March 29, 2018

G1: Rays 6, Red Sox 4

Red Sox - 030 000 100 - 4  8  0
Rays    - 000 000 06x - 6  4  0 
The Red Sox outfield for Opening Day in both 2017 and 2018 was Andrew Benintendi, Jackie Bradley, and Mookie Betts. The last time Boston had the same outfield for consecutive Opening Days was way back in 2002-03, when Manny Ramirez, Johnny Damon, and Trot Nixon patrolled the outer garden.

I well remember Opening Day in 2003. It was late March and the Red Sox were at Tropicana Field. They were cruising 4-0 behind their ace (Pedro) at the seventh-inning stretch. Things fell apart, however, and the bullpen coughed up the game. Boston lost 6-4.

Zip ahead 15 years - and pretty much the same thing happened. Chris Sale was dominant (6-1-0-3-9, 92) and the Red Sox held a comfortable 4-0 lead in the middle of the eighth, thanks (in part) to an inside-the-park, two-run homer from Eduardo Nunez. But things fell apart, and the bullpen coughed up the game. Boston lost 6-4. (The 2017 Red Sox did not have a blown lead of more than three runs all season, but the 2018 team blew a four-run cushion in its first game.)

NESN's Jerry Remy said the collapse had happened in the "blink of an eye", but the exact opposite was true. This was a slow-motion train wreck, drawn out for maximum anger and frustration. Joe Kelly began the bottom of the eighth by walking Daniel Robertson. Home plate umpire Jeff Nelson's strike zone suddenly shrunk and Kelly was getting squeezed. He managed to strike out Rob Refsnyder on a 2-2 pitch that was worse than some of the pitches Nelson had called balls. Matt Duffy promptly doubled to right center and the shutout was gone. Kelly then issued two full-count walks, loading the bases. Kelly threw 29 pitches and he works so slow, he makes Clay Buchholz look like Sale in a rush, so this was apparently the longest eye-blink in human history. (And - don't open your eyes - it wasn't done yet.)

Carson Smith took over and walked in a run. Boston still led 4-2. He struck out Wilson Ramos for the second out. His 0-1 pitch to Denard Span went to the backstop; however, in a strike of good luck, the runners could not advance. But it did not matter. Smith got ahead 1-2, but threw two balls - and after Span fouled off a full-count pitch, he drilled a three-run triple to the wall in right. The Rays led 5-4. An infield single made it 6-4.

Nunez doubled with two outs in the ninth against Crooked Hat Colome, but Jackie Bradley grounded to second and the game was over, in an even three hours.

The first seven innings belonged to Boston. Betts crushed Chris Archer's first pitch to deep center, but Kevin Kiermaier made a fantastic catch. Archer (6-6-4-1-6, 81) walked J.D. Martinez to open the second. Xander Bogaerts (3-for-4) doubled and Rafael Devers's groundout scored JDM with the season's first run.

Nunez lofted a fly ball to left-center. Span and Kiermaier converged, but it fell between them and rolled towards the outfield wall. Both Rays fielders had tumbled to the turf, and they were both slow to get up. Nunez lost some steam around third, but he scored without a throw, diving in head first. He was helped to his feet by Bogaerts. Boston added a run in the seventh on back-to-back doubles from Bogaerts and Devers.

Sale struck out the first two batters he faced and three of the first four. He walked Span with two down in the second and Hechavarria grounded a single to right. The runners moved up to second and third on a passed ball, but Sale got Robertson looking. The only baserunner Sale allowed over the next four innings was Refsnyder, who walked in the third and fifth.

Matt Barnes pitched a perfect seventh. When Kelly struck out Refsnyder with a man on first in the eighth, Boston led by four runs with only five outs to go. An easy victory should have been securely in the team's back pocket, but ...
Chris Sale / Chris Archer

And so with the sunshine and the great bursts of leaves
growing on the trees, just as things grow in fast movies,
I had that familiar conviction that life was beginning over again with the summer.
― F. Scott Fitzgerald, The Great Gatsby

The Red Sox begin their 118th season this afternoon in Florida. Seven months from now, they hoping to be celebrating the franchise's ninth World Series championship. Boston finished in first place in the AL East in 2016 and 2017 (winning 93 games in each season). However, the team was quickly ousted from the postseason both times, 0-3 and 1-3, respectively.

March 29 is the earliest Opening Day in major league history. This is also the first time in half a century (since 1968) that every major league team is scheduled to begin its season on the same day.

Sale has averaged 13.5 K/9 against the Rays in his career, the highest ratio of any pitcher against a single opponent since 1920.

Dustin Pedroia, who had cartilage-restoration surgery on his left knee in late October, is not in the Red Sox's Opening Day lineup for the time since 2006. ... The managers in this series - Alex Cora and Kevin Cash - were teammates on the 2007 World Champion Red Sox.

Red Sox Lineup
Mookie Betts, RF 
Andrew Benintendi, LF
Hanley Ramirez, 1B
J.D. Martinez, DH
Xander Bogaerts, SS
Rafael Devers, 3B
Eduardo Nunez, 2B
Jackie Bradley, CF
Christian Vazquez, C
The sparsely-populated gamethreads are still here.

March 28, 2018

Red Sox 2018 W-L Contest Entries

Here are the entries for this year's Red Sox W-L contest.
              W-L   JDM TB
Norm T      102-60    320

Jim S       101-61    357
Paul H      101-61    357 
Laura K     101-61    320 

Ben A       100-62    250

Jere S       99-63    299

Patrick K    98-64    301

Ian R        97-65    325
Matthew K    97-65    320
Warren S     97-65    302 

James G      95-67    337
John G       95-67    320
Allan W      95-67    319

Jeff M       94-68    320
Jeff J       94-68    305
David F      94-68    304
Rich G       94-68    303
Matthew B    94-68    285

Dave H       93-69    325
Ben B        93–69    275

Michael G    92-70    301
Brett H      92-70    300
Wayne S      92-70    286
Jeff A       92-70    264 

Andrew M     90-72    323

Judy C       82-80    328
Prize: This Time Let's Not Eat The Bones: Bill James Without The Numbers. ... (James's name appearing three times on the cover is unusual.)

Also: Paul H offered this possible scenario: "How about Stanton injures himself while smashing a ball into Judge's head - both are out for the season in the home opener"? That sounds good, but since the MFY begin the season in Toronto, I prefer it happens in the road opener.

Possible idea for another contest ... # of posts this season in which I bitch about NESN?

That's actually a trick question. The correct answer is "All of them".

Ohtani Watch: Will Make Pitching Debut On Sunday, May DH Before That

Shohei Ohtani will make his pitching debut on Sunday, in the final game of the Angels' four-game series against the Athletics in Oakland.

Manager Mike Scioscia may use Ohtani as the team's designated hitter in one of the first three games. (The team has said Ohtani will DH two or three days a week when he is not pitching.)

Ohtani had a rough spring. In two starts, the 23-year-old allowed nine hits (including three home runs) and nine runs in only 2.2 innings.
                  IP   H   R  ER  BB   K  PIT
0224 vs Brewers  1.1   2   2   1   1   2   21
0316 vs Rockies  1.1   7   7   7   1   3   29
He also batted .125 (4-for-32, all singles), with 10 strikeouts.

Ohtani threw 85 pitches in 5.1 innings in an intrasquad game on Saturday. He walked five, hit a batter and threw two wild pitches.
The plan was to throw as many splitters as I can, so to get the feel of it. ... I felt really good, especially toward the end. ... I've done everything I can to get ready for Opening Day. I know I'm not at 100 percent. But it is hard, like every other year. Even in Japan, I was not like 100 percent on Opening Day. ... But at the same time, I'm still worried, not only because it's a new place and a new environment, but in Japan at this time of year, I always had worries.

"The Tedious Slowness Of Some Pitchers"

... the tedious slowness of some pitchers in handling the ball. When a pitcher‚ after getting it into his hands‚ invariably goes through a large variety of twistings and turnings‚ changes his position‚ rubs his arm and his spine and feels if all the bones are in proper position ... before delivering the ball‚ and repeats the same manoeuvers each time‚ the spectators get restless and lose interest. The query is often heard "Is ___ going to pitch to-day?" And if answered in the affirmative‚ "Well‚ I guess I won't go. He's too slow. Life is too brief and the benches too hard."
The Sporting Life, August 19, 1885

March 27, 2018

11 Sets Of Predictions, Including ESPN, MLB.com, & SI

ESPN's 29 "experts" have given their team and award predictions for 2018:

AL East: Yankees (21 votes), Red Sox (7), Orioles (1)
[Can picking the Os really be called the actions of an "expert"?]

