October 13, 2024

NLCS: Dodgers / Mets
ALCS: Guardians / Yankees

Baseball Gods . . . if you're listening . . . please arrange a Dodgers/Guardians World Series.

MLB.com offers its picks, from 45 "experts":

NLCS: Mets 26, Dodgers 19

Mets in 5: 5 votes
Mets in 6: 17 votes
Mets in 7: 4 votes

Dodgers in 5: 1 vote
Dodgers in 6: 14 votes
Dodgers in 7: 4 votes

ALCS: Yankees 33, Guardians 12

Yankees in 5: 15 votes
Yankees in 6: 11 votes
Yankees in 7: 7 votes

Guardians in 5: 1 vote
Guardians in 6: 3 votes
Guardians in 7: 8 votes

Picks from ESPN:

NLCS: Dodgers 8, Mets 6

Dodgers in 5: 2 votes
Dodgers in 6: 4 votes
Dodgers in 7: 2 votes

Mets in 6: 2 votes
Mets in 7: 4 votes

ALCS: Yankees 12, Guardians 1 

Yankees in 5: 1 vote
Yankees in 6: 6 votes
Yankees in 7: 5 votes

Guardians in 7: 1 vote*
*: For the record, David Schoenfield picked the Spiders.

I don't know why ESPN has 14 NLCS votes but only 13 ALCS votes.

According to Will Leitch's ranking, my World Series wish is (alas) the least "fascinating", after Dodgers/Yankees (11 previous WS battles), Mets/Yankees, and Guardians/Mets.

A few Shohei Ohtani late-season factoids, courtesy of OptaSTATS:
Since RBI became official in 1920, only one MLB player has had, over the course of his entire career (same game or not), a game with 10+ RBI, a game with 6+ hits, a game with 5+ XBH, a game with 3+ HR, a game with 2+ SB. That one player is Shohei Ohtani. He did all of it today [September 29].

Last 4 games for the @Dodgers' Shohei Ohtani [September 19-22]:
14 hits, 13 RBI, 6 SB, 5 HR
If every MLB player since 1920 (when RBI became an official stat) took the best 4-game span of his career in each category separately and put them together, still no one could match that stat line.

Shohei Ohtani of the @Dodgers ha[d] 10 home runs and 16 stolen bases in September after having 12 homers and 15 stolen bases in August. All other players in MLB history have had one month with at least 10 HR & 14 SB  Carlos Beltran in August 2004.

Shohei Ohtani finished the 2024 regular season in the top 5 in MLB in runs (1st), hits (4th), home runs (2nd), RBI (2nd), walks (4th) & stolen bases (2nd). No one else has ever finished a season in the top 5 in MLB in all of those categories (since RBI became official in 1920).

Take any single league (AL, NL, etc.) in any season in the past. Take any player's HR total, any player's SB total & any player's TB total from that league that season. You still could not build a stat line to match what Shohei Ohtani did this year (54 HR, 59 SB, 411 TB).
Also: Ohtani finished second in MLB in both home runs (Judge, 58) and stolen bases (Elly De La Cruz, 67). The only other players to finish in the top-2 in MLB in both categories: 1908 Honus Wagner and 1909 Ty Cobb.

October 9, 2024

RIP Luis Tiant (1940-2024)


Luis Tiant, the Cuban-born pitcher, and beloved cigar-chomping Red Sox personality, whose unique windup was imitated by every New England kid with a whiffle ball in the late 1970s, died yesterday. He was 83.

El Tiante's delivery was described as "begin[ning] with an exaggerated mid-windup pivot, during which he turns his back on the batter and seems to examine the infield directly behind the mound for signs of crab grass", by Roger Angell of The New Yorker. With men on base, "his stretch consists of a succession of minute downward waggles and pauses of the glove, and a menacing sidewise, slit-eyed, Valentino-like gaze over his shoulder at the base runner."

John Powers, Boston Globe:

Luis Tiant, a Cuban emigré whose pitching heroics spurred the Red Sox to the 1975 World Series and made him the city's first Latino sports superstar, died Tuesday at his home in Maine.  He was 83.

