April 1, 2021

2021 W-L Record - Contest Entries

Here are the entries for this year's Red Sox W-L Contest (average wins: 83.68)
               W-L    Team ERA
Laura K.     101-61     4.20
Gopal K.      96-66     4.12
Jacob L. 91-71 4.14 Jeffrey M. 90-72 4.52 Jere S. 90-72 4.44 Ezra R. 89-73 4.25
Matthew B. 88-74 3.82
Sean M. 88-74 4.10
Warren S. 88-74 4.75 Nick R. 86-76 5.22
Allan W. 85-77 4.95 Jeff L. 83-79 4.53
Paul H. 83-79 4.58
Rich G. 83-79 4.69 David I. 82-80 4.59 Mike B. 82-80 4.75
Matt K. 82-80 5.94
Ian R. 81-81 4.45
Peter L. 79-83 4.99
Michael G. 79-83 5.14 Jim G. 78-84 4.50
Ray P. 75-87 4.84
David F. 74-88 5.08
John G. 70-92 5.75
Patrick K. 69-93 4.20
The winner will receive a copy of Mitchell Nathanson's Bouton: The Life of a Baseball Original.

Red Sox ERA: Recent Seasons (Rank Among 15 AL Teams)
2004   4.18 -   3rd
2007 3.87 - 1st
2013 3.79 - 6th
2014 4.01 - 10th
2015 4.31 - 14th
2016 4.00 - 3rd
2017 3.70 - 2nd
2018 3.75 - 3rd
2019 4.70 - 7th
2020 5.58 - 14th
All ERAs are not created equal.

2014: Boston's 4.01 ERA ranked 10th.
2016: Boston's 4.00 ERA ranked 3rd.

2007: Boston's 3.87 ERA ranked 1st.
2013: Boston's 3.79 ERA ranked 6th.

2013: Boston's 3.79 ERA ranked 6th.
2018: Boston's 4.70 ERA ranked 7th.

3 comments:

allan said...

I noticed Jen McCaffrey of The Athletic predicts 85-77, which is also what I posted.
She immediately points out 85 wins "may be far too optimistic", then writes: "I don't think it's a wildly unrealistic prediction. This team isn't perfect. It is not going to win the division. But the Red Sox are far more interesting and competitive than they were last year. Is that enough to squeak into a wild card spot? Probably not."

Paul Hickman said...

Laura predicts 101

MFY lose in the 10th

Can we move on to 2022 yet ?

betterthanthealternative said...

My lack of faith in Sox pitching is a shame.