"Everyone's talking about the Yankees and their bash brothers, but the Red Sox getting J.D. Martinez is so critical to an OBP-laden crew and makes the offenses comparable. Xander Bogaerts will find his power. Hanley Ramirez will find his swing. David Price will find his health. And the Red Sox will find another division title." – Eric Karabell
AL Central: Cleveland (27), Twins (2)
AL West: Astros (29)
AL WCs: Red Sox and Twins (Angels, Mariners, and Blue Jays also received votes)

NL East: Nationals (29)
NL Central: Cubs (28), Brewers (1)
NL West: Dodgers (29)
NL WCs: Brewers and Rockies (Cardinals, Diamondbacks, Mets, Phillies, and Atlanta also received votes)

AL Champion: Astros (12), Cleveland (8), Yankees (7), Red Sox (2)
NL Champion: Cubs (11), Nationals (10), Dodgers (8)

World Series Champion: Astros (8), Cleveland (7), Cubs (4), Dodgers (4), Yankees (3), Red Sox (2), Nationals (1)

AL MVP: Mike Trout (14), Carlos Correa (3), Jose Ramirez (2), Manny Machado (2), Francisco Lindor (2), Gary Sanchez (2), Aaron Judge (2), Jose Altuve (1), Giancarlo Stanton (1)

NL MVP: Bryce Harper (11), Nolan Arenado (6), Kris Bryant (3), Joey Votto (3), Paul Goldschmidt (1), Corey Seager (1), Anthony Rendon (1), Anthony Rizzo (1), Tommy Pham (1), Eric Hosmer (1)

AL Cy Young: Chris Sale (13), Corey Kluber (6), Luis Severino (5), Justin Verlander (4), Carlos Carrasco (1)

NL Cy Young: Clayton Kershaw (13), Max Scherzer (8), Stephen Strasburg (5), Kyle Hendricks (2), Noah Syndergaard (1)

AL Rookie: Shohei Ohtani (11), Gleyber Torres (5), Willie Calhoun (4), Michael Kopech (2), A.J. Puk (2), Anthony Santander (1), Chance Sisco (1), Franklin Barreto (1), Willy Adames (1), Eloy Jimenez (1)

NL Rookie: Ronald Acuna (20), Lewis Brinson (4), Scott Kingery (3), Walker Buehler (1), Ryan McMahon (1)
Chad Thornburg presents the predictions from "more than 50 experts from the MLB.com and MLB Network universe":
American League East: Yankees
These two teams are extremely evenly matched, and the news on Monday that Yankees first baseman Greg Bird will miss 6-8 weeks, because of right foot surgery closes whatever the perceived gap already was. ...

AL Wild Cards: Red Sox, Angels
The Red Sox may not be favored in their own division, but our survey gives them very strong odds to make the postseason as the AL's top Wild Card team, receiving the most votes of any Wild Card candidate in either league. ...

AL champion: Yankees
The Yankees came within one win of the World Series last year, and our experts predict their splashy offseason moves are enough to push them over the edge in 2018. The Astros, of course, aren't going anywhere; they were named back-to-back AL champs on a number of ballots ...

World Series champion: Astros
It may seem weird to have the Astros as World Series champs when our panel picked the Yankees to win the AL, but that's how close the vote was. So while New York got 17 votes to win the pennant (to Houston's 13), many of those voters chose an NL team to win the Fall Classic. As a result, the Astros narrowly edged the Dodgers and Yankees by one vote as this year's World Series favorite among our experts.
Bob Nightengale of USAToday offers "a half-dozen bold predictions":
The Yankees won't win the AL East

From 1 to 25 - with a handful of potential stars lurking in the minor leagues - the Yankees are solidly built. Yet the Yankees are not invulnerable. ...

Judge, in his first full season in the majors, showed he's prone to an extended cold spell. Certainly, his 55-game tailspin (.185, 84 strikeouts in 189 at-bats) after the All-Star break can partially be attributed to that balky left shoulder. ...

Big bodies and big swings can be high-maintenance, however, and a 2018 looking exactly like 2017 for either is not guaranteed. ...

And then there are the Red Sox. It's easy to forget Boston is the reigning division champ and has a healthy David Price from the jump.
Three of Nightengale's other scenarios: "Mike Trout muscles up for 50 home runs ... Marlins will flirt with all-time loss record ... Astros will put away the AL West by June".
Fangraphs' projected standings:
           W    L   RS/G   RA/G   RunDiff
Yankees   95   67   5.28   4.40     143
Red Sox   93   69   4.45     123
That slim difference in runs scored per game works out to 11.34 runs over the course of the season (855.36 to 844.02).

The runs allowed difference is only 7.1 runs over 162 games (712.8 to 720.9).
Sports Illustrated (8 writers):

AL East: Yankees (8)
AL Central: Indians (8)
AL West: Astros (8)
AL WCs: Red Sox (7), Twins (4), Angels (3), Rangers, Athletics (1)

NL East: Nationals (8)
NL Central: Cubs (8)
NL West: Dodgers (8)
NL WCs: Cardinals (5), Diamondbacks (4), Brewers (4), Mets (2), Rockies (1)

ALCS: Yankees (5), Astros (3)
NLCS: Cubs (4), Nationals, Dodgers (2)

World Series: Cubs (3), Astros (2), Dodgers (1), Nationals (1), Yankees (1)
Cubs over Yankees in 7
Cubs over Yankees in 6
Dodgers over Yankees in 6
Nationals over Yankees in 7
Astros over Nationals in 7
Astros over Dodgers in 7
Cubs over Astros in 7
Yankees over Cubs in 6
Chicago Tribune (4 writers):

AL East: Yankees (4)
AL Central: Cleveland (4)
AL West: Astros (4)
AL WCs: Angels (4), Red Sox (3), Twins (1)

NL East: Nationals (4)
NL Central: Cubs (4)
NL West: Dodgers (3), Rockies (1)
NL WCs: Diamondbacks, Cardinals (2), Dodgers (1), Brewers (1), Giants (1), Mets (1)

AL Pennant: Astros (2), Cleveland (1), Yankees (1)
NL Pennant: Cubs (2), Dodgers (1), Nationals (1)

World Series: Astros (1), Cubs (1), Dodgers (1), Nationals (1)

AL MVP: Mike Trout (2), Jose Altuve (1), Aaron Judge (1)
NL MVP: Anthony Rizzo (2), Nolan Arenado (1), Kris Bryant (1)

AL Cy Young: Chris Sale (2), Corey Kluber (1), Justin Verlander (1)
NY Cy Young: Stephen Strasburg (3), Clayton Kershaw (1)

AL Rookie: Austin Hays (1), Willie Calhoun (1), Michael Kopech (1), Gleyber Torres (1)
NL Rookie: Roland Acuna (2), J.P. Crawford (1), Lewis Brinson (1)

AL Manager: Terry Francona (1), Bob Melvin (1), Mike Scioscia (1), Aaron Boone (1)
NL Manager: Dave Martinez (2), Bud Black (1), Mickey Callaway (1)
The Sporting News' Ryan Fagan posts "18 thoughts about baseball in 2018":
2. Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge will not combine for 100 homers. For some reason, some people will see that as a failure. The Yankees will win the AL East, though. ...

4. Mike Trout will win the AL MVP award. I like going out on limbs. ...

8. The Nationals will not win the World Series in their final year with Bryce Harper ... I'm sure it will be avert-your-eyes painful. ...

14. The pitch clock ... will cause more than a few veterans to be highly annoyed. ...

15. Bryce Harper will be the 2018 NL MVP. And then he'll sign an insane contract (north of $400 million) somewhere other than D.C. next offseason, almost certainly before the calendar turns to 2019. ...
John Harper, New York Daily News:
There is almost nothing harder to predict than which teams will survive the crapshoot that is the postseason, but if I don't say so myself, I'm on a roll after calling the Astros over the Dodgers in this same space a year ago. Not to mention Jose Altuve as AL MVP. ...

So for what it's worth, I'm picking the Yankees to survive the AL playoffs, the Cubs to find that extra gear they were missing last year, and Aaron Boone to outmanage Joe Maddon in another classic World Series. ...

Top 10 Bold Predictions for the 2018 season. ...

1. Yankees Win Championship No. 28
2. Judge and Stanton Out-homer Mantle and Maris [116 to 115]
6. Trout, Altuve, Judge, Stanton Do Not Win AL MVP ...
8. DeGrom wins NL Cy Young/Sale AL
9. Boone Wins AL Manager of the Year ..
New York Post (7 writers):

Five writers pick the Yankees to win the East, with Ken Davidoff and Mike Puma picking the Red Sox.

Three of the seven picked Chris Sale as the AL Cy Young winner.

Only one writer picked the Yankees to win the AL pennant.
NorthJersey.com:

Pete Caldera, Yankees beat writer: Yankees (94-68) win the East, beat the Red Sox in the ALCS, and lose the World Series to the Dodgers. Chris Sale wins the AL Cy Young and Miguel Andujar of the Yankees is the AL Rookie of the Year.

Matt Ehalt, Mets beat writer: Yankees (95-67) win the East, but lose the World Series to the Dodgers. The Red Sox lose to the Astros in the ALDS. Sale wins the AL Cy Young.
Baltimore Sun:

AL East: The four writers are split, with Jon Meoli and Peter Schmuck picking the Red Sox and Eduardo A. Encina and Josh Land siding with the Yankees.

AL Pennant: Encina and Land pick the Yankees, while Schmuck says the Red Sox will defeat the Yankees on their way to the World Series.