"El Tiante," as he was known by fans who relished his bewildering swivel-hitch-nod-and-fire delivery, his outsize personality, and his bravura performances under pressure, played for six major league teams during his 19-year career from 1964-82.

But his glory days were his eight seasons in Boston, where he won 122 games and was the centerpiece of several pennant races with a bewitching style that Globe writer Peter Gammons called his "marionette abracadabra." . . .

Mr. Tiant's chiropractic motion — "wheeling and rotating on the mound like a figure in a Bavarian clock tower," observed New Yorker writer Roger Angell — baffled batters who had no idea when and where the ball would be coming at them. . . .

[Tiant was a free agent after going 1-7 in 1971 and] the Red Sox picked him up to bridge a gap in their rotation . . .

"I never gave up," he said. "I kept telling myself as long as I could get the ball to home plate, I was going to stay in baseball." . . .

Mr. Tiant, who sported a desperado mustache and smoked cigars in the clubhouse shower and whirlpool, was a beloved teammate with a knack for amusing his colleagues, to whom he assigned nicknames such as "Polaco" (Carl Yastrzemski), "Frankenstein" (Carlton Fisk), and "Pinocchio" (Rico Petrocelli).

"Luis knew exactly when to turn a bus ride into something out of 'Saturday Night Live,' " said former Red Sox right fielder Dwight Evans.

But on the mound, Mr. Tiant was a relentless and riveting competitor whose virtuoso renditions fellow Red Sox pitcher Bill Lee likened to a symphony: "Hard at the start, a little sweet, slow stuff in the middle, and then the big explosion at the end." . . .

"We haven't got anybody in the National League like that," observed Reds captain Pete Rose [during the 1975 World Series]. "Nobody who throws those high-spinning curveballs that take two minutes to come down."

Though Mr. Tiant won 21 games for a third-place club in 1976 and another 25 during the two subsequent seasons — including a shutout of the Toronto Blue Jays that guaranteed the Red Sox  a divisional  playoff with the New York Yankees in 1978 — management offered him only a one-year contract for 1979, when he would be 38.

"They never took me seriously in their negotiations," said Mr. Tiant. "They treated me like some old fool."

So Mr. Tiant decamped as a free agent to the Yankees . . . "When they let Luis Tiant go to New York, they tore out our heart and soul," said Yastrzemski.

[Tiant finished his career with the Pirates and Angels.] "It's always nice to have someone on the club uglier than yourself," joked Angels teammate Fred Lynn, who'd played with Mr. Tiant in Boston. . . .

In 2001, he signed on with the Red Sox as pitching coach for their Lowell affiliate and as a special assignment adviser. "When I'm in Boston, I always feel like I'm home," said Mr. Tiant. "I almost cry, I feel so good."

Bruce Weber, New York Times:

Luis Tiant, a Cuban-born right-hander who was one of baseball’s most entertaining and charismatic pitchers, and whose personal story was among the game’s most poignant . . . won 229 games over 19 big-league seasons, playing for teams in six cities, notably Cleveland and Boston, where he led the Red Sox to a World Series and became one of the most beloved players in the team's storied history.

In a career that necessitated a long separation from his family and from Cuba, his homeland, and that was bifurcated by a serious shoulder injury, Tiant won 20 or more games four times and threw 187 complete games (more than Don Sutton, Don Drysdale, Lefty Gomez or Dizzy Dean) and 49 shutouts (more than Roger Clemens, Whitey Ford, Catfish Hunter, Sandy Koufax or Bob Feller).

But beyond his achievements, he was one of the game's memorable showmen, distinctive in almost every way — from his Fu Manchu mustache, barrel-shaped torso and ever-present mammoth cigar (ever-present, that is, except on the field, including in the locker room shower) to his dizzying repertoire of breaking balls and delivery angles, as well as perhaps the most elastic, twisty-turny windup in history. . . .

Tiant debuted with Cleveland in 1964. Six seasons later, a shoulder injury nearly ended his career, but he found a second life after landing in Boston before the 1972 season.

No longer the consistent flamethrower he was before his injury, he now deployed a full quiver of windup and delivery tricks and velocity variations, baffling hitters with hard sliders and fastballs mixed with tantalizing, off-speed stuff — looping curves, palm balls and knuckle balls. . . .

