TSN/STATS Projections. SoSHer poster CSteinhardt lists TSN/Stats's 2004 Scouting Notebook projections for the Red Sox pitching staff:

           GM    W  L   ERA   IP  BB   K    BR/9

Pedro      29   19  3  1.98  193  48  220    8.5

Schilling  31   19  6  2.81  221  39  267    9.3

Lowe       33   16  9  3.63  209  74  117   11.7 

Wakefield  38   14  7  3.49  189  66  157   10.9  (27 starts)

Kim        29   13  5  3.13  144  45  125   10.5  (26 starts)

Foulke     70    4  2  2.36   84  19   73    8.9 

Timlin     72    7  3  2.97   88  11   56    8.7 

Williamson 65    6  2  3.14   66  35   76   11.7 

Mendoza    45    4  3  4.08   75  17   48   11.9  (3 starts)

Embree     66    5  3  3.79   57  18   62   11.5

He adds: "[A]cross the board their projections look for the most part reasonable, but then when I look specifically at Boston pitching, either they're overly optimistic or we're going to have one hell of a pitching staff. 81-30 from the starters ... [R]emember that these predictions are made in isolation and kinda ignore roles. They also have a projection for Burkett and Suppan, for example, both listed as Boston (as are Foulke, Schilling)."

This projection seems highly unlikely, but I'm posting it for -- as they say in the fortune-telling commercials -- for entertainment purposes only. Adding the bullpen numbers to the starters, TSN sees Boston with a 107-43 record -- with 12 games up in the air. Could the Red Sox win 110+ games? If everything broke right for them all summer long, I guess so. ... For now, I'll be happy with 100 wins, knowing that New York's staff will need some lucky breaks of its own to hang in there for the East title.

I've got 2 Sam Adams in my fridge. MLB Radio has the game. SoSH has the game thread (Royal Rooters should have one too). The Yankees lost this afternoon, 5-1. ... Play Ball!