World Series: Schmuck (I like this guy) says the Red Sox will defeat the Dodgers. Encina says Yankees over Dodgers and Land has the Yankees over the Cubs. Meoli picks the Nationals over the Dodgers.

Meoli picks J.D. Martinez as the AL MVP and Schmuck has Sale winning the AL Cy Young. Schmuck (well, not unreservedly) and Land have Giancarlo Stanton as the AL MVP. Encina picks Luis Severino to win the AL Cy Young.

Red Sox Announce Opening Day Roster

The Red Sox will begin the 2018 season on Thursday afternoon with this 25-man roster:

Infielders (6): Hanley Ramirez, Mitch Moreland, Eduardo Nunez, Xander Bogaerts, Rafael Devers, Brock Holt

Outfielders (4): Andrew Benintendi, Jackie Bradley, Mookie Betts, J.D. Martinez

Catchers (3): Christian Vazquez, Sandy Leon, Blake Swihart

Starting Pitchers (5): Chris Sale, David Price, Rick Porcello, Brian Johnson, Hector Velazquez

Bullpen (7): Craig Kimbrel, Carson Smith, Joe Kelly, Matt Barnes, Heath Hembree, Bobby Poyner, Marcus Walden
Eduardo Rodriguez, Drew Pomeranz and Steven Wright will begin the season on the disabled list. Wright's 15-game suspension will not begin until he's off the DL.

Rafael Devers avoided a serious injury yesterday. He was on third base when Cubs catcher Victor Caratini's toss back to the mound went over the pitcher's head. Devers sprinted home and, after an awkward head-first slide into Caratini, was slow to get up. He suffered a right knee contusion, but said that "God permitting", he will be in Thursday's lineup.
When I saw the catcher coming toward me I tried to hit the ground before he could get there and the collision happened. At first, I felt scared because it was a clear pain in my knee. I thought it was worse, but I stood up and felt the knee was good.
The Red Sox received outfielder Ramon Flores from the Diamondbacks (probably in connection with the trade of Deven Marrero) and assigned him to Pawtucket. Flores was signed as an international free agent in 2008 and has been with the Yankees, Mariners, Brewers, Angels, and Diamondbacks since 2015. In 331 plate appearances in the majors (most of them coming in 2016), Flores has batted .204/.281/.256.

March 25, 2018

Pomeranz And Rodriguez Will Begin Season On DL

Drew Pomeranz (forearm strain) and Eduardo Rodriguez (recovering from ligament reconstruction on his right knee) will begin the season on the disabled list.

Manager Alex Cora has said that Brian Johnson would take one of the spots. Hector Velazquez may be the leading candidate for the other one, but Cora may be tabbed for the other get a start or two. Cora noted that Marcus Walden and Justin Haley are also possibilities.

And: Steven Wright will serve a 15-game suspension for violating MLB's domestic violence policy. The Red Sox traded Deven Marrero to the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Spring Training stats should always be ignored, but it's still good to see David Price post this three-start line in Florida: 12-5-3-4-13 (2.25).

Psst: "What Boone has learned, he said, is that beneath Judge's polite and respectful personality, the slugger is relentlessly competitive."

Bill James (1983): The Art Of Announcing Baseball Games On The Radio

What follows is from Bill James's This Time Let's Not Eat The Bones: Bill James Without The Numbers*. James's tribute to Kansas City Royals radio announcer Denny Matthews was first published in The 1983 Baseball Abstract. James's complaints, although they are 35 years old, may sound extremely familiar to some of you.

*: A copy of this book is the prize in this year's W-L contest. (This is your reminder about the contest.)

My theory: Modern radio announcers - because they have a TV monitor next to them - have been conditioned (whether they realize it or not) to assume their listeners are watching TV while listening to the radio. Some fans do this, of course, but certainly not all fans. (Blind fans don't do it, for example.) I have heard, many times, radio announcers actually direct listeners ("See, right there ...") to something being shown in a televised replay.

I wonder how soon after radio booths got access to the TV feed that announcers began altering their descriptions of the on-field action. While I doubt any radio announcer ever thought because they could look out their window and see the game that everyone at home or in a car or at the beach could do the same thing, the fact that it's on a screen, and everyone (of course) has access to a screen, creates a different mindset. (my emphasis, below)


Denny Matthews

Among the pleasures of being a Royals fan, few rank any higher than turning on the radio each evening to receive the seven o'clock greeting of Mr. Denny Matthews. My goal about each team [in the annual Abstracts] is to try to bring to light something about the team which is not generally known. After years of post-season play with basically the same team, not much about the Royals has slipped through the network of the country's information services. But behind their microphone, all but unknown to the nation, sits one of the most skilled and gifted men that the craft has ever produced.

His gifts, I suppose, are moderate, if well adapted to the task. His voice has a pleasant timbre which suggests a cheerful occasion. Its natural inflection rises and falls constantly, so that over the course of countless hours it acquires neither the grating quality of forced enthusiasm nor the drone of forced interest. He has a dry, understated humor that drifts through much of his audience undetected. One cannot learn these things at a microphone; they are given. But heck, I talk to people with pleasant voices every day, and Denny isn't Bob Uecker, by any means. These are not the things that lift him out of the class of the competent announcers, and into the class of the great ones.

Fred White, the Royals' other announcer, is good too. But what are the acquired skills, I got to wondering, that make an announcer? If Denny and Fred are not quite paragons of the things a baseball announcer should be, they are an acceptable substitute. So what do they have, exactly?

1. (And by far the most important) An intense focus on the game that is being played in front of them. I score games sometimes, even over the radio, and when I do I try to record a variety of information other than the stuff you can get out of the records. Sometimes I try to do this with other announcers, and I am amazed at the information they leave out. "Base hit!" says the announcer. Base hit? Where? Scooting by the shortstop into center? Drilled to left? I'll be listening to another game, and there will be runners on first and third in the fifth, and I will wonder if the manager is going to bring the infield in – and be astounded that the announcer doesn't tell me. There will be a single to center and I will be sitting there trying to visualize the play, and when I look for the throw . . . no throw. The voice has not told me where the throw went. I find out two pitches into the next batter that the other runner is now on third, and I wonder if the announcer didn't see him go over there, or what? The color man breaks in and tells you that the runner was able to get to third base because he was off with the pitch. Well, if he was off with the pitch, why didn't you tell me? This leaves me wondering if he was off with the pitch the previous two times, when the ball was fouled off.

And you know why so many announcers don't tell you these things? Because they don't see them. Because they haven't ever learned, really, to become the eyes of the listener. I was just amazed, in the World Series, when an announcer told us that Darrell Porter's batting stance "looks a lot like Rod Carew's." Darrell Porter's tense, pigeon-toed, cocked-arm, locked-wrist stance like Rod Carew's pointed lead foot, loose wrist, relaxed batting style? They have open stances and they crouch a little and they point the bat in the air. That's the end of the similarities. I saw an American League rookie do an absolutely perfect impression of Rickey Henderson at the plate last summer and the announcer's comment was "Hmm. Funny-looking batting stance."

Denny Matthews tells you, batter after batter

1. What the pitch was.

2. Where the pitch was.

3. What kind of a swing the batter had at it (fought it off, flicked at it, tried to hold up, had a good rip but swung over it).

4. Where the defense is.

5. What the runner does.

6. Where the hit goes.

7. Where the throw goes.

If the wind is blowing in, he tells you; if it shifts, you hear about it. He describes the batting stance of each player, in very specific terms as well as the impression it gives, once each year. He describes the delivery of the pitcher in specific terms. If the throw to first was a low throw or a high throw or a wide throw or a good throw, he tells you. If the fielder fields the ball on the second hop or the third hop, on a high hop or a short hop, to his left or to his right, he tells you. If the batter breaks his bat, if he squirts the ball off the end of the bat, he tells you. In the batter's first at-bat, he tells you what the batter has done in the last few games; after that, he tells you what the hitter has done earlier in the game. After a while, you get used to knowing stuff like that.

There is one thing that happens about once a week that tips you off on how intense Mr. Matthews' concentration on the game is. What does your announcer say when the scoreboard count gets mixed up? Does he never notice it, and just read the count off the board? Does he say, "Now wait a minute . . . I thought the third pitch was called a strike." Does he debate the color man about what the count was? Denny dismisses it with a six-word phrase: The scoreboard has the count wrong.

2. The other main thing that I like about Denny is the things he doesn't say because he is too busy describing what he sees. Let's go back to the first-and-third situation where the announcer doesn't tell us what happened. What is he saying, while he is not telling us where the hit went and where the runner went and where the throw went? The worst announcers, and you know they do it, will launch into a sermonette about a) the character of the man who got the hit, or b) the bad run of luck we've been having lately, how we're in one of these stretches when balls like that that aren't really hit that well just fall in between the fielders. The competent announcers tell you what they see, and then break into generalities about the people involved in the play, and talk about "concentration" and "fundamentals" and stuff.