Tiant thrived in relief and in spot starts, and by late August he was again in the starting rotation and beginning a remarkable comeback. In a string of 10 starts during a tight pennant race — the Sox finished second to Detroit — he was 9-1 with six shutouts, allowing less than one earned run every nine innings, clearly the team's most valuable player.

In spite of being mostly a reliever for more than half the season, he won 15 games and lost only six, and his earned run average of 1.91 was the best in the American League. He was voted Comeback Player of the Year, and the Boston fans had found a new hero. . . .

Over the next six years, Tiant won 106 games for the Red Sox, recording at least 20 wins in each of three seasons. In 1975, he helped the Red Sox to the American League pennant, winning 18 games during the regular season and Game 1 of the American League Championship Series against the Oakland A’s, a complete game in Boston in which he gave up only an unearned run.

"He is a joy to watch, this swarthy, ample gentleman of 34 going on 44," the sports columnist Red Smith wrote in The New York Times after the game. "Black-bearded and sinister, he looks like Pancho Villa after a tough week of looting and burning. He works without waste of time or motion, glowering briefly into the sun to take the catcher's sign, pivoting on one leg to face center field, then wheeling back to deliver over the top. He is a master of every legal pitch and he never throws two consecutive pitches at the same speed."

In the 1975 World Series, one of the greatest in baseball history, which the Cincinnati Reds won in seven games, Tiant pitched a shutout in Game 1 and a complete game 5-4 victory in Game 4, in which he threw an astonishing 163 pitches and held on to a one-run lead for five innings.

He started again in the memorable Game 6, pitching seven innings in what turned out to be a 12-inning 7-6 Red Sox win that ended with a dramatic Carlton Fisk home run.

I remember watching Game 1 of the 1975 World Series, five days before my 12th birthday. Boston won 6-0, scoring all their runs in the bottom of the seventh. Tiant began the rally by smacking a high curve into left  his first hit since 1972. He slid hard into second, beating a low force attempt, and eventually scored, before setting down the next six Reds to finish the shutout.

The never-dull Bill Lee shared a few Looie stories with some Canadian friends: "He was the heart and soul of our ball club."


Cards: Topps, 1972-1979.

October 8, 2024

Schadenfreude 352 (A Continuing Series)


Yankees' Money For Nothing Stars Disappear At Worst Possible Time
Joel Sherman, Post:

The advantages the Yankees have over the Royals are plentiful . . .

[But] if their most moneyed men are not going to rise in October, then they are playing on a more even field with the Royals. . . .

In Game 1, the Yankees overcame that their highest-paid pitcher, Gerrit Cole, and highest-paid player, Aaron Judge, were not good. The Royals, though, walked enough batters, the Yankee chorus members rose up and the instant replay review system really helped the home team. 

In Game 2, the Yankees asked Carlos Rodon to pitch like the best-paid No. 2 starter in the sport and he was not up to his salary or the moment. Judge struggled more, and so did Juan Soto this time. 

And in this morass of money for nothing, the Yankees fell meekly 4-2 to open a door they certainly did not want to even nudge ajar — of failed Octobers past. They have lost the home-field edge and the starting advantage for Game 3 shifts strongly to Seth Lugo [and the Royals] . . .

On Sept. 10, Lugo had the best start in 2024 against the Yankees by Baseball Reference's game score: seven shutout innings on three hits with no walks and 10 strikeouts. That was in The Bronx. Wednesday will be at Kauffman Stadium, where the Yankees will feel . . . the weight of their own short-circuited postseasons since last winning it all in 2009. 

That postseason A.J. Burnett started five times and had two clunkers . . .

I mention Burnett because Rodon from the moment he was signed to a six-year, $162 million free-agent deal conjured a lefty Burnett — great stuff, but real questions if he was overly emotional and could he handle New York. Burnett was the type who could be overpowering, yet you looked at the scoreboard and somehow he had allowed five runs in five innings. 

Rodon had that kind of Game 2. He came out breathing fire — with his fastball and emotions. He struck out the side on 10 pitches in the first inning and whooped it up like he was auditioning for the WWE. 

