Ideally, the World Series would pit the top two major league teams (or each league's leader in wins) against each other. The Brewers (103-59) and Dodgers (100-62) finished 1-2 in team wins this season – and with all due respect (and apologies) to the Rays and Guardians, the National League Championship Series feels like this year's true World Series.
In the NL, the Brewers and Dodgers were 1-2 in batting average (MIL .258, LAD .257) and 1-3 in OBP (MIL .341, LAD .338). The Dodgers finished 2nd in slugging, the Brewers, 10th.
The Brewers had the second-lowest team ERA (3.51), the Dodgers fourth (3.55). In WHIP, the Dodgers were second (1.142), Brewers were fourth (1.178). Best K/BB ratio: Dodgers, third, 3.17, Brewers, fifth, 2.98).
This is also a rematch of last year's NLCS, which the Dodgers swept in four games: 2-1, 5-1, 3-1, 5-1. In that series, the Brewers' hit totals were: 2, 3, 4, 5! I remember noticing that pattern after Game 3 and was really hoping that Milwaukee would get exactly five hits (and one run) in Game 4 -- and they did!!
The Dodgers are trying to win their third consecutive World Series title. They have won 100+ games in six of the last last nine full seasons (2017-26). In the shortened season of 2020, LA had the best winning percentage in franchise history (.717) and were playing at a 116-win pace (43-17).
The Brewers' 103 wins this year is a franchise record, dating back to 1969 (as the Seattle Pilots; the club moved before the 1970 season and became the Brewers). The 2025 Brewers had the 2nd-most wins in team history (97-65).
Starting pitchers for Game 1: Tarik Skubal vs. Jacob Misiorowski!
Skubal won the AL Cy Young Award in both 2024 (unanimous) and 2025 (26 of 30 votes) with the Tigers. The Dodgers traded for him in early August, believing in the adage that you can never have enough pitching. Skubal had a 2.79 ERA and 0.910 WHIP in 16 starts for Detroit and was 2.61, 1.048, in 10 starts for Los Angeles. His last start came on October 3, in NLDS Game 1 against Atlanta: 6-2-1-2-7, 94.
Misiorowski will win the NL Cy Young Award, presumably unanimously. He made his major league debut in June 2025, so 2026 was his first full season. He led the majors in ERA (1.80) strikeouts (252), WHIP (0.802), ERA+ (232), FIP (2.17), fewest H/9 (4.9), lowest batting average against (.157, a major league record), and most K/9 (13.0). The young fireballer He started Game 1 of the NLDS against the Padres (his first pitch was clocked at 105) and allowed two runs in four innings (4-4-2-1-6, 88). In his short career, he's pitched against the Dodgers in three games (two starts): 17 innings, 3 earned runs (1.59), 66 batters, 27 strikeouts (40.9%).
Mike Petriello, mlb.com, describes this matchup as "phenomenal" and "by any measure, an absolutely scintillating starting pitching pairing". It's nearly unprecedented.
On one side: The presumptive 2026 NL Cy Young winner. The almost certain hardest-throwing-starting-pitcher-to-ever-live. The most difficult starter to ever get a hit off of in a single season in history. That's Misiorowski, who rolls in with a 1.80 ERA, one of the exceptionally few times in the last 50 years that a qualified starter has had an ERA under 2.00.
On the other side: The back-to-back reigning AL Cy Young winner . . . The man who leads the Majors in pitching WAR over the last three seasons, and also led the NL in pitching WAR after the trade. . . .
This matchup has everything you could want, on the field and off. First, these are two of the best pitchers in baseball. . . . There's also the context in which this matchup is taking place . . .
Have we seen a postseason starting pitching matchup with this much juice before? . . .
One way to quantify pitchers is with Baseball Savant's "Enhanced Game Score," which starts with the decades-old metric of Game Score, which adds or subtracts points for traditional box score things like innings, outs, strikeouts, walks, and hits. . . . But Enhanced Game Score takes that and adds in some modernization from MLB Senior Data Architect Tom Tango, and then puts it all in the form of a rolling, 1,000-day window, with more weight given to recent events.
This all goes back to 1971, and it lets you find out not only who the best pitcher at any given time was, but when that happened. For example, the No. 1 pitcher on record by this method is Pedro Martinez, which should surprise no one. . . .
Martinez is followed by Clayton Kershaw, Vida Blue, Dwight Gooden, and Greg Maddux, with great runs from Tom Seaver and other legends not far behind. . . .
By this method, today's current top five pitchers are 1) Skubal, 2) Yoshinobu Yamamoto, 3) Sale, 4) Misiorowski, and 5) Cam Schlittler. . . .
So, using this information, we can say NLCS Game 1 features the No. 1 pitcher in baseball (Skubal) vs. the No. 4 pitcher in baseball (Misiorowski), and that sure matches the eye test of "it doesn't get a whole lot better than that, does it?"