Some people actually criticize Matthews because he's not judgmental about what he sees. They want the announcer to tell them that Ron LeFlore has a bad arm, and Denny will tell them that the throw was offline and then move on. But what is an announcer doing, when he makes those sort of judgments? My view is, if the announcer sees the man make a poor throw, he should say so at the time; if he doesn't see it, he shouldn't be talking about it. I don't want an announcer passing on to me the stuff he heard in a bar last week. I don't want to know what some scout said about the guy's arm. I can make those judgments for myself; indeed, I prefer to. That's all right if the announcer knows what he's talking about, but two times in three he doesn't.

3. Denny works consciously against the pace of the game. If the game is dull, he starts giving you more and more information about the game, the players. When the game is on the line, he lets the situation speak for itself. If it's a blowout, he starts telling stories. ...

[H]e works hard at his craft; he truly loves the game. He gets his ego and his theories and his preconceptions out of the way, and becomes a tube through which the game splashes out into your room, pure and clean and complete. That's too easy for most announcers, and too hard.
Once you start listening for it, you will be surprised how often most announcers leave you in the dark about almost everything. A pitch is high. Was it inside or outside? A pitch is inside. Was it high or low? How much did the batter have to step back? What kind of pitch was it? (Yankees announcer John Sterling often refers to a pitch as "a fast strike", an utterly worthless description.)

The hitter fouls the pitch off. At the plate? Towards the on-deck circle? Down one of the foul lines? Which line? Did an opposing fielder's glove it? Was it hit in the air? On the ground? Was it chopped? To be told that the ball was "fouled into the crowd" is far more annoying than informative.

The batter smokes a line drive down the line for a hit. Which line? Into foul territory or along the line in fair territory? The ball is hit past the second baseman. To his left or to his right? Did he dive? The outfielder throws the ball back to the infield. To whom? Quickly or routinely? What is the runner (or runners) doing?

One of my (many) pet peeves is Joe Castiglione's habit of saying that on a pickoff throw to first, the runner gets "back with a hand-tag". Well, how else is he going to re-touch the base? With his nose?

Note: Denny Matthews is still calling Royals games. He has been in the radio booth since the team began play in 1969. Only Jaime Jarrin, the Dodgers' Spanish-language broadcaster since 1959, has a longer continuous tenure with a team.

March 24, 2018

Sale Pulled After Being Hit On Left Hip By Line Drive, Still Expects To Open Season On Thursday

Chris Sale faced only four batters in his final start of the spring. He was taken out of Saturday's game against the Astros in the top of the first inning when a line drive from J.D. Davis drilled him in the left hip.

Sale said he will pitch on Opening Day next Thursday, as scheduled:
Looked a lot worse than it really is. ... When it first hit me, it kind of got me in the hip, but got the nerve, [the iliotibial]. So it shot all the way down to my foot. So that's what kind of made me worried. I was telling them when I was out there, "Give me a minute. It'll come back. I'll be fine." They didn't want to wait, so [I] came in here, got it evaluated, looked at, figured out [it was] nothing serious, just a bruise. It kind of just shocked me more than anything, that initial blow.
Sale retired the first two batters before walking Alex Bregman and giving up a painful single to Davis. Sale was expecting to pitch about six innings today, but threw only 26 pitches. When Giants pitcher Madison Bumgarner, who suffered a fractured finger on his pitching hand from a line drive on Friday, was mentioned, Sale said:
Yeah, that's another reason we're thankful it hit me where it did. I don't have a whole lot of padding anywhere on me, but if I'm going to get hit, somewhere in the hip or the butt's going to be the place to go. Better than a rib, arm, hand, even the face. So this was best-case scenario.
The Red Sox beat the Astros 6-0, the team's second consecutive shutout. The team has three more games before the regular season begins (Twins on Sunday; Cubs on Monday and Tuesday).

Also: Christian Vazquez signed a three-year contract extension through 2021, with a club option for 2022. He will make $1.425 million this season, with the extension providing increases to $2.85 in 2019, $4.2 in 2020, and $6.25 in 2021. The team option for 2022 is $7 (or $8 if he has 502 PAs in both 2020 and 2021).

MLB Wants Receives The Right To Ignore Federal Labor Laws And Continue Underpaying Minor League Players

UPDATE (March 24, 1:45 PM): The Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2018 was filed Wednesday night and passed by both the House and Senate just over 24 hours later, so you know everyone read all 2,322 pages very carefully and engaged in a vigorous debate about its contents. (The "Save America's Pastime Act" is on page 1967. (That's right ... paying minor leaguers a living wage would destroy professional baseball forever. Destroy!))

***

Mike DeBonis, Washington Post, March 18, 2018 (my emphasis):
A massive government spending bill that Congress is expected to consider this week could include a provision exempting Minor League Baseball players from federal labor laws, according to three congressional officials familiar with the talks.

The exemption would represent the culmination of more than two years of lobbying by Major League Baseball, which has sought to preempt a spate of lawsuits that have been filed by minor leaguers alleging they have been illegally underpaid.

The league has long claimed exemptions for seasonal employees and apprenticeships, allowing its clubs to pay players as little as $1,100 a month, well under the pay that would be dictated under federal minimum wage and overtime standards. But with those exemptions under legal challenge, Major League Baseball has paid lobbyists hundreds of thousands of dollars to write a specific exemption into the law. ...
Major League Baseball is a $10 billion/year industry - its revenues have increased in each the last 15 seasons and Commissioner Rob Manfred's goal is reaching $15 billion in the near future - and it has been working its ass off for years to be handed the right to ignore basic labour laws (which remain grossly inadequate for workers, but that's another story).

According to this extremely interesting post at Camden Depot, the Yankees pay roughly 0.33% of their annual revenue on minor league salaries. That low percentage is likely typically of all teams, as even the Rays pay only 0.86%. (A player in AAA earns about $12,000 a year. Someone in A ball earns as little as $1,100 per month; short-season players may be paid that for only three months out of the year.)

Two excellent comment on that post:

Jayne Hansen:
Other factors that minor leaguers have to deal with: paying dues to the clubby, paying for Uber/taxis if they don't have a car, finding a sponsor to help keep them in bats and gloves, etc., paying for high-quality nutritional supplements that won't result in a bad drug test and much more. Some teams will provide accommodations for the rookie leagues, but beyond that, they're on their own. Not every team will have host families or booster clubs that will take the guys shopping for the necessities. But the very fact that it's the minor league fans that are helping these guys survive rather than the team they play for is absurd.
hicken:
You write, "Based on unpublished research, the typical minor league baseball player comes from a white, upper middle class home and by the age of thirty has half the earning potential and assets as a similar person from the same background that did not go into baseball."

Many of the white, upper middle-class players are able to pursue the dream because they are getting support from mom and dad. In other words, their family is sending them spending money, letting them drive their old car, helping them line up a decent job in the off-season, etc.

Players whose families don't have money - which would mean lower-middle and working-class players of any racial background, disproportionately black players - are less likely to choose minor-league baseball or to stick with it. If they are American citizens, then they almost certainly have better options. You could make more money and better provide for your family even in relatively low-prestige jobs like restaurant service, for example.

Immigrant players are a bit different calculus. You maybe don't have a better option as a poor kid from the Dominican Republic or Venezuela. So they're more like to struggle through the minors.

But basically, if baseball genuinely wanted to attract a more diverse set of players, they would pay better in the minor leagues.
While MLB's actions are disgusting and should infuriate every single fan of the game, the Players Association should also be heavily criticized for turning its backs on minor league players. The union could easily use its tremendous clout to greatly improve the lives of all minor leaguers. (Also, how many talented players who could have made the big leagues were forced to give up the game purely because of financial reasons?) Almost every single major leaguer spent time in the minors. Yet it would appear, however, that they have joined with the owners in not giving a shit.

March 23, 2018

Red Sox 5, Yankees 0

Red Sox - 001 000 211 - 5 13  0
Yankees - 000 000 000 - 0  5  0
On Friday afternoon, the Red Sox shut out the team that many baseball experts have dubbed "unbeatable". Eight of the nine starters had at least one hit, with Ivan De Jesus Jr. collecting a single, double, and home run. Sam Travis also dinged a dong.

Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton went 1-for-6 at the top of the Yankees' lineup. Judge (as usual, against Boston) was a non-entity; he singled, but also struck out twice and hit into a double play.

Red Sox starter Brian Johnson flicked the switch and allowed only two hits and one walk over 4.2 innings, with five strikeouts. Manager Alex Cora said Johnson would begin the season in the rotation. ... Masahiro Tanaka lowered his spring ERA to 7.24. ... Boston is 18-9 this spring, while New York dropped to 15-12.

A Common Refrain: Yankees Will Edge Past Red Sox In AL East

There is a consistent theme to almost all of these 2018 predictions: the Red Sox will finish in second place in the AL East.

Boston Globe:
Dan Shaughnessy: AL East: Yankees. ... AL Wild Cards: Red Sox, Angels. ... ALCS: Yankees over Red Sox. ... World Series: Nationals over Yankees.

Tara Sullivan: AL East: Red Sox. ... AL Wild Cards: Yankees, Mariners. ... ALCS: [Cleveland] over Red Sox. ... World Series: [Cleveland] over Dodgers.