He threw a first-pitch strike to the first 10 batters he faced and got ahead 0-2 on half of them. And then he threw Ball 1 to six of the final eight hitters he faced — and was behind every one at some points.  . . .

[H]e was a marathoner who went out too fast — his energy and concentration sapped. In the next five batters, he was classic Rodon — three hits, two strikeouts and a stolen base. He was done after 3.2 innings and four runs — seven hits and seven strikeouts. . . .

And, remember, if it gets there, Rodon is scheduled to start a decisive Game 5. 

Rodon was a culprit — but not alone. . . .Judge came up with two on and no outs in a scoreless first inning for the second straight game and, thus, with a chance to instantly nudge the Royals toward thinking they did not belong in the same ballpark as the Yankees. Instead, he struck out both times. He has whiffed in 33.8 percent of his postseason plate appearances — the second most for anyone with 200 plate appearances. 

Soto walked, but struck out twice. Giancarlo Stanton . . . continues to run as if he is carrying the weight of recent Yankee playoff failures on his back. . . .

[T]he Yanks made the least from the most — going 2-for-20 with men on base. Showing again that when one of their big guys does not park a homer or two that their offense is hardly menacing. 

Now, this Division Series moves to the Midwest. Will the Yankees' big-star, big-salaried players show up to save their season?

Aaron Judge's Playoff Demons Are Inescapable
Larry Brooks, Post:

Aaron Judge walks with franchise immortals . . . when it comes to the regular season. . . .

But when it comes to the postseason, the greatest natural offensive force in the game . . . walks with the likes of Martin Maldonado and Cody Bellinger. . . .

Judge has the second highest strikeout rate in postseason history among batters with at least 200 plate appearances at 33.4 percent, second to Maldonado's 34.2 and just ahead of Bellinger's 32.6. 

Judge is 1-for-7 in this series with four strikeouts in nine times at the plate. Cole Ragans struck him out with runners on first and second and none out in the first inning of this one after Michael Wacha struck him out with two on in the first in Game 1. The Yankees did not score in either opening inning. . . .

The Yankees' fate is not tied exclusively to Judge. The club is 3-for-19 with runners in scoring position while leaving 19 men on. . . .

If there are postseason moments for Judge, they are few and far between. The ring display remains barren and one of the reasons, at least in 2022 when the Yankees were swept by the Astros in the ALCS was Judge going 1-for-22 in the series. 

Entering Game 2, Judge was slashing .206/.307/.451 with a .758 OPS and 13 home runs and 25 RBI in 45 games over seven post-season series. In 18 games this decade, it has been a fun-house mirror, the preeminent hitter in the game slashing .135/.207/.338 with a .545 OPS, five homers and eight RBI while striking out 28 times in 82 plate appearances before this one. . . .

The sample size is not insignificant . . . [T]ime is of the essence and time won't wait forever.

Royals' Maikel Garcia Shades Carlos Rodon After Game 2 Meltdown: 'Celebrate Too Early'
Will Zimmerman, Post:

Here comes the… shade.

"Don't celebrate too early," Kansas City's leadoff man, Maikel Garcia, wrote on X Monday night, hours after his Royals defeated the Yankees in Game 2 of the ALDS.

The celebration(s) in question belonged to Carlos Rodón, the Yankees $162 million man and starting pitcher on Monday night.

Rodón came out of the gates excited, to put it mildly. In the top of the first he struck out the side — Garcia, Bobby Witt Jr. and Vinnie Pasquantino — on 12 pitches. 

With each successive strikeout, the celebration grew a little more emphatic: there was a bit of jumping around on the mound, some "did you see that" shaking of the head, and a whole lot of what looked like screaming — through an uproarious Bronx crowd drowned much of that out.

By game's end, there was little left to celebrate. 

The Royals chased Rodón from the game in the fourth inning.

After surrendering a leadoff home run to Salvador Pérez in the fourth, the Yankees starter was tagged for two more runs on three singles. 

Ian Hamilton came on in relief, facing Garcia with one on and two outs; the Royal jumped on the first pitch he saw, knocking a slider into right field to score Kansas City's fourth and final run of the evening.

Garcia finished the game 4-for-5, with an RBI and a stolen base. 

