Jeff Polman said...A big thanks to James, who emailed me the following this morning:
Hate to say it, but there's the difference between the Sox and the Twisted Swastikas (MFY). The Yankees would have scored at least five runs in that inning.
... the Yankees haven't scored 5 runs in 4 of their last 6 games.
Jeff Polman said...
I watch every game and it seems like Boston is frequently leaving people on and hitting into DPs.
I think that has more to do with the fact that they get a ton of guys on base more than anything.
There's no evidence that the Sox leave more men on base than any other team - except maybe the teams that don't get any men on base in the first place.
the game and pbp logs for many seasons are available. if someone wants to go check and see if historically, the mfy score more baserunners and have a smaller LOB % than the sox, be my guest. i'd honestly love to see some data.
I was looking over [last night's] gamethread today, and I noticed the mini-argument over the Yanks performance with runners on base vs. the Sox performance with runners on. It drives me as crazy as it does you, so I checked some baseball ref splits:It's far from the final word in this discussion --- SSS, and all that -- but any information is better than relying solely on our memories. And as L mentioned, if we are watching all of the Red Sox games, then we are watching almost nothing of what the Yankees are doing.
Splits with runners onYanks .272/.360/.448 tOPS+ 95So we're hitting pretty much just as well as they are. More importantly, since they're a better hitting team than we are in general (although a lot of that's probably the park, they don't have good park translations for Yankee Stadium, yet), they're hitting 5% worse than they do in general, while we're hitting 3% better with runners on that we do in general.
Bosox .267/.359/.442 tOPS+ 103
Even more interesting:
Splits with runners in scoring positionYanks .259/.361/.412 tOPS+ 88We're hitting appreciably better than they are with runners in scoring position! They're 12% worse with RISP than in general, and we're 4% better.
Bosox .270/.377/.426 tOPS+ 104
Splits with bases loadedYanks: .248/.287/.349 tOPS+ 54 (!)So we've been no great shakes there, but they've been absolutely terrible.
Bosox: .284/.331/.388 tOPS+ 82
RISP and 2 outsYanks: .237/.364/.386 tOPS+ 83Again, we're much, much better.
Bosox: .277/.392/.443 tOPS+ 112
Late & CloseYanks: .316/.404/.555 tOPS+ 130So we're getting absolutely killed there. I'm not too worried about this, though; a quick look shows that we weren't good in this category in '04 or '07, either.
Bosox: .229/.313/.370 tOPS+ 73