Peter Abraham: AL East: Red Sox. #SaleWinsCy ... AL Wild Cards: Twins, Yankees. #StantonStruggles ... ALCS: Red Sox over [Cleveland]. #PriceIsRight ... World Series: Dodgers over Red Sox. #KershawIsKing

Nick Cafardo: AL East: Yankees. Haven't heard one good reason why not. ... AL Wild Cards: Red Sox, Twins. ... World Series: Yankees over Nationals. Not even the great Max Scherzer can tame Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton.

Alex Speier: AL East: Yankees. ... AL Wild Cards: Red Sox, Angels. ... ALCS: [Cleveland] over Red Sox. ... World Series: Nationals over [Cleveland].

Chad Finn: AL East: Red Sox. ... AL Wild Cards: Yankees, Angels. Judge and Stanton could match Mantle and Maris's 117 homers in '61 ... World Series: Astros over Cubs.
Stanton and Judge could combine for 117 home runs? Yes, it is possible (like it's possible a team could go 162-0), but Finn is smarter than that. (After totaling 111 last year, they won't reach 100 this season.) And Cafardo has not heard "one good reason" why the Yankees could lose the division because he refuses to remove the pinstriped cotton balls from his ears. (Or, more likely, doesn't even realize they are in there.)

Grant Brisbee posted his predictions at SB Nation. He has the Red Sox finishing second to New York, but beating the A's in the Wild Card Game and losing the ALDS to the Yankees. Brisbee's World Series pick: Yankees over Cardinals. ... SB Nation's Red Sox preview is here.

Bleacher Report has the Yankees winning 100 games and the AL East, with the Red Sox close behind with 96 wins. A second Bleacher Report article also has the Yankees (95 wins) and Red Sox (90 wins) finishing 1-2.

Baseball America picks the Yankees to win the division, with Boston second (and grabbing the Wild Card). Here are the World Series predictions for the eight BA writers:
Cleveland over Nationals in 6
Cleveland over Dodgers in 7
Cubs over Cleveland in 6
Cubs over Astros in 7
Dodgers over Yankees in 6
Dodgers over Cleveland in 7
Yankees over Nationals in 6
Yankees over Cubs in 7
USA Today has the Yankees (93) and Red Sox (89) in the East. "It's the Yankees, but not by much. Would adding Martinez put the Red Sox over the top? Their fate may more likely hinge on health and performance of their starting pitchers."

The Sporting News says the Yankees will win the East, but Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge will not combine for 100 homers. (Smart pick on the dongs, TSN.)

Sports Illustrated picks the Nationals to beat the Yankees in the 2018 World Series. The Red Sox are listed #5 among 10 teams that SI believes could win it all:
The Red Sox will bring back most of the same team that won 93 games in 2017 and should definitely be in the postseason conversation, even if it's only a Wild Card spot. ... Even stronger than the Boston starting lineup is the Boston starting rotiation [sic]. David Price and Chris Sale need no introduction, and Rick Porcello is only a single season removed from winning the Cy Young in 2016. Knuckleballer Steven Wright was fantastic in 2016, but missed most of 2017 with a knee injury. His return should be a serious boost to the Red Sox on the mound (assuming he's 100% healthy). Drew Pomeranz also won 17 games in 2017, giving the Red Sox a lights out pitching staff. Closer Craig Kimbrel is also one of the best in the business. However, the Red Sox might have to go through their most iconic rivals to get to the World Series...
Rotochamp's projected standings are "a composite of Baseball Prospectus, Davenport, and FanGraphs". The Yankees are atop the division with 95 wins, with the second-place Red Sox at 92.

I don't know what COED is, but it also has the Yankees-Red Sox atop the AL East.

March 21, 2018

Was Babe Ruth A Labour Activist? (Three Ruth Books Will be Published This Year)

Edmund F. Wehrle, a professor at Eastern Illinois University, has written a Babe Ruth biography like no other. From the promotional copy for Breaking Babe Ruth: Baseball's Campaign Against Its Biggest Star (University of Missouri, May 31):
Rather than as a Falstaffian figure of limited intellect, Edmund Wehrle reveals Babe Ruth as an ambitious, independent operator, one not afraid to challenge baseball's draconian labor system. To the baseball establishment, Ruth's immense popularity represented opportunity, but his rebelliousness and potential to overturn the status quo presented a threat. After a decades-long campaign waged by baseball to contain and discredit him, the Babe, frustrated and struggling with injuries and illness, grew more acquiescent, but the image of Ruth that baseball perpetuated still informs how many people remember him to this day.
The pre-publication blurbs for Breaking Babe Ruth describe the sports media of that era "'infantilizing' Ruth and feeding the myth of a naive, wayward adolescent" or "a spoiled and unintelligent man child". (Sadly, some things have not changed in 90 years. Manny Ramirez was no threat to baseball's status quo, but sportswriters still went out of their way to portray him as a ditzy airhead when they knew he was an alert, intelligent hitter who worked his ass off.)

There are two other Ruth books coming out this year:

Thomas Barthel's Babe Ruth and the Creation of the Celebrity Athlete (McFarland, April 8) tracks Ruth's path as "the first great media-created superstar and celebrity product endorser". McFarland does a great service by publishing so many baseball books, often covering what most fans would consider marginal topics, but as a "library-oriented publisher", its books are both expensive and not available in stores. This 200-page book, for example, is $35 at Amazon.

In The Big Fella: Babe Ruth and the World He Created (Harper, October 23), Jane Leavy also sees Ruth as "the model for modern celebrity" and focuses on his three-week, cross-country barnstorming tour after the 1927 season. Leavy conducted more than 250 interviews and had access to previously-unseen documents and Ruth family records.

March 20, 2018

Sale, Price, Porcello To Begin Season In Tampa Bay

Starting Pitchers:
Thu March 29 at Rays: Chris Sale, 4 PM
Fri March 30 at Rays: David Price, 7 PM
Sat March 31 at Rays: Rick Porcello, 6 PM
Sun April  1 at Rays: TBA (Eduardo Rodriguez/Steven Wright/Drew Pomeranz), 1 PM
Mon April  2 at Marlins: Brian Johnson, 7 PM
Tue April  3 at Marlins: Sale, 6 PM
Wed April  4: Off

Martinez And Stanton Are Both "Glittery", But Only The Yankees Hitter Provokes A "Gulp"

Rosie DiManno, Toronto Star, March 18, 2018:
It might be a prudent budget [for the Blue Jays, at $155 million] but it is without any glittery off-season acquisitions, like the Yankees landing, gulp, Giancarlo Stanton and the Red Sox countering with J.D. Martinez.
While both acquisitions are glittery, only Stanton warrants a "gulp".

Which is somewhat odd (assuming DiManno is not saying that simply because Stanton wears pinstripes), since Martinez bested Stanton last season in average (.303 to .281), slugging (.690 to .631), OPS+ (166 to 165), wOBA (.430 to .410), and wRC+ (166 to 156, despite Stanton's MLB-leading 59 dongs), and tied him with a .376 on-base percentage.

Martinez and Stanton have each slugged .580 since the beginning of the 2015 season, but in those three years, the Red Sox's new designated hitter comes out on top in the lists that sportswriters look at: average (.296 to .265), on-base percentage (.363 to .354), OPS (.943 to .934), total bases (863 to 748), doubles (94 to 64), RBI (274 to 273), and runs scored (247 to 226). He has even played in more games (397 to 352).

Stanton has a few more home runs (113 to 105) and a slightly better OPS+ (150 to 148). He has walked more (169 to 155) while striking out less (398 to 434). Stanton is also two years younger (28 to 30), which is significant. ... He also seems to have a much better PR team.

March 17, 2018

Everyone Loves A Contest #22: 2018 Red Sox W-L

With Opening Day less than two weeks away (March 29), it's time for this year's Red Sox W-L Contest!

The person that correctly guesses Boston's 2018 regular season W-L record will win a (used, but very nice) copy of Bill James's This Time Let's Not Eat The Bones: Bill James Without The Numbers (Villard Books, 1989). (Almost 500 pages of James discussing teams, players, and various ideas from 30-35 years ago! How can you resist?)

Contest entries must be emailed to me and include the following two items:

1. Predicted 2018 W-L record
2. Tiebreaker: Total Bases by J.D. Martinez

As always, the winning W-L prediction must be exact. The tiebreaker winner, if needed, will be the closest guess, either over or under.

Deadline: Wednesday, March 28, 11:59 PM.

Good luck to everyone ... and fuck the Yankees.

March 15, 2018

Price Thrilled With Four Shutout Innings In First Spring Start

David Price, in his first start of the spring, was sharp. In four shutout innings against the Blue Jays on Thursday afternoon, he allowed only one hit and one walk, while striking out five.

ESPN's Scott Lauber wrote that Price "established his fastball and cutter early on, then incorporated his changeup and even his curveball the second time through the batting order".

Price (who appeared in only 16 games last season and did not make a start after July 22) was thrilled with his 55-pitch performance. "I've never been able to have a four-pitch mix on March 15. I've never been this far along in spring training, even though I've only thrown in one game."