Rodón's stat-line was less flattering: 3.2 innings pitched, seven hits, four earned runs. 

Jazz Chisholm Guarantees Yankees Will Still Win ALDS: Royals 'Just Got Lucky'
Matt Ehalt, Post:

Jazz Chisholm's unwavering confidence may have provided the Royals with bulletin-board material for the 48 hours leading into Game 3.

Chisholm said the Royals "got lucky" in their 4-2 Game 2 win in the ALDS on Tuesday night at Yankee Stadium . . .

"Still feels the same like we're gonna win it," Chisholm said . . . "[T]hey just got lucky." . . .

[T]he Royals actually had more at-bats with men in scoring position and went 3-for-11. They scored all four of their runs in the fourth inning to chase an underwhelming Carlos Rodon. . . .

Chisholm . . . played a role in the Royals scoring an extra run in the fourth by being out of position on a relay throw and also made a throwing error. . . .

[T]he Royals have reason to be confident knowing they have Seth Lugo, who dominated the Yankees in September in The Bronx, going in Game 3.

Yankees Paying For Raw Jazz Chisholm's Defensive Miscues: 'Something I Worry About'
Ethan Sears, Post:

Jazz Chisholm Jr. . . . made a pair of defensive miscues during the Yankees' 4-2 Game 2 loss to the Royals . . .

The first, and more costly, of those came in the four-run fourth inning that flipped the momentum in the game.

With Tommy Pham on second and one out, Chisholm failed to cut off Alex Verdugo's throw from left field after Garrett Hampson singled. As a result, there was no play at the plate on Pham and Hampson easily took second, later coming in to score on Maikel Garcia's base hit. . . .

Chisholm's error one inning later was less costly on the scoreboard, though unlike the earlier mistake, it was actually scored an error as he misfired on a throw from third to first, allowing Yuli Gurriel to reach safely.

October 2, 2024

2024 Postseason

Here is the 2024 postseason bracket, free of advertising.

The reporters at The Athletic overwhelmingly pick the Phillies to end up with Manfred's Piece of Metal at the end of it all: Phillies (47.4%), Padres (21.1%), Dodgers (10.5%), Astros (10.5%), Guardians (10.5%).

How ESPN's 27 "experts" are predicting things will go:

ALWC
Astros 22, Tigers 5
Orioles 18, Royals 9

NLWC
Padres 27, Atlanta 0
Brewers 23, Mets 4

ALDS
Yankees 24, Orioles 3
Astros 13, Guardians 11, Tigers 3

NLDS
Phillies 26, Brewers 1
Padres 22, Dodgers 5

ALCS: Yankees, 13, Astros 7, Guardians 5, Orioles 2

NLCS: Phillies 15, Padres 9, Dodgers 3

World Series: Phillies 13, Padres 7, Yankees 3, Orioles 2, Dodgers, 1, Astros 1

Jayson Stark is doing what he does best: watch baseball all day (1,240 pitches over 8 horns and 13 minutes) and tell you the weird, wild, and improbability of what is happening. . . . Jeff Passan (ESPN) reports why each team could win the World Series. His WS pick? Phillies over Astros.

Other News: Brett H. (who resides a scant 13 miles from my last NYC address) won the Joy of Sox W-L contest and Pete Rose died. 

Most fans over a certain age know Rose's famous and classic quote: "I would walk through hell in a gasoline suit to play baseball". However, my favourite Rose utterance came in 1970, right after the publication of Jim Bouton's Ball Four, the pitcher's brutally honest (and hilarious) account of his 1969 season. Unlike every single baseball book published up to that time, Ball Four presented players as they actually were, doing things they didn't want anyone to know they were doing and speaking as professional athletes actually spoke (numerous players were not pleased). Commissioner Bowie Kuhn demanded (in vain) that Bouton confess the entire book was fiction, all lies.

Anyway, Bouton was with Astros in 1970 and before one of their first games against Cincinnati, Rose looked out of the Reds dugout, saw Bouton across the infield, and yelled: "Fuck you, Shakespeare!"

July 25, 2024

Alex Cora's Contract Extended Through 2027

The Red Sox and manager Alex Cora have agreed on a three-year contract extension ($21.75M), which will last through the 2027 season.