Well: Does it?
There's been nearly 1,500 postseason starts since 1971. Exactly 13 of them featured two top-four starters against one another, and that is essentially 1% of all games. One of them, we hadn't realized at the time, came just last week, the first of its kind in six years. That was in the NL Division Series, when Sale faced Yamamoto in an excellent pitcher’s duel.
The full list of top-four matchups is limited, exclusive, and, we think, fantastic.
Postseason matchups between two top-four starters (since 1971)
1981 NLDS // Fernando Valenzuela (LAD) vs Nolan Ryan (HOU)
1985 NLCS // Valenzuela (LAD) vs John Tudor (STL)
1986 NLCS // Dwight Gooden (NYM) vs Mike Scott (HOU)
1986 WS // Gooden (NYM) vs Roger Clemens (BOS)
1990 ALCS // Dave Stewart (OAK) vs Clemens (BOS), twice
2014 NLDS // Clayton Kershaw (LAD) vs Adam Wainwright (STL)
2016 NLDS // Kershaw (LAD) vs Max Scherzer (WSH)
2016 NLDS // Jake Arrieta (CHC) vs Madison Bumgarner (SF)
2018 ALCS // Justin Verlander (HOU) vs Sale (BOS)
2019 WS // Gerrit Cole (HOU) vs Scherzer (WSH)
2020 ALWC // Cole (NYY) vs Shane Bieber (CLE)
2026 NLDS // Sale (ATL) vs Yamamoto (LAD) . . .If we take the average rank of the two starting pitchers, then the Skubal vs. Misiorowski matchup is going to be the third-best of those nearly 1,500 total games.
The best? It came in that NLCS Game 1 in 1986, a matchup between Gooden (first) and Scott (second), the only time we've had a No. 1 vs. No. 2 matchup. . . . Next best would be Game 4 of the 1990 ALCS, when Clemens (first) faced Stewart (third) . . .
If it feels like it doesn't get much better than this, that's because it hasn't. It doesn't. It almost really can't.
At mlb.com, 34 writers submitted their predictions for the NLCS:
Dodgers 17
Brewers 17
A Breakdown
Brewers in 7 games: 14 votes
Brewers in 6 games: 3 votesDodgers in 7 games: 4 votes
Dodgers in 6 games: 8 votes
Dodgers in 5 games: 5 votes
Brian Murphy, mlb.com:
Why the Dodgers will win
They are the two-time defending World Series champions with an unmatched level of talent and experience. Their starting rotation is full of bona fide aces, including a pair of two-time Cy Young Award winners (Tarik Skubal and Blake Snell) and last season's World Series MVP (Yoshinobu Yamamoto). Their bullpen is deep, and their star closer seems to be rediscovering his elite form.
Their lineup boasts three MVP winners and seven multi-time All-Stars -- and that's not even including the utility player [Kike Hernandez] whose postseason resume has him in the company of Hall of Fame sluggers. Plus, they looked every bit like a juggernaut as they . . . limited Atlanta to two total runs over the final two [NLDS] games.
Not everything is sunshine and rainbows for Los Angeles. Shohei Ohtani . . .is playing through multiple injuries and has a .520 OPS over his past 23 games (postseason included). Catcher Will Smith went 1-for-16 with seven strikeouts during the NLDS. But the fact that the Dodgers handled Atlanta with relative ease without contributions from those two cornerstone players proves how formidable they remain.
Why the Brewers will win
There are plenty of reasons why this year's trip to the NLCS is different for the Brewers. The biggest one will fire the first pitch of this series come Sunday night. At this time last year, Jacob Misiorowski was a rookie who had 73 big league innings under his belt and had inconsistent results entering the playoffs. . . . Misiorowski is perhaps the best pitcher in the sport right now and the heavy favorite to take home the NL Cy Young. . . .
However, Milwaukee's rotation is more than just one powerful arm. Logan Henderson owns a 2.33 ERA through his first 23 Major League starts, and Robert Gasser has a 1.73 ERA over his past seven outings (36.1 innings, postseason included). Behind them lies a trio of dominant relievers [Trevor Megill, Abner Uribe and Aaron Ashby] who can shorten any game. [They pitched 12.2 innings vs. the Padres and allowed one unearned run.]
At the plate, this version of the Brewers looks more dangerous than the group that scored a total of four runs in the 2025 NLCS. Jake Bauers had a 140 OPS+ during the regular season. Brice Turang is as good as they come at second base. Christian Yelich and William Contreras swung hot bats in the NLDS versus San Diego. And burgeoning superstar Jackson Chourio has established himself as Milwaukee's Mr. October.






