Manager Alex Cora agreed: "From the dugout, it looked like his misses were just by an inch. He was on target. ... Very impressive for his first outing in a real environment, not a controlled one. ... Physically he looks like he's right where he has to be and now we move forward."

MFY Watch: Aaron Judge and Aaron Boone. Morons.

March 14, 2018

The Beginning Of The End

I have been a Boston Red Sox fan for 42 years and for most of that time I was skeptical - often extremely so, and with very good reason - that I would ever see a World Series championship. All I really wanted to was to see one.

And I have witnessed three! My obsession with the team has certainly lessened during the thirteen seasons since 2004 and that is probably a good thing. If I had to, I could comfortably live the rest of my life without major league baseball. Which is good to know, because I can sense that the day I sever my relationship with the sport might not be too far over the horizon.

The Associated Press reported today that "extra innings throughout the minor leagues will start with a runner at second base".
"We believe these changes to extra innings will enhance the fans' enjoyment of the game and will become something that the fans will look forward to on nights where the game is tied late in the contest," NAPBL president Pat O'Conner said in a statement. ...

The runner at second will be the batter in the order prior to that inning's leadoff hitter... A runner who starts an extra inning at second shall be counted as reaching on an error for purposes of determining earned runs, but no errors shall be charged.
Today is not April 1. This is really happening. And it is so far beyond fucked up ...

Craig Calcaterra, NBC Sports:
The runner-on-second rule is taken from the World Baseball Classic and has been tested in the Gulf Coast League and Arizona League. Last year, for what it's worth, Rob Manfred said he doubted the rule would ever be used in the majors, but the fact that it's moving up to Triple-A suggests that his mind may be changing.
What Manfred said was: "We don't really expect that we're ever going to apply them at the major league level, at least in the short term"

Do you trust Rob Manfred not to one day decide to reconsider that policy? I certainly don't.

And neither does SB Nation's Matt Collins: "Every sign is pointing towards this eventually coming to the majors, though. Manfred has said that won't happen, but I find that hard to believe at this point given how quickly this rule is expanding to different levels of the game."

2017
Regular Season Games - 2,430
Extra Inning Games - 182 (7.5%)
Games Lasting 10 Innings - 87 (3.68%)
Games Lasting 11 Innings - 51 (2.1%)
Games Lasting 12 Innings - 20 (0.8%)
Games Lasting 13 innings - 12 (0.5%)
Games Lasting 14+ Innings - 12 (0.5%)
7.5% of a team's schedule is 12 out of 162 games. That's two games per month, one game going into extra innings every two weeks. ... And almost half of those extra inning games - 48% - last season were over after 10 innings.

In fact, only 44 out of 2,430 games lasted more than 11 innings: 1.8%. ... 2 out of every 100 games last season (an average of three per team) went into the 12th inning. ... And for THAT, Commissioner Rob Manfred wants to destroy the very fundamentals of the game that have been in place for almost 150 years.

Also: If both teams begin every extra inning with a man on second, then they have an equal chance to score. Just like they do now, starting off with the bases empty. In other words, there is no actual advantage being gained here to have games end quicker. There will simply be more games in which each team scores 1 or 2 or however many runs in an extra inning and the game - still tied - goes on.

March 10, 2018

MLB Cannot Do Anything Right (25 Games To Be Shown Exclusively On Facebook)

Major League Baseball is laughably inept. Everything they do to promote the game - almost without exception - manages to piss off a lot of people who are already fans, while the gain in new followers is dubious. (Perhaps "laughably" is the wrong word, since we love the sport and generally despise how MLB runs it. How about "sadly" or "as expected, based on past history"?)

MLB's latest attempt to "grow the game" is to allow Facebook the exclusive right to stream 25 games this season. Facebook will pay between $30-35 million for these rights, an agreement that was approved unanimously by team owners. The games will be shown on Facebook Watch, which is devoted to original programming. (Facebook aired 20 non-exclusive games last season*.)

The 25 games will be on weekday afternoons, primarily Wednesdays. Four April games have been announced: April 4 (Phillies/Mets), April 11 (Brewers/Cardinals), April 18 (Royals/Blue Jays), and April 26 (Diamondbacks/Phillies). During these broadcasts, Facebook will experiment with graphics and "enhancements popular with younger viewers drawn to digital platforms". That sounds extremely promising!

About those "younger viewers" ... Liz Roscher of SB Nation remains skeptical about the success of that angle:
MLB is desperately trying to gain the loyalty of younger fans, and going to Facebook just isn't the way to do that. While Facebook has a significant number of users in the 25-34 age range, the average user in the U.S. is over 40. ... It's [also] a move that's going to alienate some of the fans they already have. Those Facebook games are only available on Facebook, and not on any local TV network or even MLB.TV.
The big question is: Could MLB have been smart enough to avoid including games featuring teams with the largest fan bases, like the Red Sox and Yankees?

*: On May 19, 2017, Facebook attempted to stream its first game. However, "a manual error related to the geographic targeting of the game" meant fans in Washington, DC, were unable to watch. A Facebook representative: "Tonight's MLB broadcast on Facebook was unintentionally not made available to people in the Washington D.C. area. We apologize for the mistake ..."

March 2, 2018

I Want You To Read This Post, But What If You Don't?

This WEEI headline annoyed me:
What's the point? Obviously, every Red Sox fan reading the story hopes that Pom is healthy and has a great season, while also understanding that it is within the realm of possibility that something could be wrong ... either now or in the future.

And you could ask a similar question about every single thing spoken by every single member of the Red Sox organization for the entire season.
J.D. Martinez Glad To Contribute To First Win In Red Sox Uniform, But What If He Isn't?

Hanley Ramirez: "I Love Hitting Home Runs Against The Yankees", But What If He Doesn't?

Red Sox Confident They Can Hold Off Rivals And Claim Third Straight AL East Title, But What If They Aren't?

Pedroia Says Team Believes They Can Go All The Way In Postseason, But What If They Can't?

First Season At Sox Helm Was A Thrilling Ride For Cora, But What If It Wasn't?

WEEI.com Wants Fans To Click On Their Stories (Even The Ones With Idiotic Headlines), But What If We Don't?
This can also be applied to things outside the world of the Red Sox:
Sun Will Rise Tomorrow And Continue Sustaining Life On Earth, But What If It Doesn't?

March 1, 2018

Red Sox File Petition To Change "Yawkey Way" Back To "Jersey Street"

The Red Sox have filed a petition with the Boston Public Improvement Commission to change the name of Yawkey Way back to its original name of Jersey Street.

The portion of the street that borders Fenway Park was changed in 1977, the year after the death of former team owner Tom Yawkey.

The Yawkey Foundation stated its intention to protest the team's request for the name change, which is "based on a false narrative about Tom Yawkey and his record as team owner".

February 26, 2018

With His Deal Now Official, JD Martinez Pretty Much Calls David Price A Liar

J.D. Martinez is now an official member of the Boston Red Sox. And one of his first acts was to apparently (and freely) expose David Price as a liar.

About a week ago, on February 20, USA Today's Bob Nightengale posted a story in which Price revealed that in one of his winter conversations with Martinez, he told JD about the fickle fans at Fenway Park:
Oh, yeah, he'll get booed. I told J.D. he will love the guys here in this clubhouse but also told him he'll get booed. He's a quiet, soft-spoken guy, but he'll handle it. Besides, everyone gets booed.
Today, however, Martinez (appearing on WEEI's "Kirk & Callahan") said Price never told him anything about the fans possibly jeering him:
He never said that to me, honestly. But you always hear that. That's the thing around the league. Everybody knows that. But I get it. If I'm doing well, I'm going to get cheered. If I'm doing bad, I'm probably booing myself. ... I understand it. I'm excited to just be able to play in front of fans who feel the same way.
Martinez - who will wear #28 - also said that Boston was
never pitched to me as a tough market to play in. It was always pitched as a fun market, like, 'Can you imagine playing in front of these fans every single day?' ... From an outsider looking in, I've always dreamed of playing on a team with so much history.
Last season, Martinez sprained the Lisfranc ligament in his right foot and missed the first six weeks of the season. The Red Sox will receive some financial relief in the last two years of the contract if Martinez spends at least 60 days on the disabled list in either of those seasons or 120 days cumulative because of a reoccurence of the foot injury. Also, Martinez now has three opt-out opportunities in the 5/110 deal, after the second, third, and fourth seasons.

Fangraphs projects the Red Sox, with the addition of Martinez, to tie the Yankees for the second-most runs scored in the major leagues this year (5.22), behind the Astros (5.33). Boston was 10th among MLB teams in runs scored last year.

Hammerin' Hanley Ramirez is ready to go: "Now we're going to step on everybody's neck."... Winning the World Series? "That's our fucking goal. ... To beat everybody. We're trying to go 162-0." ... Note: The Red Sox are 5-0 this spring.