If Cora is still around at that time, he will have managed the Red Sox for nine seasons, the second-most in franchise history, behind only Joe Cronin (13 seasons, 1935-47) and just ahead of Terry Francona (8 seasons, 2004-11).

Jarren Duran  who leads MLB with 12 triples, tops the AL with 30 doubles, and is 14th in the AL in OPS+  liked the news.
He's pulled me aside a couple times and we've talked about stuff. He's willing to learn. He's played this game for a long time and he's been a manager for a good amount of time, and he's willing to adjust, especially being patient with us young guys running around with our heads cut off sometimes. He reels us in and keeps us calm. He's one of the best managers out there, I think.
The Red Sox are currently 54-47, third in the AL East, and in the thick of the Wild Card race.

Craig Calcaterra (Cup of Coffee) relates an embarrassing moment for Boston catcher Reese McGuire during last night's 20-7 loss to the Rockies:
Despite the fact that this game was in no way close, Rockies pitcher Cal Quantrill was all jacked up after retiring Sox catcher Reese McGuire on a fly out to end the fourth inning. Quantrill, who has always been a bit more demonstrative than your average pitcher, pumped his fist when he recorded the out. McGuire said something to him and then Quantrill shouted "you jacked off in a fucking parking lot, you dumb fuck" at him, which led to the benches clearing.

Which is not a lie[*]! Back in February 2020, McGuire was indeed charged with a misdemeanor count of indecent exposure after he was found masturbating in his car in a shopping center parking lot in Dunedin, Florida, near the Blue Jays spring training complex. He pleaded no contest to a charge of disorderly conduct and was fined $500.
*: It's also not a misquote. That's obvious from the video.

The best course of action for McGuire, Calcaterra muses, would be to "keep [his] head down and play out the rest of [his] career as inconspicuously as [he] can". He also noted:
And this is fun: since June 15, the Mets have the best record in baseball. Since June 15 the Yankees have the second-worst, ahead of only the Chicago White Sox. Yikes.
He's right. That is fun. (I may have to gather some back pages from the last five or six weeks . . .)

June 24, 2024

NHL: Oilers Hope To Win Stanley Cup After Being Down 0-3

The 2024 NHL Stanley Cup Finals

June 8: Florida Panthers 3, Edmonton Oilers 0 June 10: Florida Panthers 4, Edmonton Oilers 1 June 13: Florida Panthers 4, Edmonton Oilers 3 June 15: Edmonton Oilers 8, Florida Panthers 1 June 18: Edmonton Oilers 5, Florida Panthers 3 June 21: Edmonton Oilers 5, Florida Panthers 1
June 24: EDM @ FLA

With a win tonight in Florida, the Oilers would become the fifth NHL team to win a best-of-7 playoff series after losing the first three games.

1942 Stanley Cup Finals:             Toronto Maple Leafs defeated Detroit Red Wings
1975 Stanley Cup Quarterfinals: New York Islanders defeated Pittsburgh Penguins
2010 Eastern Conference Semifinals: Philadelphia Flyers defeated Boston Bruins
2014 Western Conference First Round: Los Angeles Kings defeated San Jose Sharks
Any time a professional sports team loses the first three games of a seven-game series, sportswriters must tell the story of the 2004 Red Sox and their still-hard-to-believe-even-after-twenty-years-that-it-really-happened comeback against the New York Yankees in the American League Championship Series. (Several books were written about that glorious 2004 postseason, including this one.) It's both the only time in major league history a team turned 0-3 to 4-3 and a team choked 3-0 to 3-4.

The Oilers are the 211th NHL team to lose the first three games of a seven-game series. Only four of the previous 210 teams then won four consecutive games (1.9%). Five other NHL teams won three games and tied the series, but then lost Game 7.

None of the 157 NBA teams facing an 0-3 deficit has rallied and won the series, and only four teams (2.5%) got to a seventh game, the last being the 2023 Celtics.

0-3 to 4-3
MLB:    1 of  39 teams (2.6%)
NHL: 4 of 210 teams (1.9%)
NBA: 0 of 157 teams (0.0%)
Total: 5 of 406 teams (1.2%)