which should ride shotgun to the Game 4 steal, are largely forgotten. Down a run in the eighth inning, with elimination hovering again, Roberts came in for Millar one more time. Tom "Flash" Gordon, on the mound for the Yankees, could not focus on Trot Nixon, the batter. ...

"Flash's son, Dee, came up to me a few springs ago, and told me: 'Man I never saw my dad as nervous as he was when you were on first base in that Game 5,'" Roberts said.