The Deal (according to Cot's):
2018:  $23.75M
2019:  $23.75M (or $2.5M buyout)
2020:  $23.75M (no buyout)
2021:  $19.35M (?)
2022:  $19.35M

February 25, 2018

Olney: MLB Should Reduce Games To Seven Innings (I Think He's Serious)

Buster Olney makes a lot of sense in his latest ESPN column, but then he goes utterly off the rails, with no explanation or follow-up:
Commissioner Rob Manfred should propose that the players select and build their own committee to shape initiatives that reduce the average time of games.

The composition of that committee could be determined entirely by the union. ...

The players would have the power to design rules acceptable for them, rather than have unwanted regulations foisted on them.

But that won't happen because the relationship between the union and Major League Baseball is probably at its worst since the 2002 season. The spirit of cooperation that had evolved is now just about dead ... The players are furious about how free agency has played out, they are furious about the current economics of the game, and their solution is intransigence. ...

Manfred had the power to implement any change he wanted in the pace-of-play rules, but he didn't, because he knows the players are mad, and he didn't want to pick a summer-long fight. Instead, he went with a much more modest proposal ...

Privately, a lot of players think the new regulations are a joke ...
The players should be part of the process, but Manfred's tenure as commissioner has been like acid corroding the relationship between management and the union. So far, so good.

But then:
The disconnect seems so enormous that a negotiated, collaborative solution seems completely out of the question. If MLB wants to effect serious change – if it truly wants to reduce the game to an NBA-like 2 hours, 30 minutes – it should seriously consider pushing for a reduction of games from nine to seven innings.
Seven-inning games!

What can you say to that? Frankly, it's not even worth considering a response beyond "Are you out of your fucking mind?" because the suggestion is asinine. But after putting forth that incredibly radical idea, Olney simply moves on. He doesn't say anything else about it. Nothing.

Why is Olney saying that MLB should "seriously consider" lopping off two innings from every game? Does he believe playing games of only seven innings* is a reasonable solution to the length-of-game "problem" (even though Manfred's recent proposals concern "pace of play", which, while it affects the length of games, is a different matter)?

*: The games of minor league doubleheaders are seven innings, but that seems irrelevant when you are thinking of such a monumental change. Why not cut games back to six innings? Linescores would look tidier. Complete games would make a comeback, which would please some people. ... Hey, why not have only one inning, but have nine outs per side?

Now I am wondering if this is something MLB is actually considering. I never thought I'd say this, but Rob Manfred is well on his way to making us wistful for the days of Bud Selig.

Rodriguez And Wright Will Not Start the Season In The Rotation

Neither Eduardo Rodriguez nor Steven Wright - both of whom are coming back from knee surgery last year - will be ready to start the regular season.

Manager Alex Cora said Brian Johnson, Roenis Elias, and Hector Velazquez are the most likely candidates to take their places.

In less important news, infielder Marco Hernandez has gone back to Boston to "have hardware removed from his surgically repaired left shoulder".

February 24, 2018

MLB Limits Teams To Six Non-Pitching-Change Mound Visits Per Game

Earlier this week, MLB announced some pace-of-play changes for the coming season. Teams will be limited to six mound visits (by anyone: manager, coaches, even the catcher or an infielder) per nine innings.

Pitching changes will not count against the total. And, as SB Nation's Whitney McIntosh reported, teams "won't be penalized for a mound visit if a pitcher might be injured, or after an offensive substitution. Expect a lot of managers to start practicing their 'my pitcher might be injured oh nope look he's fine now but that was a good chat' faces". Catchers are also likely going to be far more "crossed-up" on pitches than ever before.

Joel Sherman of the New York Post tweeted that he was told "there is no penalty for 7th visit to mound, that umps will just disallow it, which I see causing problems both hysterical and confrontational".

After nine innings, each team will be allowed one additional visit for each extra inning. There will also be a countdown clock during commercial breaks and pitching changes. The clock will run for 2:05 during inning breaks in normal games, 2:25 for national games, and 2:55 in postseason games.

In June 2017, David Laurilla and Eno Sarris of Fangraphs asked a bunch of players (and other people): "Just how important are mound visits, and how much would limiting, or even doing away with them, impact the game?" Renowned brainbox Craig Breslow of the Twins:
Rather than questioning how vital they are, or what the impact on the game would be, I would ask, "What would be the impact on pace of play, and overall time of game, by limiting mound visits?" I think you would find it's largely inconsequential. Maybe we'd shave off a minute and a half, and I would be hard-pressed to find an argument that shaving a minute and a half would be the difference between someone tuning in until the end or switching the channel. Another way to look at it is this: if there's no mound visit, maybe you get two more walks and a pitching change. Are we better off with that? ... Nobody can prove how much we need to shorten a game, or how much we need to increase the pace by, in order for there to be a meaningful difference. We're just kind of throwing darts in the dark, hoping that where we land is better than where we are.
During a recent press conference, Commissioner Rob Manfred revealed that he is not happy when people claim that certain teams are "tanking". He noted: "We've always had a cyclical sport."

SB Nation gathered some responses from Twitter: "pace of tanking" ... "Selective Non-competitiveness" ... "strategically misplacing wins" ... "refusing to use redistributed luxury tax windfall on player salaries".

The Red Sox Are Playing Baseball!

The Red Sox began their spring schedule on Thursday, beating both Northeastern (15-2) and Boston College (4-2) in a couple of seven-inning affairs. Yesterday, Boston played a full nine innings and defeated the Twins 4-3.

The Red Sox's lineup was extremely top-heavy, with Mookie Betts, Xander Bogaerts, and Hanley Ramirez in the 1-3 spots. They went a combined 0-for-6. We're doomed! ... Jeremy Barfield doubled in two runs. Actually, three of the Red Sox's five hits were doubles. Hector Velazquez and Eduardo Rodriguez each pitched two innings and allowed one hit apiece.

Today's game against the Rays has Jackie Bradley, Andrew Benintendi, and Rafael Devers at the top of the order. And they kicked off the bottom of the first with: single, single, double. We're not doomed!

J.D. Martinez arrived in Fort Myers for his physical on Wednesday morning. And nothing has been announced since that time. We're doomed! ... You can be sure that some media people are saying this is the worst thing ever, but manager Alex Cora remarked, "We're still working and getting ready. ... I'm not concerned."

There is a positive headline on Steve Buckley's column in today's Herald: So Far, Alex Cora Looks Like A Good Fit With Red Sox:
While it's hard to form an opinion on Cora's ability to make key in-game decisions based on a couple of spring training games and the daily grunting and groaning of batting practice, rundown drills and pitcher' [sic] fielding practice, there's a calmness about the guy his players are going to find refreshing.
Please do not tell me it's his eyes.

February 21, 2018

David Price: "We Hate The Yankees. We Hate Them."

It's not a bad thing that David Price is trying to rebuild his tattered image with Red Sox fans, but I don't think I'll ever really like the guy - he was a jerk too many times for too many years before coming to Boston.

Still, offering some perfunctory quotes regarding the rivalry is preferred to being an actual asshole for no coherent reason.

Marly Rivera, ESPN Writer:
David Price when asked whether the Yankees-Red Sox rivalry has heated up with the Stanton/Martinez acquisitions (with a big smile on his face): "You guys want it, let's do it, we hate the Yankees. You guys want it, yeah we hate the Yankees. We hate them."
Scott Lauber, ESPN Staff Writer:
David Price describes J.D. Martinez as "quiet" and "different than me." Price claims he "didn't talk anything about baseball" in his recruiting pitches to Martinez. His advice to Martinez on dealing with everything that comes with playing for the Red Sox: "Go play baseball. Just go be yourself."
Scott Lauber, ESPN Staff Writer:
David Price on the potential impact that J.D. Martinez could make on the AL East race: "To add a hitter like that to the lineup, that's good, especially in this division. The Yankees made moves this offseason. To be able to combat those moves with a guy like J.D., that was a good move."
I wish Price had taken his own advice last season when it came to "everything that comes with playing" in Boston. But who knows? Maybe he's gained some insight in the last five months.

Earlier this week, Price told USA Today:
I told J.D. he will love the guys here in this clubhouse, but also told him he'll get booed. He's a quiet, soft-spoken guy, but he'll handle it. Besides, everyone gets booed. I heard Big Papi get booed many times in Fenway. ... Go out there and win. Winning cures everything.

February 20, 2018

Globe: The Red Sox In Spring Training 100 Years Ago

What Red Sox Spring Training Was Like 100 Years Ago
Mark Dunphy, Boston Globe
When pitchers and catchers reported for Red Sox spring training last week, it was an early sign of warmer things to come for fans back in Boston. A century ago, Babe Ruth offered the same sunny promise as he waited for his ride south, saying, "I'll see you kids at Fenway Park this summer." ...

Ruth had always been a pitcher for the Red Sox, but when numbers were short he was sent out to cover first base in one of the spring training games. The switch worked, to say the least. Ruth hit two home runs in the game, one of them traveling 573 feet before landing in an adjacent alligator farm. The Sox liked what they saw in that game and decided to give Ruth time in left-field during the regular season. According to Allan Wood's Babe Ruth and the 1918 Red Sox, Sox manager Barrow had been loath to do so before, despite Ruth desperately wanting to play and hit everyday. ... Ruth led the American League with 11 home runs in 1918 ...

February 19, 2018

Finally! Red Sox Sign JD Martinez (5/110)

J.D. Martinez has agreed to a five-year, $110 million contract with the Red Sox.

The deal is front-loaded, with Martinez getting $50 million over 2018-19, and includes two opt-out clauses, one after two seasons and another after three seasons. Martinez will turn 31 in August.

According to Buster Olney, the reports of Boston putting $125 million on the table were inaccurate. The Red Sox offered 5/100 very early in the off-season and stuck to those numbers as the weeks passed, before upping it slightly in the last 48 hours.

SoSHer RedOctober3829 posted:
Giancarlo Stanton and J.D. Martinez Since 2014
Stanton  - .366 OBP, .573 SLG, 149 wRC+, 2,118 PA
Martinez - .362 OBP, .574 SLG, 148 wRC+, 2,143 PA
Dave Dombrowski handled this long saga with a deft hand. To paraphrase a former Red Sox World Series MVP, when an elite hitter and his agent ask for 7/210 and you grab him for 5/110, that's when you know you're a bad man.

February 16, 2018

Betts And Bogaerts Describe A Tense, Uncomfortable 2017 Clubhouse

Both Mookie Betts and Xander Bogaerts admitted yesterday that the 2017 Red Sox had a tense, problematic clubhouse.

Dan Shaughnessy wrote a column about it in Friday's Globe and (what a surprise!), he made it all about him (and the other writers) right off the bat:
So there. It's all true. We weren't making it up last summer/fall when we told you that the first-place 2017 Red Sox were sour, unhappy, dysfunctional, and headed for a fall. ...*
Betts:
I think we still enjoyed it. But we could have had more fun. Through the rough times, I think those are the times when we could have had a little more fun instead of being down so much. If we hit a rough patch this year, I feel like maybe we can learn from last year and continue to enjoy the game and maybe get out of it faster. ...

[There was] tension in the locker room as far as if things are down. ... I think this year will be a little different. I'm going to approach things a little differently as far as, if I'm not playing well or if we're losing or whatnot, I can do my best to try and find a way to get everybody back happy, smiling, excited and going to play. There were times where we lost a couple games in a row and we weren't necessarily down but we were kind of pressing to try and get back to the winning side instead of just letting it happen, letting the game play out. Especially late in the season when the gap started closing as far as the winner of the division.
Betts talked about moving forward without David Ortiz:
Nobody is him. So we have to find our niche in the clubhouse and figure out what works for us and how to get back to that. I knew it would be kinda tough. ... [L]ast year was definitely a learning curve. I think this year we're getting to kinda know how it works without him now. We may have him around a little bit but I think we have to work on just focusing on us and who's in the clubhouse and figuring out a way to lighten things up throughout the whole process. ... I think as a whole group it's just going to take four or five, six guys to kinda fill that one spot. It just lets you know how important he was.
Bogaerts recalled the 2013 team:
We were a lot like brothers, a lot like family on and off the field. All these years, I believe we have better teams, paperwise, namewise. [But] 2013, we were so close with each other. We had such a bond. You try to learn the stuff that they learned and [pass it] on to a guy like maybe Devers. I'm looking forward to it, to that challenge. ... We're all grown men. I definitely believe we all learn from last year. We had a lot of stuff going on last year, to be honest. We all live, learn and move forward. We can't just sit back and keep reminding ourselves about the past. That's not something we want to do.
When asked to elaborate on "a lot of stuff", Bogaerts replied: "I mean we all know. We all know what was going on. I don't think I really want to get into details."

Also: Hanley Ramirez promised to hit for more power in 2018.
You're gonna see it, for sure. Literally, I was hitting with one arm last year and I hit 23 [home runs]. Now that I feel good, there are not going to be excuses. Better go out there and hit 30.
* The CHB informed Betts that "the team [described elsewhere in the column as "a pack of sensitive, spoiled millennials"] isn't generating much buzz back home" and asked if Betts could do anything to fix that ... because ... well, all smart baseball fans know the team that generates the most "buzz" a day or two after spring training camps open in mid-February automatically wins the World Series. (No link to any CHB material will ever be provided here.)

American League "To Speed Up Ball Games"

To Speed Up Ball Games
Ban Johnson Declares Unnecessary Delays Must Cease


Ball games in the American League will be speeded up hereafter, according to President Johnson, who has instructed his umpires not to tolerate any unnecessary delays. The order today is the outgrowth of a complaint made by President Comiskey of the Chicago Americans, who said that protests of some managers and players about the condition of the ball in recent games has made it to necessary to play two hours or more.
The New York Times, September 2, 1917

February 8, 2018

Truck Day

Holy shit. Truck Day was this past Monday! ... How did I miss it?


Ian Browne noted this year's truck contains "20,400 baseballs, 1,100 bats, 200 batting gloves, 200 batting helmets, 320 batting-practice tops, 160 white game jerseys, 300 pairs of uniform pants, 400 T-shirts, 400 pairs of socks and 20 cases of bubble gum". Al Hartz is driving the truck for the 20th* consecutive year. He will arrive in Fort Myers today.

* The Herald claims this is Hartz's 21st consecutive year.

Predictions For 2018: Lindy's & Athlon

Two more baseball annuals are out.

Lindy's

Yankees
Red Sox (WC)
Blue Jays
Rays
Orioles

World Series: Dodgers versus Yankees

MVP: Francisco Lindor, Cleveland; Corey Seager, Dodgers
Cy Young: Justin Verlander, Astros; Carlos Martinez, Cardinals
Rookie: Francisco Mejia, Cleveland; Ronald Acuna, Atlanta
Rookie Pitcher: Shohei Ohtani, Angels; Walker Buehler, Dodgers
Manager: Mike Scioscia, Angels; Dave Roberts, Dodgers

Capsules

Red Sox
The road to the East title still goes through Boston. The Red Sox, who have won the division the past two seasons, have the requisite 1-2 punch at the top of the rotation (Chris Sale and David Price) to be formidable in playoff series. It's a good situation for new manager Alex Cora.
Yankees
The new look Bronx Bombers will be one of the sport's focal points this summer with Giancarlo Stanton joining Aaron Judge in a power-packed lineup. The pitching is first-rate, too; they yielded the second fewest runs in the American League last season.
Scouts

Red Sox
Cora played in Boston. That should give him a good idea of what it takes to manager there, but it is not enough. He's going to have a tough time this year. He's smart and will learn, and be better in his second year. ... The first thing Cora has to do is get Pedroia on his side. Pedroia runs that clubhouse. Farrell lost Pedroia and was finished from there on out. ... They really missed Big Papi last year. Nobody is that lineup really hit for power. You can't win playing 81 games in that ballpark with a bunch of Judy hitters. ... Bogaerts should do some damage in that park. He hits too many grounders. Pull the ball in the air; and he'll get 50 doubles. ... Price's command was terrible last year. He used to throw strikes with everything, but only the fastball worked for him.
Yankees
Things must hve really gotten bad in the clubhouse for Cashman to fire Girardi. He's an uptight guy, but he won and did a good job with that club. ... I get that Boone's a great guy and relates well to people, but there's more to the job than that. ... It's the type of lineup that can go into a funk without warning for a week or so because everyone is striking out.
Athlon Sports

Yankees
Red Sox (WC)
Blue Jays
Orioles
Rays

ALCS: Astros over Yankees
NLCS: Nationals over Cubs
World Series: Astros over Nationals

MVP: Mike Trout, Angels (Giancarlo Stanton #2, Aaron Judge #6, Mookie Betts #7, Didi Gregorius #9); Bryce Harper, Nationals
Cy Young: Chris Sale, Red Sox (Luis Severino #3); Clayton Kershaw, Dodgers
Rookie: Shohei Ohtani, Angels; Ronald Acuna, Atlanta

Scouts

Red Sox
The Yankees, on paper, have passed them. ... You don't know what you'll get from David Price with that elbow. And that market is all wrong for him. I bet he wishes he'd signed somewhere else, but he does have the chance to opt out after the season. ... Their young core is impressive. Andrew Benintendi has a lot of ceiling left, Jackie Bradley Jr. is a fabulous defender, and Mookie Betts can do it all. I'm excited to see Rafael Devers for a full year. He's got great hands at the plate, he plays loose, and he knows the strike zone.
Yankees
They're primed to make a deep run. There's nowhere for a pitcher to breathe against that lineup. ... Stanton and Judge can be pitched to; like most big guys, they have a hole up and in. ... But only the best of the best have the command to consistently exploit that weakness, and of course those guys hammer mistakes. I have a lot of confidence in Luis Severino; he's found his footing now, and he'll be one of the best pitchers in the game for the next decade.
Final Analysis

Red Sox
Two years ago, after a season that saw every New York regular post a below-average OPS, it appeared the Red Sox would dominate their rivals for at least five years. Instead, the Yankees once again look ready to rule, and it's fair to wonder if the Red Sox can keep pace. ... If they don't, we'll be wondering how this all fell apart so quickly.